Isaiah Hodgins to Buffalo Bills: NFL Draft 2020

The Team Name selected Isaiah Hodgins, Wide Receiver, out of Oregon State University. He was the 28th pick of the sixth round and was the 31st wide receiver drafted in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Biography

Isaiah Hodgins is 6’4” and 210 pounds. He played three years at Oregon State and will be 21 years old at the beginning of the 2020 NFL season. Football is a family affair for Hodgins. His father James won a Super Bowl with the Rams and his brother Isaac also plays football at Oregon State.

College Production

Isaiah Hodgins broke out at the age of 19 (age during their first season with a 20% receiving dominator rating) in his second season for the Beavers. Hodgins’ best season was his junior season at 20 years old. Hodgins had 86 catches, for 1,171 receiving yards, and 13 scrimmage touchdowns for a receiving dominator rating (average percentage of their team’s receiving yards and receiving touchdowns) of 40.8% (80th percentile). Hodgins had exemplary age-adjusted production. He averaged 774.0 scrimmage yards (69th percentile) and 6.7 scrimmage touchdowns (71st percentile) per season for an average scrimmage dominator rating (average percentage of their team’s scrimmage yards and scrimmage touchdowns) per season of 15.6% (74th percentile). Hodgins was highly efficient within his offense and averaged 0.91 scrimmage yards per team play (72nd percentile).


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Athleticism

[profiler]IsaiahHodgins[/profiler]

Isaiah Hodgins has an above-average height-adjusted speed score of 96.8 (59th percentile) after running a 4.61-second 40-yard time at the NFL Combine. He has a solid burst score of 124.1 (67th percentile) and for a taller receiver, Hodgins has a great agility score of 11.13 (61st percentile). Overall, Hodgins has an excellent catch radius of 10.23 (91st  percentile). Hodgins is a tall, svelte possession wide receiver with good hands and technique. While he won’t burn many NFL cornerbacks, he has the tools and athleticism to be a valuable target in an NFL offense.

NFL Landing Spot

Buffalo Bills: The Buffalo Bills landed their offseason darling by trading for the disgruntled Stefon Diggs. Diggs is a great athlete, and can maximize any opportunity that he is given. Diggs will undoubtedly be the WR1 team, moving last year’s top dog John Brown to WR2 status. Brown’s 115 targets accounted for 22% of the team’s share. Slot man Cole Beasley wasn’t far behind Brown, accounting for 21% of targets. The team also has an emerging running back in Devin Singletary who was the fourth most targeted Bill on a per-game basis. Josh Allen struggled in 2019. Some believe that better days lie ahead for Allen. That might be the case, but the bottom line here is that this is an offense with an inaccurate quarterback, a fairly balanced run-pass split, and three veteran receivers with established roles. There is not a lot of opportunity here.

***Editor’s Note*** The Buffalo Bills selected Gabriel Davis in the fourth round of the draft.

Rivals’ Rapid Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins was a very productive wide receiver that won’t jump off the page athletically but has the prerequisite athleticism to be a solid possession receiver in the NFL. The Buffalo Bills invested late-sixth round draft capital into Hodgins. He has limited opportunity and will compete with Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, John Brown, Dawson Knox, Gabby Davis, and Devin Singletary for targets from Josh Allen

Isaiah Hodgins is in Dave’s fifth wide receiver tier, rookie WR22-WR24. Dave would target Hodgins in the fourth round of rookie drafts. Hodgins has an impressive production profile and requisite NFL athleticism. His landing spot and draft capital make him a low percentage bet in rookie drafts. He’s a similar type player to Gabby Davis that already landed in Buffalo earlier in Day Three. Buffalo’s investment in skill position players this year might indicate a desire to turn over the depth on offense. If that’s the case Hodgins’ opportunity might look a little better after Cole Beasley and John Brown move on from Buffalo in a year or two. Hodgins’ production profile as a whole makes him worth considering in the fourth round of rookie drafts.

Isaiah Hodgins is in Shawn’s fifth wide receiver tier, Shawn’s WR26, and ranks outside of Shawns top 50 rookies. Shawn would target Hodgins in the late fourth round in single QB and superflex formats. The Bills curiously take another skills position player. The depth chart has been becoming deeper by the minute in Buffalo, and Hodgins looks to be the seventh or eighth pass catcher. His college history of production and size make him an interesting stash candidate,  but bought with nothing more than a late round dart throw.


This article was written in collaboration with Shawn Kennedy. For more analysis check out Dave and Shawn’s previous articles at Dynasty Football Factory. Additionally, you can also find Dave’s dynasty superflex rankings at Dynasty Football Factory. Stay tuned for more rookie wide receiver rapid reaction articles from us throughout the entire NFL Draft. We will also give you instant reactions for priority UDFA wide receivers to help you try and find the next Adam Thielen. Interact with Dave and Shawn on Twitter @ff_spaceman and @ff_walrus. You can listen to our rivalry on our podcast @ATaleofTwoRivals with @ff_banterman.

Information found in this article was gathered from @ff_spaceman’s College Prospect Database, PlayerProfiler.com, Sports-Reference.com, AirYards.com, and a prospect’s college team website.