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Just like that, we’ve made it to Part 4 of 5 in our Expert Devy Rankings series. If you missed any of the first three editions, you can view those by clicking any of the links below: Devy Rankings 50-41 Devy Rankings 40-31 Devy Rankings 30-21 These consensus ranks are an average between me and @Evan_Kerr_, and are a snapshot as of April 7, 2026. As a reminder, all of these values are based on a Superflex, Tight End Premium league format. Time to see who came in at the 20th overall spot. 20. Dante Moore (QB – Oregon) Jim’s rank – 13th Evan’s rank – 25th QB7 overall Dante Moore is headed back to Eugene for one final season after a surprising decision not to declare for the 2026 NFL Draft. I know he’ll be earning a lucrative NIL deal this coming season, but he seemingly passed up on a guaranteed $50 million, assuming he would have gone 2nd overall to the Jets or 3rd overall to the Cardinals. He now puts himself in a difficult spot, where the 2027 class has the potential to be absolutely loaded at the quarterback position. Still, Moore displays several NFL-level traits, including accuracy to all three levels, a quick release, and the ability to feel pressure in the pocket and adjust. His lack of rushing upside limits his fantasy ceiling, but it feels likely he’ll at least get a shot to prove he’s starting material in the NFL. 19. Justice Haynes (RB – Georgia Tech) Jim’s rank – 10th Evan’s rank – […]
In this article, I’ll be reviewing data from the past four seasons to predict the next top 12 fantasy football quarterbacks. I started by analyzing the top 12 quarterbacks by points per game in each season for the past 4 seasons, identifying a total of 26 players. Next, I focused on quarterbacks who achieved multiple top 12 seasons — not just one-hit wonders. This narrowed the list to 15 total quarterbacks. Josh Allen Patrick Mahomes Brock Purdy Jalen Hurts Lamar Jackson Dak Prescott Trevor Lawrence Bo Nix Daniel Jones Joe Burrow Baker Mayfield Jared Goff Kyler Murray Jordan Love Tua Tagovailoa These are the 15 guys I will be looking at closely in this article. 15/15 averaged more than 23 PPR in their best college season 15/15 threw for more than 5000 yards in their college career 15/15 threw for more than 40 touchdowns in their college career 14/15 passed for more than 175 yards a game (Hurts) 14/15 rushed for more than 10 yards a game (Goff) 14/15 averaged more than 20 PPR a game in their college career (Love) 14/15 had more than 2 touchdowns to interceptions ratio (Jones) 14/15 had more than 300 rushing yards in college (Goff) 14/15 was taller than 72.5 inches (Murray) 13/15 were from a Power 5 conference 12/15 had a film score from NFL.com greater than 6.2 (Hurts, Prescott, Purdy) 10/15 were drafted in the top 12 of the NFL Draft (Jackson, Love, Hurts, Prescott, Purdy) So, looking at these 12 stats, I will break down this year’s quarterbacks and look at […]
The Prospect Analytical Model Rankings are one of our members’ favorite series each year at Dynasty Football Factory. Years of refining and enhancing the models to accurately predict future fantasy value have brought us to today. These WR1 model rankings are your ultimate guide to predicting which prospects will produce the most fantasy points in their NFL career. You can find the wide receivers ranked 15 to 11 in the WR1 model here. You can find the wide receivers ranked 10 to 6 here. You can find the running back RB1 model here. For those new to the WR1 rating, it is a proprietary formula I developed in 2019 that provides a data-driven forecast of future fantasy production for incoming rookie wide receivers. There are many advanced metrics available today; we at DFF know it can be difficult to determine which ones matter and how much each matters. The WR1 model distills all that hard work into a single, easy-to-understand number. The model evaluates rookies across 13 of the most predictive metrics and combines their individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating. It was a pioneer in the fantasy analysis industry, being the first to incorporate a film-grade into the model. The goal is to provide an easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend hundreds of hours dissecting different metrics. Based on the prospect’s model score, I provide their probability of achieving at least one top-24 NFL Fantasy Points Per Game Season, using historical prospects with similar score ranges. The WR1 model consistently outperforms NFL draft capital […]
We’ve made it to Part 3 of our five-part Devy rankings series, covering our Top 50 consensus Devy prospects as we head into the 2026 college football season. If you missed the first two editions of this series, you can check them out below: Devy Rankings 50-41 Devy Rankings 40-31 These rankings are based on Superflex and Tight End Premium scoring settings, and are a snapshot of our consensus ranks as of April 7, 2026. Let’s take a look at who came in at number 30! 30. Jayce Brown (WR – LSU) Jim’s ranking – 38th Evan’s ranking – 23rd WR12 overall Jayce Brown is headed to Baton Rouge after three productive seasons at Kansas State, where he compiled nearly 2,000 receiving yards and 13 total touchdowns. He’s a versatile weapon who can play X, Z, or slot, and has the burst and long speed to take the top off of defenses. He was frequently utilized as a deep threat for the Wildcats, with a career aDOT of 14.0 and 17.1 yards per reception (Y/REC). Brown is a smooth route runner, and his athleticism makes him a highlight reel waiting to happen. The biggest concerns here are size, physicality, and consistency. Brown is listed at around 180 lbs and has 14 career drops, for a drop rate of 10.9%. He needs to clean up the concentration drops to establish himself as a top-tier wide receiver in the 2027 class. 29. Ousmane Kromah (RB – Florida State) Jim’s ranking – 28th Evan’s ranking – 28th RB8 overall Ousmane is coming off […]
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Finding 2026 Fantasy RB1 Value Before the Draft
In this article, I’ll be reviewing data from the past four seasons to predict the next top 12 fantasy football running backs. I started by analyzing the top 24 running backs by points per game in each season, identifying a total of 49 players. Next, I focused on running backs who achieved multiple top 24 seasons — not just one-hit wonders. This narrowed the list to 26 total running backs. Lastly, I wanted to break it down one more time to get only the elite running backs. So I broke the list down into guys who had multiple top 12 finishes in points per game over the last four seasons and came up with a list of 15 guys. Saquon Barkley Derrick Henry Jahmyr Gibbs Joe Mixon Christian McCaffrey Bijan Robinson Kyren Williams De’Von Achane Breece Hall James Conner Alvin Kamara James Cook Josh Jacobs Jonathan Taylor Aaron Jones These are the 15 guys I will be looking at closely in this article. 15/15 averaged more than 5.0 yards per carry. 14/15 were Power 5 running backs (not Aaron Jones). 14/15 were graded 6.0 or higher for NFL.com grades (not James Conner). 13/15 were drafted in the top 3 rounds (not Aaron Jones or Kyren Williams). 13/15 had more than 30 career catches in college (not Derrick Henry or James Conner). 13/15 had more than .7 touchdowns per game (not James Cook or Josh Jacobs). 13/15 had more than 16 fantasy points per game (not James Cook or Josh Jacobs). 12/15 had more than 95 yards per game (not James […]
2026 DFF Expert Devy Rankings 40-31
The Devy rankings series rolls on! This time, we’re covering the prospects ranked 40-31 in our consensus ranks. As a quick reminder, these are an average of my own and @Evan_Kerr_’s rankings, and are a snapshot of our list as of April 7, 2026. Our Devy rankings are updated year-round, and members can access the full list of 200+ prospects by clicking here. We also offer Dynasty and Campus 2 Canton rankings, helping you build championship rosters for all league formats. If you missed my prior article covering the players ranked 50-41, you can click here to read it. For reference, our rankings are based on Superflex and Tight End Premium settings. Let’s take a look at who came in at number 40. 40. Waymond Jordan (RB – USC) Jim’s ranking – 44th Evan’s ranking – 39th RB11 overall Waymond Jordan started his career at a JUCO in 2023, breaking out as a sophomore and winning Offensive Player of the Year in 2024. That season, he rushed for over 1,600 yards and 20 touchdowns for Hutchinson Community College in Kansas, averaging a robust 7.4 yards per attempt (YPA). He made the jump to the Power 4 in 2025, playing for the USC Trojans, where he quickly found success, but missed the second half of the year with an ankle injury. It was a small sample size (88 rush attempts), but Jordan put up some incredible per-rush numbers in 2025, averaging 6.5 YPA and 5.15 yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A). The most impressive number was his 33% juke rate, forcing […]
Episode 10: Always Be Scouting Origin Story + Mailbag 2.0 + Dynasty, Devy & C2C Talk with MG
In this week’s episode of Always […]
Is Eli Stowers the Best Tight End in the 2026 Dynasty Rookie Class?
Eli Stowers is a high-upside fantasy prospect and should be considered the premier receiving tight end in the 2026 rookie class, with borderline TE1 potential. His value stems from “WR-type” athleticism: a 4.51 40-yard dash and an all-time NFL Combine record for tight ends with a 45.5-inch vertical jump. Stowers now owns that record, and it wasn’t close. He didn’t just break it, he shattered it. Whatever team selects him in the 2026 NFL Draft will likely deploy him as an explosive “move” TE or big slot option, with a projected landing spot in the second round. He did line up and play WR at times in college. Now, I know the NFL isn’t college, but that nugget alone speaks for itself. Ask yourself: What other tight end can say that? The Con Stowers isn’t a George Kittle type who’ll get it done in the trenches. He profiles more like Travis Kelce, Tyler Warren, or Brock Bowers: below-average blockers, or perhaps worse. But all of them are legitimate receiving tight ends, and nobody questions their fantasy value. The Pro No team drafting Stowers is taking him for his blocking. That’s exactly what creates the discount in your rookie drafts, and make no mistake, he’ll be drafted with the intent of being a lethal weapon. Organizations don’t spend Day 2 capital on someone they view as a JAG. As long as Stowers is designated as a TE and not a WR, we’re essentially looking at a wide receiver playing the tight end position. For fantasy purposes, what’s not to like, whether […]
2026 DFF Expert Devy Rankings 50-41
In this exclusive article, @jim_DFF kicks off his 2026 Devy rankings series with the players ranked 50-41 based on DFF’s expert consensus.
Top 50 DFF Expert Devy Rankings Preview
@jim_DFF brings you a ~FREE~ sneak peek at some of the college prospects who made the Top 50 in DFF’s Expert Devy Ranks.
Dynasty Trade Disasters: The Moves DFF Analysts Still Regret – Volume 1
Make no mistake, the game we play is fueled in many ways. It’s difficult to argue that winning championships doesn’t lord over all, but as someone who’s played in fantasy football leagues for money since 2003, I’ll attest that the closest high is often accompanied by a monumental trade. As players, we have to understand that we’re not going to win every transaction, and when we do lose, it’s best to limit the damage. But now and then, and we’re all guilty, we make a move so heinous that years later you can pinpoint the exact day and time the transaction occurred, sort of like a natural disaster or a painful surgery. Being accountable is key as an analyst, so here are a few of the DFF Crew’s most regrettable moves, starting with my own. Sent Ja’Marr Chase for Marvin Harrison Jr. – 2024 @DFF_MR In a 2024 Dynasty Football Factory League Startup, I traded away Ja’Marr Chase for Marvin Harrison straight up. My initial offer of Chase for Marv plus Zach Charbonnet had been rejected, and since MHJ was selected a mere four slots after Chase, this unraveled into a scenario where Rookie Fever got the best of me. I opted to sacrifice value in favor of the shiny toy. It was Marv’s rookie season, and expectations were high as the “generational prospect” hype was generating steam via the Dynasty Community as a potential future Dynasty 1.01 selection. Conversely, Chase was coming off a somewhat mediocre 2023 campaign (by his standards), posting 16.8 FPPG, much of it fueled by […]
Reviewing My Top Dynasty Exposures
If you’re a portfolio dynasty player (I’d put the threshold at around eight or more leagues), it’s worth periodically checking your overall dynasty exposures to make sure your ownership percentages actually reflect your player takes. Tracking player exposure helps you identify where you’re underweight and looking to add, and who you might want to sell to avoid being over-leveraged. I use Dynasty Data Lab for this, and the dynasty offseason is the perfect window to review your exposures. In today’s article, I’ll break down my top 10 most-owned players and share my thoughts on each from a dynasty perspective. To keep this article focused solely on impact players, I’ll just be looking at the first 12 rounds of startup ADP. 1. Harold Fannin (TE – CLE) – 41.2% ownership Fannin was a major third-round target for me in last year’s dynasty rookie drafts, coming off the most productive tight end season in college football history. He was overlooked due to his athletic limitations and the poor competition he faced at Bowling Green (both legitimate concerns), but the discount was simply too large, considering his production profile. I’m thrilled to have so many shares of what I believe is a clear Top 5 dynasty TE, and I acquired most of these shares for a fraction of his current price. 2. Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) – 35.3% ownership Another 2025 rookie prospect who was a major target of mine in the latter part of the first round. I loved everything about Loveland’s college profile; he was elite from a per-route perspective, […]
