Antonio Williams

USATSI 29213158

Biggest Dynasty Ranking Discrepancies

Dynasty / By /

Earlier this offseason, I wrote a similar piece, breaking down the biggest gaps between my devy rankings and those of DFF ranker @Evan_Kerr_. Today, I’m covering the dynasty players where I’m furthest from consensus here at DFF, which averages my rankings with those of Evan and @force_fantasy. Some of these might not seem like huge discrepancies, but keep in mind my rankings make up a third of what consensus spits out, so the value differences are bigger than they may seem.

As always, these rankings are based on dynasty, Superflex, and Tight End Premium scoring. I’ll provide my positional ranking for comparison with the consensus. 

Players I’m Above Consensus On
Luther Burden III – (WR – CHI)
My dynasty rank – WR14
DFF consensus – WR18

Here’s my bull case for Burden, plain and simple. He and Loveland were hand-selected by HC Ben Johnson. Rome Odunze was not. 

It took some time for Burden to get fully acclimated, but we saw his upside in the latter part of his rookie year. Through the final seven weeks of 2025, Burden finished third in the NFL in yards per route run with 2.92 (min. 20 targets). He posted a robust 26.8% target rate during that span, confirming he was a focal point in Chicago’s passing attack. 

Exptrapolate that kind of efficiency over a 17-game sample and a full route share now that D.J. Moore is gone, and you have a guy who could finish top 10 at his position in fantasy. I think there’s a very good chance Burden is a consensus WR1 (top 12) in dynasty by this time next year. 

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stribling

“Colossus” 2026 Final Rookie WR1 Analytical Model Rankings

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

The Prospect Analytical Model Rankings are one of our members’ favorite series each year at Dynasty Football Factory. Years of refining and enhancing the models to accurately predict future fantasy value have brought us to today. 

This article covers the final post-NFL Draft analytical model rankings for the wide receiver position. These WR1 model rankings will be your ultimate guide to predicting which prospects will produce the most fantasy points in their NFL career.

You can find the running back RB1 model here.

For those new to the WR1 rating, it is a proprietary formula I developed in 2019 that provides a data-driven forecast of future fantasy production for incoming rookie wide receivers. There are many advanced metrics available today; we at DFF know it can be difficult to determine which ones matter and how much each matters. The WR1 model distills all that hard work into a single, easy-to-understand number. The model evaluates rookies across 13 of the most predictive metrics and combines their individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating. It was a pioneer in the fantasy analysis industry, being the first to incorporate a film-grade into the model. The goal is to provide an easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend hundreds of hours dissecting different metrics. Based on the prospect’s model score, I provide their probability of achieving at least one top-24 NFL Fantasy Points Per Game Season, using historical prospects with similar score ranges.

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111

Meet Your Round 2 Rookie Draft Steal at WR

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

We’re less than a month out from the NFL Draft, and by now you’ve probably gotten the full rundown on every rookie prospect worth knowing. But here’s the thing: winning rookie drafts isn’t about knowing who everyone else likes. It’s about finding the guys the dynasty community is sleeping on. And today, I’m confident I’ve found your Round 2 steal at wide receiver. That receiver is Antonio Williams out of Clemson. Right now, the dynasty community is treating him like a virtual zero. He’s the WR139 overall and the 31st overall Superflex rookie prospect on KeepTradeCut, a crowdsourced dynasty ranking site.  My ranks? WR37 overall. 11th overall Superflex dynasty rookie asset. That’s a pretty absurd discrepancy. So let me explain exactly why I’m so high on Williams and why you should be too. High School Williams was a highly-touted prospect coming out of high school, ranked as a four-star recruit and the WR6 in his class on 247Sports. He finished his senior year at Dutch Fork with 80 receptions for 1,569 yards and 14 touchdowns. Williams was also a tremendous punt returner in high school, averaging 26.2 yards on 29 career returns.  Dutch Fork was one of the strongest teams in South Carolina, winning three state championships during Williams’ time there. He was selected as an Under Armour All-American. Williams received offers from many top programs across the country, but elected to stay close to home and signed with Clemson, under HC Dabo Swinney.  Clemson (2022-25) Williams was an immediate producer for Clemson, leading the team in receptions and yards

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williams

Always Be Scouting — Episode 4: “The Post Delivers, Even in a Blizzard”

All Access, Always be Scouting, Videos / By /

In this week’s episode of Always Be Scouting, @DffFrankPanthro and @John_mancuso5 compare the 2025 and 2026 classes from a fantasy perspective and debate player values. #DFFArmy #AlwaysBeBuilding #AlwaysBeScouting #WinNowBragLater

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Caden Veltkamp

C2C Start/Sit: Week 6

All Access, C2C / By /

Each Friday, I’ll be putting out my Start/Sit calls right here. It’s about sharpening your game and building the confidence to try to optimize your C2C lineup each week and potentially find players who’ll influence NFL weekly Pick’em next year on Sundays. Win Now, Brag Later. Kick back, grab a drink, light your cigar, and let’s dive in.

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Wan’Dale Robinson: Draft or Pass

Dynasty / By /

Wan’Dale Robinson is currently the most disrespected prospect in the 2022 Rookie Class by far as he’s slotted as a late second/early third-round rookie pick. The only reason I continue to see people point to is that his size will be an issue. What those people fail to realize is that the NFL is changing quickly and they are valuing the guys with short-area quickness that allow their quarterbacks to get the ball into playmakers’ hands and let them pick up yardage. I am well aware Daniel Jones is as far as possible from Tom Brady but the notion that small slot players can’t dominate targets on offense is overstated.

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