dynasty

achane

Does Team Success Matter for Fantasy RBs?

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

We’ve all heard this fantasy advice before: target running backs on good teams, fade the ones on bad offenses. A prime example this year is De’Von Achane, whose Underdog ADP sits at RB11 overall. This is four spots below Saquon Barkley, who averaged nearly six fewer PPR points per game than him in 2025. The reason? Achane plays for a team that’s projected to win 4.5 games on most major sportsbooks. 

Logic tells us that winning teams run more late in games, see more red-zone trips, and score more points. But how much is team success actually correlated to RB production in fantasy? To find out, I had Claude pull ten full seasons of NFL data (2016–2025) from nflverse to find out. Stick around to see what I learned; the answer may surprise you! 

The variables

To measure “team success” for this exercise, I’m using actual point differential (average scoring margin per game across a full season) and Vegas-implied point differential (the average margin each team was expected to win or lose by, based on the closing spread). The Vegas line matters specifically for fantasy draft strategy, assuming there’s some meaningful correlation between team success and RB production. 

On the running back side, I’m looking at PPR points per game, and splitting it three ways:

RB1: the leading PPR scorer in each team’s backfield that season (minimum 8 games played)
RB2 / RB3: the second- and third-leading scorers (minimum 4 games played)
The whole RB room: every running back on the roster combined (to capture how much fantasy output a team’s backfield provided, regardless of who got the touches)

That gives us 320 team-seasons (32 teams × 10 years) built from nflverse’s official play-by-play, schedule, and weekly stat data. Now that we have the setup, let’s check out the findings. 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Does Team Success Matter for Fantasy RBs? Read More »

warren

Definitive Dynasty Rankings 41-50

Dynasty / By /

Those who follow my work know I approach all of my rankings from an analytical foundation and then layer in additional context on top of that. This series is no different. The foundation of my Dynasty rankings is a proprietary model that utilizes a combination of predictive metrics with an emphasis on prior-season fantasy points per game and then combines that with a position-specific age multiplier, flattening of TD luck, and position adjustment. This is the Dynasty 1 Score. From there, I layer on situational adjustments that pure statistics can not identify. I also prioritize consistency in my rankings. How likely are the players to be able to repeat their prior season performances based on their archetype?

Rankings are always fluid, and at DFF, we update them continuously here. These are a snapshot, with the thought process behind each that you don’t see in simple rankings.

These ranks are a snapshot as of January 2026. Superflex, Full PPR, TE Premium

*Data sources: PFF, Pro Football Reference, Player Profiler, NFL+ Premium

The rest of this rankings article series will be posted over the coming weeks.

2026 Dynasty Rankings Player Writeups:

1 to 10
11 to 20
21 to 30

2026 Tight End Triumvirate Tier

Before the 2026 NFL Draft, I wrote this article on the historically good tight end triumvirate class we had between Colston Loveland, Tyler Warren, and Harold Fannin. The NFL didn’t agree at the time, drafting Fannin as the 6th tight end in the 2025 draft. 

Fast forward to the dawn of the 2026-27 season, and Fannin is back squarely in that conversation of the big 3 of the 2025 class.

41. Colston Loveland (TE – CHI)

DOB: 4/9/2004 (22)

2025 Fantasy Points Per Game – 10.3
Dynasty1 score – 12.4
Dynasty Community Rank – 28 (Per KeepTradeCut)

Loveland kicks off this tier of 2025 drafted tight ends. At Michigan, he was the dominant offensive force for the Wolverines, accounting for 34.7% of their yardage plus touchdown share. Unlike his 2025 drafted peers, Loveland started slow. 

Through week 8, he had 11 receptions for 116 yards. After that, he had 47 receptions for 597 yards. He capped the season off in fashion with 12 receptions for 193 receiving yards in 2 playoff games. 

42. Tyler Warren (TE – IND)

DOB: 5/4/2002 (24)

2025 Fantasy Points Per Game – 11.1
Dynasty1 score – 13.3
Dynasty Community Rank – 35 (Per KeepTradeCut)

Warren started 2025 with a bang after being drafted 14th overall. He amassed 104 receptions for 1233 yards his Senior year at Penn St. He was an instant producer for the Colts the moment he stepped onto the field. Then Daniel Jones got hurt, and it all fell apart for him.

In 12 games with Daniel Jones, Warren averaged 13.1 fantasy points per game.

In 5 games without Daniel Jones, Warren averaged 6.3 fantasy points per game.

Entering 2026, Michael Pittman is gone, Alec Pierce is hurt, and Daniel Jones is back and healthy. I look for Warren to be much closer to the player we saw the first 12 games of last year.

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Definitive Dynasty Rankings 41-50 Read More »

pwash

Parker Washington: Buy the Hype or Fade the Noise?

Dynasty / By /

Parker Washington has seen an incredible surge in dynasty value over the past 12 months, climbing from outside the top 100 wide receivers this time last year to WR31 overall today, according to KeepTradeCut. This is due in large part to Washington’s strong end to the 2025 NFL season, racking up 26 receptions, 454 yards, and three touchdowns over Jacksonville’s final four games (regular season + playoffs). Since then, we’ve seen nothing but bullish news out of OTAs and training camp regarding Washington. 

On the other hand, this was a former Day 3 pick who barely cracked 500 receiving yards through his first two NFL seasons. Was he simply reaping the benefit of Travis Hunter landing on IR and Brian Thomas Jr. battling his own set of injuries on the field? Has the Parker Washington hype gone too far, or is he here to stay? Let’s find out. 

College Profile

Parker Washington was a 4-star recruit and a top-50 receiver in the country coming out of high school, according to 247 Sports. He played all three of his college seasons at Penn State, amassing 1,900 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns in Happy Valley. From an analytical perspective, he was pretty underwhelming, posting a career 20.9% target rate and 1.91 yards per route run. 

Washington was an early declare, despite posting relatively pedestrian numbers. He ultimately went in Round 6 of the NFL Draft, which we rarely see from early declares now. Washington technically had two years of eligibility remaining, having played his freshman season during the COVID season. It’s very possible he’d have taken a big step forward had he stayed in college (and transferred to a more pass-friendly environment). NIL deals at this time were not nearly as lucrative as they are today, which surely played into his decision. 

Early NFL Career

Parker Washington began his NFL career as a part-time player, buried on the depth chart behind guys like Calvin Ridley, Evan Engram, and Christian Kirk (all still technically in their prime). Washington had his opportunity to flourish in 2024 with Calvin Ridley gone, plus Christian Kirk and Evan Engram hurt for much of the season. However, rookie Brian Thomas Jr. emerged as the WR1 and dominated target share, leaving Washington as an afterthought. 

Despite running nearly 400 routes in 2024, Washington managed only 32 receptions, 390 yards, and three touchdowns. His 13.3% target rate and 1.02 yards per route run on the season were dismal marks, and ones that typically suggest your time in the NFL is numbered. 

In terms of dynasty value, Washington was a roster clogger at best through two seasons. In most leagues, he went undrafted in dynasty rookie drafts in 2023, bouncing from random rosters to the waiver wire. 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Parker Washington: Buy the Hype or Fade the Noise? Read More »

tucker

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Las Vegas Raiders Edition

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my ‘One Question’ series, and as always, thank you to everyone who read last week’s edition — are you buying or selling RJ Harvey? As we round up our final team in the AFC West, we make our way to Las Vegas (fun fact: I’ve never been, have you?). #RaiderNation has a lot to be excited about this season. They drafted their quarterback of the future (hopefully) in Fernando Mendoza (QB – LV), hired a Super Bowl-winning offensive guru as their new head coach in Klint Kubiak, have one of — if not — the best tight end in football in Brock Bowers (TE – LV), and last but certainly not least they have a STUD running back waiting to be unleashed in Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV).

My question to the Raiders: Can we trust any Raiders wide receiver in fantasy?

Although the 2025 season was a disaster for the Raiders, they did attempt to improve their offense for then-quarterback Geno Smith (QB – NYJ) when they drafted running back Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV), used two third-round picks on offensive linemen, and addressed wide receiver by drafting Jack Bech (WR – LV) out of TCU in the second round and Dont’e Thornton Jr. (WR – LV) out of Tennessee in the fourth round. As we know, the Raiders’ offense was one of the worst in the NFL, and it only took 11 games before the Raiders decided to part ways with offensive coordinator Chip Kelly. It’s hard to judge the Raiders’ wide receivers off of last season’s outcome, but the Raiders have signaled how they feel about the position this year.

The Raiders were one of the teams heavily pursuing Alec Pierce (WR – IND), and it was reported that Las Vegas was the most aggressive team seeking his services. Pierce eventually re-signed with Indianapolis, becoming the highest-paid wide receiver free agent in NFL history — and that was after he took less money than he was offered from other teams.

After missing out on Pierce, the Raiders signed veteran wide receiver Jalen Nailor (WR – LV). While Nailor isn’t the most exciting player, the Raiders needed a veteran presence, and he is a professional receiver who showed flashes of potential his last two years in Minnesota, scoring a combined 10 touchdowns in 2024 and 2025 in a limited role (per Sleeper).

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Las Vegas Raiders Edition Read More »

nabers

Training Camp News and Injuries: Fantasy Impact

Dynasty / By /

Football is back, baby! With training camp officially underway for all 32 NFL teams, our timelines are once again flooded with on-the-field news and highlight plays. It can be tough to keep tabs on everything and decipher what matters vs. what doesn’t in dynasty, which is why I’ve put together this breakdown for you. 

Below, you’ll see the top headlines from training camp as of August 1st, dynasty impact, and my personal take on the news. 

Stock-Up Players

Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) – Last time we saw Nabers, he was limping to first place in a celebrity softball game. We were receiving nothing but ominous news regarding his ACL recovery early this summer, but things have turned around since then. He’s avoided the training camp PUP list and looks to be at full health running routes in camp. If Nabers plays Week 1 and gets off to a hot start, he could easily be back in the conversation for dynasty WR1 overall by midseason. 

Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) – Deebo is back with his former team, following the injury news on Ricky Pearsall. With Pearsall potentially out for the year and Christian Kirk dealing with calf issues, San Francisco needed to shore up this wide receiver room somehow. Add in Jordan James suffering fractured ribs, and Deebo could be back in the classic “Deebo” role in 2026. The question is whether or not he’s completely washed. Either way, 2026 will likely be his last usable season for fantasy. I’ve moved him up, but only marginally. He may be a good sell-high candidate now. 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Training Camp News and Injuries: Fantasy Impact Read More »

kyren

Reviewing My Recent Dynasty Trades

C2C, Dynasty / By /

Time for a subscriber favorite, a good old-fashioned trade review! Below, I’ll cover four recent trades I’ve made over the past week and my reasoning behind each trade. These four trades come from three different leagues (two dynasty, one C2C). The ultimate goal of these trade articles (outside of entertainment) is to give you an idea of what to prioritize when deciding whether to hit that “accept” button. 

If you’re looking for a second opinion on your own dynasty trades, check out our AccuTrader in The Dynasty Control Room. Sync your leagues and get a full trade breakdown based on DFF’s Expert Consensus ranks. 

DFF C2C Bragging Rights

This trade was made in a C2C league, which primarily consists of creators from Campus 2 Canton and our team at DFF. I made this trade with @DffFrankPanthro, sending him Alabama RB Ezavier Crowell for Jaylen Waddle. 

With this being Year 1 of the league, there’s plenty of parity from top to bottom. Nobody really sold a ton of Canton picks for Campus picks or vice versa, so it’s anyone’s game on both sides. My weakest position on the Canton side was wide receiver, with my top three WRs being Justin Jefferson, Marvin Harrison Jr., and Romeo Doubs before this trade was made. I wanted to bolster my WR room without sacrificing other areas of my NFL side, so I understood I needed to give up a premier asset on the college side to do so. 

I knew from talking ball with Frank virtually every day that Crowell is his RB1 of the freshman class and one of his favorite overall assets in C2C formats. I won’t deny that the long-term ceiling play in this deal is Crowell, especially in this particular league, where RB scoring is so favorable on the NFL side (0.25 PPC, 0.25 rushing 1st down). It was a lot to give up, but I’m incredibly bullish on Jaylen Waddle now that he’s in Denver. Despite being alpha’d by Tyreek Hill for much of his career, Waddle has always been hyper-efficient from a per-route basis, and now steps into a situation where he should be the WR1 on his team. I’m not too concerned with Courtland Sutton, who is entering his age-31 season and saw a big drop in efficiency in 2025. I feel pretty confident in saying Waddle has WR1 (top 12) upside in fantasy once again. 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Reviewing My Recent Dynasty Trades Read More »

AJB

New Places, Familiar Faces – 2026 Wide Receivers

Dynasty / By /

A change of scenery can sometimes breathe new life into a player’s fantasy value. But is the grass greener on the other side? That’s what we’re hoping to find out with several wide receivers this season. 

Below, I highlight five familiar faces in new places and discuss how their new situations should impact fantasy football in 2026. 

A.J. Brown (New England Patriots)

The offseason’s worst-kept secret. A.J. Brown finally got his wish and was shipped out of Philadelphia, reuniting with head coach Mike Vrabel in New England. The hope is that Brown will be happier in a pass-first offense quarterbacked by Drake Maye. And with that happiness, perhaps more productivity from Brown. Receivers are simple creatures; they just want the ball.

The issue is that Brown was already plenty productive last season. Excluding Week 18, he finished as the WR8 in total fantasy points scored. He was even better down the stretch: from Week 10 through the fantasy championship, Brown averaged 16.7 fantasy points per game, good for WR7.

That said, Maye could unlock Brown’s true ceiling. Last year’s MVP runner-up ranked first in yards per attempt (8.9), true passer rating (116.3), and true completion percentage (77.3%), per PlayerProfiler data. He was also fourth in deep ball completion percentage (50.0%). Brown ranked 12th in deep targets (22) in 2025 and remains one of the league’s premier downfield threats.

I’m all in on Brown this season and have him as a top-eight receiver. In dynasty, I’d be trying to add him if I were looking to push my chips in as a contender. With Maye slinging it, Brown’s upside is colossal, and I don’t want to miss out on what could be a special season. 

Jaylen Waddle (Denver Broncos)

After a lot of trial and error with multiple players, Sean Payton finally has a dangerous weapon to deploy at flanker and in the slot: Jaylen Waddle. The Broncos were a Bo Nix ankle injury away from potentially reaching the Super Bowl and decided to go for broke by trading three picks, including their 2026 first-rounder, to land the former No. 6 overall pick this offseason. 

Despite only totaling 910 yards and six touchdowns last season, Waddle remained efficient and explosive. He ranked sixth in first downs per route run (0.127), 10th in yards per route run (2.41), 10th in EPA with a mark of +64.0, and 13th in PlayerProfiler’s Explosive Rating (115.3). 

Waddle now gets to catch passes from Bo Nix, who led the league in pass attempts a season ago. Nix was also third in deep ball attempts (71), which should mesh well with Waddle’s game. He produced his highest EPA per target on deep outs, digs, and post routes, per Dynatyze data. 

You don’t trade a first-round pick for a decoy, so expect Payton and new offensive coordinator Davis Webb to feature Waddle early and often. The setup is there for him to smash this season and top 1,000 yards for the first time since 2023. 

Waddle is a mid-WR2 for me in all seasonal formats and only a low-end WR2 in Dynasty because he’s already 27. 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

New Places, Familiar Faces – 2026 Wide Receivers Read More »

hurts

The Definitive Dynasty Rankings Guide: 11 to 20

Dynasty, Ranking / By /

Published July 2026 Welcome to players 11 to 20 in my Dynasty rankings series. Players 10 to 1 can be found here. Players 21 to 30 can be found here. Those who follow my work know I approach all of my rankings from an analytical foundation and then layer in additional context on top of that. This series is no different. The foundation of my Dynasty rankings is a proprietary model that utilizes a combination of predictive metrics with an emphasis on prior season fantasy points per game and then combines that with a position-specific age multiplier, flattening of TD luck, and position adjustment. This is the Dynasty 1 Score. From there, I layer on situational adjustments that pure statistics can not identify. I also prioritize consistency in my rankings. How likely are the players to be able to repeat their prior season performances based on their archetype? With that introduction, let me introduce you to my Dynasty rankings series. Note these are a snapshot in time vs. the always-evolving rankings you can find on our rankings site. But in this article series, you get the context and thinking behind the ranking that is not supplied by the pure ranking. Rankings are always fluid, and at DFF, we update them continuously here. These are a snapshot with the thought process behind each that you don’t see in simple rankings. These ranks are a snapshot as of January 2026. Superflex, Full PPR, TE Premium *Data sources: PFF, Pro Football Reference, Player Profiler, NFL+ Premium The rest of this rankings article series […]

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

The Definitive Dynasty Rankings Guide: 11 to 20 Read More »

mims

Roster Cloggers Are Quietly Killing Your Dynasty League – Part 2

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

Welcome back for Part 2 of my “Roster Clogger” series! In this article, we’ll be discussing some hard-hitting questions that are worth asking to identify those roster cloggers on your dynasty roster. Then, we’ll finish things up with some warning signs by position. 

If you missed Part 1, you can check that article out here. Let’s dive back in. 

The Roster Clogger Test

The best way to identify roster cloggers is to stop asking whether a player has any possible value and start asking sharper questions.

Almost every player has some possible value. That standard is too low.

Instead, ask these questions.

Can I Start This Player Confidently?

This does not mean, “Could I technically put him in my lineup?”

You can start almost anyone in a deep enough league.

The real question is whether you would feel good about it. If injuries hit and you need points, can this player realistically help you? Does he have a stable role? Does he have a path to volume? Can he get you something more than a desperation floor?

If the answer is no, he may not be actual depth.

He may just be a name on your bench.

Can I Trade Him for Anything Meaningful?

This is where dynasty managers need to be honest.

If no one in your league wants the player, his value might only exist in your head.

That does not mean you should blindly let your league determine every player’s worth. Dynasty managers can be early on players. Sometimes your league is wrong. Sometimes you should hold a player before the value shows up publicly.

But if a player has no production, no market, no clear role, and no rising value, you need a good reason to keep holding.

“Someone might want him someday” is not enough.

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Roster Cloggers Are Quietly Killing Your Dynasty League – Part 2 Read More »

hurts

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Philadelphia Eagles Edition

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my One Question series, and thank you to everyone who read last week’s Washington Commanders edition — which Commanders running back are you drafting this season? We’ve now asked the Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Washington Commanders their questions. That only leaves one team — the one and only Philadelphia Eagles!

After a drama-filled 2025 season and early playoff exit, it’s been quite the offseason for the Eagles. It feels like so long ago when Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) and his teammates were celebrating their Super Bowl LIX victory. Fast forward to today, and the Eagles have traded away three-time All-Pro receiver A.J. Brown (WR – NE), and Hurts’ future with the team is in question. With a new offensive coordinator in Sean Mannion — who just so happens to be Hurts’ 11th offensive coordinator dating back to his time in college — trading up to draft Makai Lemon (WR – PHI), what looks to be a prove-it year, and this being the final year of guaranteed money on his contract, all of the off-field drama, questions about his leadership, and his ability as a passer, in addition to an uncertain future in Philadelphia, has led fantasy managers to unload him off of their rosters before the 2026 season.

My question for the Philadelphia Eagles is: Is now the time to BUY Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) in fantasy?

No Stranger to Adversity

Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) is no stranger to adversity. He was the first true freshman to start a game for the Alabama Crimson Tide, leading the team to consecutive National Championship game appearances in 2016 and 2017. In 2017, he would have his first real experience with adversity when he was benched in the second half in favor of Tua Tagovailoa (QB – MIA), and Alabama would go on to win the game without him.

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Philadelphia Eagles Edition Read More »

bateman

Roster Cloggers Are Quietly Killing Your Dynasty League – Part 1

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

very dynasty manager has that guy.

You won’t start him. You cannot trade him. You don’t really want to cut him. But every time you look at your roster, you convince yourself there is still something there.

Maybe he is young. Maybe he was a good prospect. Maybe he is one injury away from a major role. Maybe he had a few usable weeks two seasons ago (where you probably still regret sitting him). Maybe you remember liking him during rookie draft season and have not fully accepted that the bet is probably dead.

That’s not depth.

That’s what is called a roster clogger.

Roster cloggers are not always bad players. That is what makes them dangerous. The obvious bad players are easy to cut. The real problem is the player who gives you just enough hope to keep holding, but not enough production, trade value, or upside to help your dynasty team.

In dynasty, roster spots are assets. Every bench spot you use on a dead-end player is a bench spot you cannot use on a backup running back with real contingent upside, a young receiver gaining steam, a tight end earning routes, or a waiver player whose value could change quickly.

The question is not, “Can I make a case for this player?”

You can make a case for almost anyone in July.

The better question is this: is this player helping me win, helping me rebuild, or gaining value?

If the answer is no, he might be quietly killing your roster and therefore your season.

What Is a Roster Clogger?

A roster clogger is not simply a bad player. A bad player is easy to drop. A true roster clogger is a threat because he gives you reasons to keep holding.

He might have youth on his side.
He might have draft capital invested in him.
He might have flashed once.
He might be tied to a good offense.
He might be one injury away.
He might be a tight end who “just needs time.”

There is always a story.

That’s the trap.

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Roster Cloggers Are Quietly Killing Your Dynasty League – Part 1 Read More »

kincaid

Dalton Kincaid: 2026 TE Skeleton Key or Just Another Part-Timer?

Dynasty / By /

The tight end position is a tough one to pin down in fantasy. You either have one of the elite options who helps you stand above your league mates — just ask anyone who has had Travis Kelce for the past decade — or you’re stuck playing roulette with a bunch of middling options. 

Unfortunately, Kelce’s run is over. The top shelf tight ends are now guys like Brock Bowers, who caught 112 passes for 1,194 yards as a rookie in 2024, and Trey McBride, who set an NFL record for tight ends with 126 receptions last year. Those two stand alone at the top, although some are trying to push Colston Loveland up into that tier. I just don’t think he’s there yet. We need to see more from last year’s No. 10 overall pick before we start anointing him. 

A little further down the rankings, though, sits a very intriguing player — one who, at 26 years old, should be entering his prime. I’m talking about Dalton Kincaid. 

Buffalo took Kincaid in the first round in 2023, and as a rookie, he looked the part. He reeled in 73 catches for 673 yards and two scores in Year 1. The future looked insanely bright. Dynasty managers thought they had the next big thing. 

After that promising start, though, things haven’t been quite as rosy. Kincaid has dealt with several injuries, including a troublesome PCL issue that has been lingering since 2024. That has caused Kincaid to miss nine games and limited him in several others over the past two seasons. 

Last year, he had just a 38.3% snap share (TE70) and ran only 189 routes (TE47), which resulted in career lows in both targets (49) and receptions (39). He still managed 571 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 10.5 fantasy points per game in PPR scoring, good for TE13.

So why am I talking about this guy? 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Dalton Kincaid: 2026 TE Skeleton Key or Just Another Part-Timer? Read More »

USATSI 29213158

Biggest Dynasty Ranking Discrepancies

Dynasty / By /

Earlier this offseason, I wrote a similar piece, breaking down the biggest gaps between my devy rankings and those of DFF ranker @Evan_Kerr_. Today, I’m covering the dynasty players where I’m furthest from consensus here at DFF, which averages my rankings with those of Evan and @force_fantasy. Some of these might not seem like huge discrepancies, but keep in mind my rankings make up a third of what consensus spits out, so the value differences are bigger than they may seem.

As always, these rankings are based on dynasty, Superflex, and Tight End Premium scoring. I’ll provide my positional ranking for comparison with the consensus. 

Players I’m Above Consensus On
Luther Burden III – (WR – CHI)
My dynasty rank – WR14
DFF consensus – WR18

Here’s my bull case for Burden, plain and simple. He and Loveland were hand-selected by HC Ben Johnson. Rome Odunze was not. 

It took some time for Burden to get fully acclimated, but we saw his upside in the latter part of his rookie year. Through the final seven weeks of 2025, Burden finished third in the NFL in yards per route run with 2.92 (min. 20 targets). He posted a robust 26.8% target rate during that span, confirming he was a focal point in Chicago’s passing attack. 

Exptrapolate that kind of efficiency over a 17-game sample and a full route share now that D.J. Moore is gone, and you have a guy who could finish top 10 at his position in fantasy. I think there’s a very good chance Burden is a consensus WR1 (top 12) in dynasty by this time next year. 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Biggest Dynasty Ranking Discrepancies Read More »

jcm

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Washington Commanders Edition

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my One Question series, and thank you to everyone for reading my first installment. I’d love to know what you’ve done or plan to do with George Pickens (WR – DAL) this year. This week, we’re staying in the NFC East.

After a disappointing season following their appearance in the 2024 NFC Championship Game, Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS) and the Commanders didn’t live up to the hype due to an injury-riddled season. After firing offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury and promoting David Blough, the offense is headed in a new direction — and there is genuine excitement within the organization about the new offensive style.

My question to the Commanders is: Who is the RB1?

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB – WAS)

Jacory Croskey-Merritt — aka “Bob” — was a Twitter darling last offseason with only Brian Robinson Jr. in his way, playing alongside 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year Jayden Daniels. What’s not to like? He was primed to take over the Commanders’ backfield and be a league-winner, or so we thought.

Daniels got injured early in the season, tried to fight through it, and ultimately played just seven games. However, even on a bad team with a struggling offense, Croskey-Merritt played all 17 games, totaled almost 900 yards from scrimmage, and scored eight touchdowns — all while playing second fiddle to Brian Robinson Jr. and Chris Rodriguez for most of the season.

Robinson is now with the Atlanta Falcons, and Rodriguez took his talents to Jacksonville. Surely Croskey-Merritt is the favorite to finally make good on his promise as the Commanders’ lead back, right?

One would think. But with Washington adding veteran running backs Rachaad White (RB – WAS) and Jerome Ford (RB – WAS), then drafting sixth-round pick Kaytron Allen (RB – WAS), the question becomes: is Croskey-Merritt the running back on this roster we should trust — or should we take a deeper look at the competition?

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Washington Commanders Edition Read More »

johnston

Top Dynasty Value for Each AFC East & West Team 

Dynasty / By /

*Positional rankings in this article were pulled from Dynasty Football Factory’s Consensus Rankings

AFC East
Buffalo Bills – Dalton Kincaid (TE14)

Dalton Kincaid is a frustrating player to have in fantasy. He’s uber-efficient on a per-route and per-touch basis, yet he gets on the field an exasperatingly low amount due to injuries and a somewhat one-dimensional profile. 

Despite a measly 38.3% snap share (TE70) in 2025, Kincaid finished as the TE13 on average, putting up 10.5 fantasy points per game. He accomplished that with some insane per-touch output, ranking first at the position in yards per route (3.02), first downs per route (0.143), yards per target (11.7), and QB rating per target (149.2). If his knee ever allows him to handle a full workload, Kincaid could break fantasy. Sadly, that may never happen.

Miami Dolphins – Caleb Douglas (WR133)

Expected to be a late-round selection, Caleb Douglas was a shocking pick when Miami selected him in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. Looking at his measurables, though, it’s easy to see why the Dolphins liked him. He’s 6’4”, 206 pounds and ran a 4.39 40-yard dash at the combine — numbers that will turn some heads.

Douglas can burn past defenders, and he uses his height effectively to high-point the football. Those skills helped him rack up 845 yards and seven scores at Texas Tech last season. Given his draft capital, Douglas will have a chance to carve out a role in a receiver room bereft of playmakers. Anytime after Round 20 of startups or Round 3 in rookie drafts is a perfect time to take a swing on him. 

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Top Dynasty Value for Each AFC East & West Team  Read More »