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Opportunity Knocks: NFL Shares to Watch – Week 10

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Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. With Week 8 in the rearview, let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the upcoming slate of games.

Arizona Cardinals

  • Rondale Moore recorded a career-high target share of 28.6% (10 TGT) on 90.0% of the offensive snaps (57). Moore led the Cardinals in receptions (8) and receiving yards (69).
  • DeAndre Hopkins returned to back to earth after two consecutive otherworldly performances. Hopkins saw only five targets (14.3%), catching four for 36 yards and one touchdown.
  • Kyler Murray led the team with eight rushing attempts for 60 rushing yards. Murray completed 25/35 passes for 175 yards and two touchdowns. He was sacked five times.
  • James Conner made his return after a three-game absence, playing 71.0% of the team’s snaps (45) with a 14.3% target share (5 TGT) and 58.3% rushing share (7 RSH). Conner caught all five of his targets for 19 yards, adding 45 rushing yards on seven attempts.
  • Eno Benjamin was relegated to a secondary role with Conner in the lineup, playing just 27.0% of the offensive snaps (17) with four rushing attempts (33.3 RSH%).

Atlanta Falcons

  • Cordarrelle Patterson was removed from injured reserve, making an immediate impact with two touchdowns. Patterson played 39.0% (24) of the offensive snaps, garnering 13 carries (43.3 RSH%) for 44 yards. Patterson caught his lone target for a nine-yard gain.
  • Rookie running back Tyler Allgeier matched Patterson with a 39.0% snap share (24) and was the more effective runner, tallying 99 rushing yards on ten attempts (33.3 RSH%).
  • Kyle Pitts led the Falcons in receiving yards, needing just two receptions and 27 yards to accomplish the lowly feat.
  • Drake London mirrored Pitts with a similarly disappointing performance, catching three passes for 23 yards. Both players earned a team-high seven targets (30.4%).

Baltimore Ravens

  • Lamar Jackson struggled as a passer without his top-two receivers in the lineup as Mark Andrews and Rashod Batemen dealt with injuries. Jackson completed 12/22 pass attempts for 133 yards and one touchdown. He levied his low passing output with 11 rushing attempts for 82 yards.
  • Rookie tight end Isaiah Likely took over the lead duties in Andrews’ stead, playing 76.0% of the offensive snaps (52) with a team-high five targets (22.7%). Likely caught just one pass for 24 yards and a touchdown.
  • Kenyan Drake handled a season-high 24 rushing attempts (85.7 RSH%) for 93 yards and two touchdowns. The veteran running back played 68.0% of the offensive snaps.
  • Devin Duvernay (50 Snaps/1 TGT), Demarcus Robinson(48 Snaps/4 TGT), James Proche (17 Snaps/2 TGT), veteran practice squad-signee DeSean Jackson (11 Snaps/2 TGT) all saw increased work with Andrews and Bateman sidelined.

Buffalo Bills

  • Josh Allen has thrown multiple interceptions in back-to-back contests. Allen did not throw a touchdown pass, marking the first game of the season that the Bills quarterback was unable to connect with a receiver in the end zone. The star quarterback is now dealing with an elbow sprain that could keep him out of the team’s Week 11 matchup.
  • Stefon Diggs led the Bills with ten targets (29.4%), catching five for 93 yards.
  • Gabriel Davis led the wide receivers with a 95.0% snap count (59). Davis recorded a 14.7% target share (5 TGT). He managed just 33 yards on two receptions.
  • Devin Singletary dominated the Bills’ backfield usage with a 74.0% snap share (46) and a 66.7% rushing share (14 RSH) but managed a measly 24 rushing yards. Singletary also saw five targets (14.7%), catching four for 24 yards.
  • Dawson Knox played 85.0% of the offensive snaps, catching three of his four targets (11.8%) for 33 yards.
  • The Bills traded for Nyheim Hines during the final hours of the November 1st trade deadline. Hines played only four snaps, earning one target.

Carolina Panthers

  • P.J. Walker had more pass attempts (10) than passing yards (9) in the Panthers’ loss to the Bengals.
  • Walker was promptly benched for Baker Mayfield in the second half. Mayfield completed 14/20 attempts for 155 yards and two touchdowns. Surprisingly, the Panthers named Walker the starter for Week 10, likely due to the fact that they are actively trying to lose games in order to ensure a higher pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.
  • D’Onta Foreman rushed for 118 yards in back-to-back contests but fell flat in Week 9, tallying 23 yards on seven attempts (46.7 RSH%).
  • Raheem Blackshear (17 Snaps/5 RSH/4 TGT) and Spencer Brown (13 Snaps/3 RSH/3 TGT) saw noteworthy work at the running back position.
  • D.J. Moore and Terrace Marshall earned six targets (20.0%) each. Marshall led the duo with three receptions for 53 yards and one touchdown. Moore managed just two receptions for 24 yards.
  • Tommy Tremble caught his second touchdown of the season, hauling in two of his four targets (13.3%). Tremble played 55.0% (27) of the offensive snaps.

Chicago Bears

  • Justin Fields showcased his game-altering athleticism against a middling Dolphins Defense The Bears’ second-year quarterback rushed 15 times for 178 yards and one touchdown, setting the single-season rushing record for a quarterback. The rising star was only four yards shy of topping Colin Kaepernick’s all-time record of 181 yards. Fields continues to up his production and efficiency as a passer, completing 17/28 attempts for 123 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions. 
  • Let this be your weekly reminder that Khalil Herbert is better than David Montgomery but the Bears do not seem to care. Montgomery was gifted an undeserving snap share of 70.0% (52) with a 66.7% rushing share (14 RSH). The Bears starting back recorded a laughable total of 36 rushing yards (2.6 YPC) and eight receiving yards.
  • Herbert was given 21 snaps (28.0%) with seven carries (33.3 RSH%) despite the dreadful inefficiencies of Montgomery.
  • Darnell Mooney led the Bears wide receivers in snap percentage (86.0%) and target share (28.6%). Mooney caught his first touchdown of the season, finishing with seven receptions for 43 yards on eight total targets.
  • Cole Kmet led all members of the offense with a 97.0% snap share (72), earning a 21.4% target share (6 TGT). He caught five passes for 41 yards and two touchdowns, marking the best game of his young career.
  • The Bears traded for Steelers wideout Chase Claypool in an attempt to bolster their receiving depth. Claypool played 35.0% of the team’s snap in his first game but managed an impressive 21.4% target share (6 TGT) in his limited playing time. Claypool caught two passes for 13 yards.

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe Mixon set the Bengals franchise record with the most touchdowns (5) in a single game. Mixon was finally able to leverage his high-volume opportunity into meaningful production, posting 261 scrimmage yards (153 RSH YDS/58 REC YDS) on 26 touches (22 RSH/4 REC). Mixon was equally as effective on the ground and through the air, earning five targets (16.1%) with a 78.6% rushing share and 65.0% snap share (48). 
  • Tee Higgins led the team in receptions (7) and receiving yards (60), earning a team-high eight targets (25.8%) on 62.0% of the offensive snaps (49).
  • Tyler Boyd saw six targets (19.4%), acting as the team’s number two receiving option while Higgins served in the stead of an injured Ja’Marr Chase.
  • The Bengals offensive snap percentages are heavily skewed by their dominant blowout win in which they sat most of their starters in the fourth quarter.

Cleveland Browns (BYE WEEK)

Dallas Cowboys (BYE WEEK)

Denver Broncos (BYE WEEK)

Detroit Lions

  • Jamaal Williams shouldered a three-down workload, playing 61.0% of the offensive snaps (38) with an 80.0% rushing share (24 RSH). Williams totaled 81 yards.
  • The Lions are protecting D’Andre Swift like a sick newborn baby, slowly nursing him back to health with limited exposure to danger. Swift played a mere ten snaps, earning two carries (6.7 RSH%) and four targets (15.4%).
  • Justin Jackson played more snaps than Swift.
  • Amon-Ra St.Brown played a team-high 97.0% of the offensive snaps (60), earning nine targets (34.6%).
  • Brock Wright started at the tight end position after the team traded T.J. Hockenson. Wright played 81.0% of the team’s snaps (50) but saw fewer targets than James Mitchell who played only 21.0% of the snaps (13).
  • The Lions toppled their bitter division rivals in an unsuspecting defensive demolition after allowing 37.0 PPG during the first eight weeks of 2022.

Green Bay Packers

  • As alphabetic fate would have it, the team the above-mentioned Lions trumped was none other than the now 3-6 Aaron Rodgers-led Packers. The former MVP threw three interceptions, completing 23/43 attempts for 291 yards and one touchdown. Rodgers and the Packers have now lost five consecutive games.
  • The Packers’ rushing attack was a disappointment throughout the entire contest. Rodgers led the team with 40 rushing yards. A.J. Dillon manages just 34 yards on 11 carries. Aaron Jones tacked on 25 yards on nine rushing attempts.
  • Dillon led the Packers duo of running backs with a 66.0% snap share (49) and 9.3% target share (4 TGT).
  • Jones played 41.0% of the offensive snaps (30), earning two targets (4.7%).
  • Allen Lazard recorded four receptions on ten targets (23.3%) for 87 yards and one touchdown. Lazard led the packers with 88.0% of the team’s snaps (65).
  • Romeo Doubs played one snap before being carted off the field with a significant ankle injury.
  • Robert Tonyan (34 Snaps), Marcedes Lewis (32 Snaps), and Josiah Deguara (28 Snaps) formed a three-way committee at the tight end position.

Houston Texans

  • Dameon Pierce is the only player on the Texans’ offense worth noting. The rookie running back smashed through the Eagles’ top-ranked defense, recording 139 yards on 27 carries (96.4 RSH%).
  • Brandin Cooks did not play due to personal reasons and an undisclosed injury/illness.

Indianapolis Colts

  • Sam Ehlinger recorded his second official start as a pro quarterback in Week 8. Ehlinger completed 15/29 pass attempts for 103 yards with zero touchdowns and one interception. The decision to ever allow Ehlinger to start a game in the first place likely had a hand in the firing of Colts head coach Frank Reich.
  • Deon Jackson filled in for Jonathan Taylor but was unable to repeat his RB1 heroics from weeks past. Jackson rushed 11 times (73.3 RSH%) with three targets (10.3%) on 63.0% of the team’s snaps (39).
  • The Colts’ receivers have suffered with Ehlinger under center.
  • Michael Pittman played 90.0% of the offensive snaps (56), earning six targets (20.7%) but managing just 22 yards on three receptions.
  • No receiver recorded more than 25 yards.
  • Alec Pierce led the team with 23 yards which were accumulated on a single reception.
  • The Colts did not score a touchdown in Week 9.
  • Jeff Saturday was made the interim head coach in a head-scratching hire.

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Travis Etienne is a bonafide dynasty superstar. Etienne surpassed 100 scrimmage yards for the fifth consecutive contest. He earned an 81.0% snap share (56), 90.3% rushing share (28 RSH), and 6.5% target share (2 TGT). Etienne totaled 126 scrimmage yards (109 RSH YDS/17 REC YDS) on 30 touches (28 RSH/2 REC) with two touchdowns.
  • Christian Kirk led the Jaguars with nine targets (29.0%), catching eight for 76 yards and one touchdown despite playing 13 fewer snaps than Zay Jones
  • Jones had a 94.0% snap share (65), earning five targets (16.1%).
  • Marvin Jones (no relation) played 57.0% of the offensive snaps with a 19.4% target share (6 TGT).

Kansas City Chiefs

  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has recorded three consecutive games as a top-10 wide receiver in PPR scoring. He caught ten of his 12 targets (17.6%) for 88 yards while leading the team with an 83.0% snap share (83).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling played 71.0% of the offensive snaps (71) but earned only one target (1.5%).
  • Mecole Hardman saw a season-high nine targets (13.2%), catching six passes for 79 yards and one touchdown.
  • Travis Kelce matched Smith-Schuster with ten receptions, leading the chiefs with 106 recon yards on a team-high 17 targets (25.0%).
  • Jerrick McKinnon led the Chiefs backfield with a 62.0% snap share (62) and 11.8% target share (8 TGT).
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire played a season-low 17 snaps.
  • Patrick Mahomes led the Chiefs in rushing attempts (6) and rushing yards (63). Mahomes completed 43/68 attempts for 446 yards with one passing touchdown and one rushing touchdown in the overtime victory over the Titans.

Las Vegas Raiders 

  • The Raiders’ record fell to 2-6 after yet another tough loss, this time at the hands of the Jaguars.
  • Derek Carr had a respectable outing on paper, completing 21/36 pass attempts for 259 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Davante Adams was finally awarded the opportunity share he deserves, earning 17 targets (47.2%) on a 95.0% snap share (56). Adams recorded 10 receptions for 146 yards and two touchdowns.
  • Josh Jacobs was afforded his usual workload, amassing 17 carries (89.5 RSH%) and three targets (8.3%) but could muster only 87 scrimmage yards (67 RSH YDS/20 REC YDS).
  • Foster Moreau filled in as the starting tight end for an injured Darren Waller. Moreau played 97.0% of the offensive snaps with five targets (13.9%).

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Justin Herbert’s rib injury from Week 2 has been hindering him much more than the Chargers organization is leading us to believe. Herbert completed 30/43 pass attempts for 245 yards with one touchdown and one interception.
  • Josh Palmer became Herbert’s favorite target with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams sidelined. Palmer saw a team-high ten targets (23.3%), catching eight for 106 yards.
  • Austin Ekeler tallied 71 scrimmage yards (47 RSH YDS/24 REC YDS) on 21 touches (14 RSH/7 REC) with two total touchdowns.
  • DeAndre Carter (5 REC/6 TGT/53 YDS), Gerald Evertt (5 REC/8 TGT/36 YDS), And Michael Bandy (5 REC/8 TGT/26 YDS) were the only other members of the Chargers offense to show up in the receiving box score.
  • Isaiah Spiller has seemingly surpassed Sony Michel as Ekeler’s primary backup. The rookie running back recorded seven rushing attempts (31.8 RSH%) on 19.0% of the offensive snaps (13). Both categories topped the veteran Michel in comparison.

Los Angeles Rams

  • The Rams’ backfield is a mess of dysfunctional and incompetent talent. Darrel Henderson (28 Snaps/4 RSH/2 TGT/56 YDS), Malcolm Brown (16 Snaps/2 RSH/1 TGT/19 YDS), and Cam Akers (16 Snaps/5 RSH/0 TGT/3 YDS) split work at running back with neither option carrying much relevance moving forward.
  • Cooper Kupp is unstoppable on his quest for earning targets. Kupp recorded nine targets (33.3%) on 100.0% of the offensive snaps (57). Kupp caught 8 passes for 127 yards and one touchdown.
  • Allen Robinson is not utilized frequently as a serviceable pass-catcher. Robinson played 89.0% of the team’s snaps (51), catching three of five targets (18.5%) for 24 yards.
  • Tyler Higbee played 79.0% of the offensive snaps (45) but failed to haul in his only target.

Miami Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill led the team with eight targets (26.7%) on a 79.0% snap share (45), catching seven passes for 143 yards and one touchdown.
  • Jaylen Waddle caught five of seven targets (23.3%) for 85 yards and one touchdown while playing 72.0% of the offensive snaps (41).
  • Durham Smythe and Mike Gesicki split time at tight end with both players earning two targets (6.7%). Smythe out-snapped Gesicki 33 to 28.
  • Head coach Mike McDaniel traded for a familiar face bringing in other former 49ers running back Jeff Wilson. Wilson was immediately inserted into a productive role in McDaniel’s system, rushing nine times (50.0 RSH%) with three targets (10.0%) on a 49.0% snap share (28). The veteran running back was more efficient than his fellow former 49ers teammate Raheem Mostert, totaling 71 scrimmage yards (51 RSH YDS/21 REC YDS) with one receiving touchdown.
  • Mostert played one less snap than Wilson (27:28), matching his counterpart with nine carries (50.0 RSH%) but managed only 26 rushing yards and failed to catch either of his two targets (6.7%).

Minnesota Vikings

  • Justin Jefferson played 100.0 of the offensive snaps (66), topping all members of the offense with 13 targets (31.7%). Jefferson opened the game up catching four consecutive targets for 43 yards and a touchdown on the team’s first drive. He finished with 115 yards on seven receptions.
  • Adam Thielen saw seven targets (17.1%) on a 94.0% snap share (62). Thielen caught three passes for 67 yards.
  • Irv Smith Jr. suffered a high-ankle sprain in Week 8 and will be sidelined indefinitely with a severe high-ankle sprain.
  • The Vikings added tight end T.J. Hockenson to replace Smith and add to their array of talented weapons. Hockenson made an instantaneous impact on the offense, catching all nine of his targets (22.0%) for 70 yards.
  • Dalvin Cook found the endzone but managed just 56 scrimmage yards (47 RSH YDS/9 REC YDS) on 19 touches (17 RSH/2 REC).

New England Patriots

  • Jakobi Meyers was the only wide receiver on the Patriots’ offense to see more than four pass attempts in his vicinity. Meyers recorded six targets (20.0%) on 81.0% of the offensive snaps (51).
  • Rookie wideout Tyquan Thornton played 67.0% of the team’s snaps (42), receiving five targets (13.3%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson served as the Patriots leading running back and number-one wide receiver. Stevenson played 73.0% of the snaps (46), earning a 60.3% rushing share (15 RSH) and 23.3% target share (7 TGT). The second-year running back tallied 70 scrimmage yards (60 RSH YDS/10 REC YDS) on 18 touches (15 RSH/3 REC) with one touchdown.
  • Hunter Henry (42 Snaps/4 TGT) and Jonnu Smith (34 Snaps/4 TGT) continue to share work as a tandem.

New Orleans Saints

  • Andy Dalton received his sixth start as a member of the Saints, throwing for 210 yards on 19/29 attempts with one touchdown and one interception on a disastrous day against the Ravens.
  • Dalton will reportedly continue his reign as the starting quarterback despite his incompetence and fellow quarterback Jameis Winston clearing the injury report.
  • Taysom Hill saw snaps under center, at running back, slot receiver, out wide, tight end, and on special teams against the Ravens. Hill attempted one pass, completing it for 13 yards. He rushed once for 6 yards. Hill failed to catch his only target
  • Alvin Kamara played 88.0% of the offensive snaps (45), earning four targets (13.3%). Kamara rushed nine times for 30 yards, adding 32 yards on three receptions.
  • Chris Olave earned nine targets (30.0%) on a 90.0% snap share (46). The Saints’ rookie recorded six receptions for 71 yards. 
  • Juwan Johnson scored the team’s only touchdown.
  • Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry both remained sidelined without timetables for return.

New York Giants (BYE WEEK)

New York Jets

  • The Jets upset a heavily favored Bills team in a battle of bitter AFC East division rivals.
  • Zach Wilson connected with nine different receivers in the Jets win. The second-year quarterback completed 18/25 passes for 154 yards and one touchdown.
  • The Jets have decided to move Elijah Moore into the slot after holding his talents in captivity over the last ten weeks rather than utilize their stud second-year wideout as a part of the offense. Moore played 45.0% of the offensive snaps (27.0%) and saw zero targets.
  • Garrett Wilson led the Jets wide receivers in snap percentage (92.0%) and target share (36.0%), catching eight passes for 92 yards.
  • Denzel Mims saw a season-high four targets (24.4%), catching one pass for 12 yards. yards and two touchdowns. 
  • Michael Carter (31 Snaps/12 RSH/1 TGT) and James Robinson (24 Snaps, 13 RSH/2 TGT) are locked in a near 50/50 split for the foreseeable future. Robinson may very well take over the lead role as he continues to acclimate to a new offense.

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Jalen Hurts completed 21/27 pass attempts for 243 yards and two touchdowns, adding 23 rushing yards on nine carries.
  • Dallas Goedert led the offense with a 91.0% snap share (59), earning a team-high nine targets (33.3%). Goedert tallied eight receptions for 100 yards and one touchdown.
  • A.J. Brown was the recipient of Hurts’ other touchdown, catching four of his six targets (22.2%) for 59 yards.
  • DeVonta Smith caught both of his targets (7.4%) for a lowly 22 yards despite leading the wide receiver group with an 89.0% snap share (58)
  • Miles Sanders recorded 93 rushing yards and one touchdown on 17 carries (77.3 RSH%).
  • Kenneth Gainwell found the endzone for the third time this season, posting 22 rushing yards on four attempts (18.2 RSH%) while playing 28.0% of the offensive snaps. Gainwell caught all three of his targets (11.1%) for 16 yards.

Pittsburgh Steelers (BYE WEEK)

San Francisco 49ers (BYE WEEK)

Seattle Seahawks

  • Kenneth Walker III is quickly cementing himself as a top-end positional asset in dynasty. Walker handled a 92.9% rushing share (26 RSH) for 109 yards and two touchdowns. He also added three receptions for 20 yards on season-high four targets (11.8%). The rookie running back now has seven touchdowns over his last five contests.
  • D.K. Metcalf played 81.0% of the offensive snaps, earning a 17.6% target share (6 TGT). Metcalf caught five passes for 37 yards and one touchdown.
  • Tyler Lockett totaled 67 receiving yards, catching all five of his targets (14.7%) with one touchdown.
  • Noah Fant led the Seahawks with 96 receiving yards, hauling in five passes on six targets (17.6%).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Tom Brady would not succumb to his fourth loss in a row as the Buccaneers finally got a much-needed win over the defending Super Bowl Champion Rams.
  • Brady completed 36/58 pass attempts for 280 yards and one touchdown, becoming the first player in NFL history with over 100,000 combined passing yards in the regular season and playoffs.
  • Brady completed passes to ten different players.
  • Rookie tight end Cade Otton led the team with 68 receiving yards and one touchdown, catching five of his six targets (10.3%). Otton played 85.0% of the offensive snaps (71).
  • Scotty Miller led the Buccaneers with seven receptions. Miller levied a season-high eight targets (13.8%) into 53 yards despite being on the field for just 42.0% of the offensive snaps (35).
  • Mike Evans (11 TGT) and Chris Godwin (12 TGT) both received double-digit targets but ranked fourth and fifth on the offense in terms of receiving production.
  • Rachaad White handled more carries than Leonard Fournette for the first time this season.
  • Fournette maintained a high-volume receiving role ahead of White. Fournette recorded five catches for 41 yards on seven targets (12.1%).

Tennessee Titans

  • Long live the King. Derrick Henry touted 17 rushing attempts (81.0 RSH%) for 115 yards and two touchdowns on a 69.0% snap share. 
  • Rookie quarterback Malik Willis received his second start in the NFL, appearing lost and confused on nearly every snap. Willis looked every bit as bad as his first start, completing 5/16 attempts for a lowly 80 yards with no touchdowns.
  • Every receiver on the offense faltered with drastic regression while Willis was under center.

Washington Commanders

  • Taylor Heinicke made his third start of the 2022 season, completing 15/28 pass attempts for 149 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.
  • Terry McLaurin had a decent bounce-back performance, collecting five of his team-high nine targets (32.1%) for 56 yards after recording a net negative the game prior.
  • Curtis Samuel caught three of his four targets (14.3%) for 65 yards and one touchdown.
  • Brian Robinson (28 Snaps/13 RSH/2 TGT) and Antonio Gibson (37 Snaps/11 RSH/3 TGT) are stuck in a two-way committee with each player serving menial roles on the offense.

SIGNOFF

If you are looking to follow along throughout the weeks, check out the previous articles in this series here:

Much respect; thank you for reading. If you have any continued thoughts and would like to share, I am always available for an open conversation on Twitter: @PsychWardFF or Instagram: @psychwardff.

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