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A Look Back and Forward: 10 Biggest Busts Part 2

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In part one of this article, I chose five players from the top 50 in ADP that I considered to be busts in 2019. In part two, I will select five players from ADP between 51-150. When choosing my busts, I will try to avoid players that missed a few games but were otherwise successful when they played, so you haven’t and won’t see Saquon Barkley or Alvin Kamara type players on the list. Injuries are hard to predict, so it’s better to look at guys who flopped even when they were on the field. Similar to the values section, the individual players are important, but general trends and strategy advice will also be included below. As in part one, Yahoo’s final half PPR ADP is the source for the below ADP numbers.

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A Look Back and Forward: 10 Biggest Busts (Part 1)

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In my previous two-part article, I looked at the 10 best draft values from the 2019 redraft season and how much they impacted fantasy teams. Also, I predicted the future and examined whether those players would live up to the same performance in 2020 and whether they would return good value in 2020. However, as most fantasy owners know, identifying busts is just as crucial to success and failure in fantasy football as picking players on the rise. In this two-part article, I will name the 10 biggest busts from the 2019 redraft season. In part one, I will choose five players from the top 50 in ADP, and in part two, I will select five players from ADP between 51-150. 

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A Look Back and Forward: 10 Best Values (Part 2)

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In this two-part article, I’m taking a look at the 10 best draft values from the 2019 redraft season. I started by choosing five players from the top 50 in ADP in part one, found here, and now I’ll pick five players from the rest of the draft in part two. As in part one, I will be using Yahoo’s final half PPR ADP. In addition to revisiting how these players performed in 2019, I will also briefly touch on what I expect going forward into 2020. I’ll limit eligible players to the top 150 and might examine the best waiver wire wonders in a future piece.

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Week 16 Streamers

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Welcome back to my streamers column. For each position, I will give two streamers that are under 40% owned. These ownership percentages come from ESPN at the time of writing, typically Sunday night or Monday morning. I’ll start with quarterback, followed by tight end, then D/ST. In both sections, the player listed first is my preferred stream, and the second option is a backup if the first player is not available. At this point, we are in the final week of the season, which changes the strategy even more.

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Week 15 Streamers

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Tannehill is a must-play in week 15. He put up another strong performance in Week 14 against the Raiders, scoring 27.5 points in four-point touchdown scoring. He went 21/27 passing for 391 yards and three passing touchdowns. The Texans just gave up 309 passing yards and three touchdowns to Drew Lock in Week 14, making them a prime matchup for Tannehill.

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Week 14 Streamers

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Welcome back to my streamers column. For each position, I will give two streamers that are under 40% owned. These ownership percentages come from ESPN at the time of writing, typically Sunday night or Monday morning. I’ll start with quarterback, followed by tight end, then D/ST. In both sections, the player listed first is my preferred stream, and the second option is a backup if the first player is not available.

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Week 10 Streamers

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Ryan Tannehill (TEN) vs Chiefs, 8.4% owned
Tannehill has performed well in his three starts from Week’s 7-9, putting up 19.2, 19.4, and then 23 fantasy points in four-point touchdown scoring. Now, he draws a plus matchup at home against the Chiefs. I expect Patrick Mahomes to return for this game, which will allow the Chiefs to put up points on the Titans much more so than with interim starter Matt Moore. Therefore, the Titans will need to play catch up, and Tannehill will be forced to throw.

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Week 9 Streamers

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Sam Darnold (NYJ) at Dolphins, 15.2% owned. As usual, picking on the Dolphins’ defense is a good move for any of the offensive players facing them. Even though Darnold threw three interceptions against the Jaguars in week 8, he went 21/30 passing for 218 yards and two touchdowns. Darnold could represent a strong streaming value not just in this matchup but for the next six weeks. In those games, he faces the Dolphins, Giants, Redskins, Raiders, Bengals, and Dolphins again. Each of those defenses has been terrible all season, so picking up Darnold could solve your quarterback problem for the rest of the fantasy regular season. Considering how awful the Dolphins have been and that more of their defensive players could be traded by Tuesday’s trade deadline, I will rank Darnold as a borderline QB1 in this matchup. 

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Week 8 Streamers

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In my week 7 streamers article, I recommended Cousins as part of a three-week stream, including Weeks 7-9. Cousins paid off against the Lions in Week 7, scoring 29.2 fantasy points in four-point touchdown scoring. This was Cousins’ third straight game exceeding 20 points, giving him momentum heading into this home matchup against the Redskins.

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Week 7 Streamers

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Kirk Cousins (MIN) vs. Lions, 26.6% owned
All of a sudden, the Vikings have opened up their offense to include far more passing. Cousins has exceeded 300 passing yards in each of the last two weeks. In Week 6 against the Eagles, star receiver Stefon Diggs finally got going, breaking out for seven receptions, 167 yards, and three receiving touchdowns. Cousins also continued his chemistry with his other great receiver Adam Thielen, connecting for six receptions, 57 yards, and a touchdown. For the season, Cousins has nine passing touchdowns compared to just three interceptions, making him a reliable and relatively safe quarterback. To further advocate for Cousins, his Week 8 and Week 9 matchups are against the Redskins and Chiefs, respectively, so this could be a three-week run for Cousins. Given the poor state of streamers in Week 7, Cousins will likely be ranked as a borderline QB1 in a relatively neutral matchup against the Lions.

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Week 6 Streamers

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Gardner Minshew (JAX) vs Saints, 18.1% owned
While Minshew has not been a star fantasy quarterback thus far in 2019, he has been consistent throughout the entire season. In standard four-point touchdown QB scoring, Minshew has scored at least 16 fantasy points in each game, never busting even once. Against the Panthers in Week 5, Minshew set a career-high of 374 passing yards and 44 passing attempts.

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Week 5 Streamers

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If you need some streaming options for Week 5, you’re in luck. Justin Karp has you covered below.

Welcome back to my streamers column. For each position, I will give two streamers that are under 40% owned. These ownership percentages come from ESPN’s at the time of writing, typically Sunday night or Monday morning. I’ll start with quarterback, followed by tight end, then D/ST. In both sections, the player listed first is my preferred stream and the second option is a backup if the first player is not available.Quarterback

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Week Four Streamers

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Stafford is clearly the priority streamer this week, playing at home against Kansas City. In this matchup, I expect the Chiefs to put up points against the Lions’ defense, forcing Stafford to throw the ball throughout the contest. While Stafford’s passing yards have decreased from week one through week three, he has faced the Chargers tough defense in week two followed by a tough matchup at the Eagles. Even though the Chiefs held both Lamar Jackson in week three and Derek Carr in week two to reasonable scoring outputs, I still believe the Chiefs’ defense can be beaten through the air. Therefore, I would be comfortable starting Stafford as a back-end QB1 in this game.

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