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We have officially made it to the point in the year where dynasty, devy, and C2C drafts are in full swing. Jim (@jim_DFF) and I (@Evan_Kerr_) have been hard at work adjusting and tinkering with our devy rankings to make them a near-perfect product for all to utilize. Grinding film and digging into analytics has helped us to painstakingly rank over 300 players on their ability to make the jump to the next level.
The process has made us question ourselves in a number of ways, and even now that the rankings are updated, we find ourselves questioning where different players landed on the big board.
In this four-article series, we’ve decided to peel back the proverbial curtain and reveal some of what goes on within the mind of a devy ranker. Isolating one position for each article, we were each asked a series of five questions that forced us to decide which players we think are too high, which players we think are too low, a player that we just can’t seem to quit, a player we have completely given up on, and a deep sleeper we think more people need to be talking about.
Up next for the third edition of the Devy Rankings Q&A, we focused on the wide receivers.
Q: What player do you feel is ranked too highly and could have drafters regretting their choice in the future?
Evan: Andrew Marsh. I truly think he is a fine receiver, but the expectations for him are getting a little too much for my liking. He is an average athlete by most metrics, and I’m not sure he profiles as a WR1, but he is being drafted like one. Coming in at WR19 in our rankings and just outside the overall top 50, Marsh will need to do what nearly all previous Wolverines that came before him have failed to do – produce. There are early questions surrounding quarterback Bryce Underwood’s ability to get him the ball, and the offense historically is not one that puts receivers in the NFL. I am also of the opinion that he isn’t the best receiver on his own team. That title might go to incoming freshman Salesi Moa before the 2026 season comes to a close.
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Most people join fantasy football leagues for one reason. They want to win. Everybody wants that double championship at the end of the season. A lot of people think winning comes down to being the best evaluator or grinding film nonstop. That is not really my style. My edge comes from roster building, understanding value, staying active, and using the right tools to stay ahead of the league.
C2C startups are their own beast. You are drafting anywhere from 40 to 45 rounds, so it pays to have a plan. A good rule of thumb starts with understanding where value comes from in each part of the draft. That is where Dynasty Football Factory comes in with our Devy rankings from Jim and Evan, along with my C2C rankings. In rounds 1 to 10, you want to focus on high-level devy prospects who can also produce right away. These are the players who can help you now on the college side and still carry future NFL value. They are studs now and studs later.
In rounds 11 to 25, you can start shifting toward pure college fantasy producers. These are the players who might not be big NFL names, but they can win you college matchups in the here and now. That high-volume Group of Five wide receiver or that dual-threat quarterback who might not have the size for the pros can be gold when you are trying to fill out your weekly lineup. Then, once you get to round 26 and beyond, that is where you start swinging for upside. Freshmen, sophomores, or under-the-radar talents who could take the next step. Maybe they do not help you much right away, but in a year or two, they could become pieces that help feed your NFL roster.
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We have officially made it to the point in the year where dynasty, devy, and C2C drafts are in full swing. Jim (@jim_DFF) and I (@Evan_Kerr_) have been hard at work adjusting and tinkering with our devy rankings to make them a near-perfect product for all to utilize. Grinding film and digging into analytics has helped us to painstakingly rank over 300 players on their ability to make the jump to the next level.
The process has made us question ourselves in a number of ways, and even now that the rankings are updated, we find ourselves questioning where different players landed on the big board.
In this four-article series, we’ve decided to peel back the proverbial curtain and reveal some of what goes on within the mind of a devy ranker. Isolating one position for each article, we were each asked a series of five questions that forced us to decide which players we think are too high, which players we think are too low, a player that we just can’t seem to quit, a player we have completely given up on, and a deep sleeper we think more people need to be talking about.
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@joshreedy5 dives into some historical date and predictive RB analytics to predict the Top 12 RBs in fantasy football for 2026.
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Devy Rankings Q&A – Quarterbacks
We have officially made it to the point in the year where dynasty, devy, and C2C drafts are in full swing. Jim (@jim_DFF) and I (@Evan_Kerr_) have been hard at work adjusting and tinkering with our devy rankings to make them a near-perfect product for all to utilize. Grinding film and digging into analytics has helped us to painstakingly rank over 300 players on their ability to make the jump to the next level.
The process has made us question ourselves in a number of ways, and even now that the rankings are updated, we find ourselves questioning where different players landed on the big board.
In this four-article series, we’ve decided to peel back the proverbial curtain and reveal some of what goes on within the mind of a devy ranker. Isolating one position for each article, we were each asked a series of four questions that forced us to decide which players we think are too high, which players we think are too low, a player that we just can’t seem to quit, and a deep sleeper we think more people need to be talking about.
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Episode 14: Mailbag + Winners, Losers, and Biggest Reaches of the NFL Draft
In this week’s episode of Always Be Scouting, @DffFrankPanthro and @John_mancuso5 cover mailbag questions and give their draft grades and opinions for each NFL team.Â
“Colossus” 2026 Final Rookie WR1 Analytical Model Rankings
The Prospect Analytical Model Rankings are one of our members’ favorite series each year at Dynasty Football Factory. Years of refining and enhancing the models to accurately predict future fantasy value have brought us to today.Â
This article covers the final post-NFL Draft analytical model rankings for the wide receiver position. These WR1 model rankings will be your ultimate guide to predicting which prospects will produce the most fantasy points in their NFL career.
You can find the running back RB1 model here.
For those new to the WR1 rating, it is a proprietary formula I developed in 2019 that provides a data-driven forecast of future fantasy production for incoming rookie wide receivers. There are many advanced metrics available today; we at DFF know it can be difficult to determine which ones matter and how much each matters. The WR1 model distills all that hard work into a single, easy-to-understand number. The model evaluates rookies across 13 of the most predictive metrics and combines their individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating. It was a pioneer in the fantasy analysis industry, being the first to incorporate a film-grade into the model. The goal is to provide an easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend hundreds of hours dissecting different metrics. Based on the prospect’s model score, I provide their probability of achieving at least one top-24 NFL Fantasy Points Per Game Season, using historical prospects with similar score ranges.
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Draft Day Afterparty: ABS x Pro Draft Scouting 3 Round Post Draft Mock with Luigi Tedone
In this episode of Always Be Scouting, @DffFrankPanthro and @Devy_Luigi of prodraftscouting.com discuss the 2026 rookie draft class and hop into a 3-Round Dynasty Rookie Mock draft.
Controlling the Board: Building a Dynasty Startup Through Value, Flexibility, and Intent
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Best and Worst Picks in Dynasty Startup Drafts: Rounds 5-8
I’m bananas for Burden. This is about the area I like to start swinging for upside, and Luther Burden has it in droves. He finished his rookie year on a strong note and ended up with 652 receiving yards and two scores on 47 receptions. But it’s the underlying metrics that get me all hot and bothered: WR2 in target separation (2.62), WR3 in yards per route run (2.79), and WR4 in QB Rating per target (123.1). With D.J. Moore now in Buffalo, Burden is set to take on a larger role in Ben Johnson’s offense going into Year 2.Â
Fade: Quinshon Judkins (RB – CLE)
There’s a lot to like about Quinshon Judkins; I just wish he wasn’t in such a bad situation and coming off serious leg injuries. He broke his fibula and dislocated his ankle in his right leg late in December. That’s a tough thing to come back from, even at 22 years old. He’ll be fine eventually, but even before that, he only averaged 3.6 yards per carry behind a piss poor Cleveland offensive line. His 12.1 fantasy points per game were only good for RB25. Maybe in Round 6 or 7, I can talk myself into it. But in the fifth round, I want a rock-solid back I can feel good about. I don’t get that feeling with Judkins.
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Best and Worst Picks in Dynasty Startup Drafts: Rounds 1-4
Fresh off winning Offensive Player of the Year after a brilliant 2025 campaign, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the perfect cornerstone to build your dynasty team around. He only recently turned 24 years old and has been as durable as they come, never missing a game in his three-year career thus far. With back-to-back seasons of over 100 catches, JSN is the focal point of Seattle’s offense and should continue to be for years to come. He’s an easy click in Round 1 if I have the chance to draft him.Â
Fade: Joe Burrow (QB – CIN)
Older than you might think, Joe Burrow will turn 30 before the 2026 season concludes. And while he’s not an immobile statue in the pocket, he really doesn’t add much fantasy production with his legs. For him to pay off first round draft capital, Joe Brrr needs to have extreme outlier seasons in the passing department. He’s capable of it — like in 2024 when he threw for 4,913 yards and 43 scores — but he’s also missed substantial time in three of his six pro seasons and remains an injury risk.Â
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