Seth Williams | Auburn 6’3” 211 lbs. 4/10/2020 (Age 21)
Seth Williams was drafted 219th overall by the Denver Broncos, becoming the 28th wide receiver and 219th overall player in the 2021 NFL Draft.
COLLEGE PRODUCTION
Seth Williams was a consistent producer at Auburn, accumulating 2,124 yards and 17 touchdowns in his 3 years in college. As a true freshman, Williams had a 28% dominator rating, giving him an 18.4-year-old (98th percentile) break-out age. Seth Williams followed up a strong freshmen year, with an even more impressive sophomore year. As a 19-year-old in the SEC, the Auburn WR posted a 38.9% (78th percentile) dominator rating. Williams decided to play in 2021 and in 11 games went 760 yards and 4 touchdowns, good for a 32% dominator rating. All in all Seth Williams sports an impressive college production.
In general, Williams wins and produces due to his size, strength, and raw athletic ability. Seth Williams is very impressive at the catch-point as seen often in his tape, adjusting to poorly thrown passes or simplifying beating the DB at the catch point. The effort seen by Seth Williams is hit or miss, but you could make the case that playing with QB Bo Nix is frustrating. When Williams does give it his all you see a WR that can beat press with strength but also with good hands, swiping off hands to get free. Seth Williams is not overly sudden or quick but he does have a basic understanding of leverage and knows how to put a DB in a bad position to make a play.
ATHLETIC TESTING
At his Pro Day at Auburn, Seth Williams measured in at 6’3” and 211 pounds. He posted a very respectable 4.49 40 time and strong 37” vertical. These are both in the 70% plus range for speed and burst score. Although Williams did not make headlines with eye-popping numbers he showed NFL Scouts he has above average athleticism to pair with his strong college production.
DRAFT ANALYSIS
Rapid Reaction to Draft Capital: Poor
Rapid Reaction to Landing Spot: Average
Being the 219th player selected in the draft is not a good sign for fantasy output. Williams will have to fight his way up the depth chart in Denver. He joins a WR room that boasts Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick, KJ Hamler, DaeSean Hamilton, and Diontae Spencer. He will begin the season as the WR5 at best. However, there are a lot worse locations he could have landed.
It is not known if Williams had medical or character concerns that caused him to drop in the draft, but his draft spot tanks his value. He should be a late-round flier or priority UDFA in dynasty rookie drafts.
FANTASY INSIGHTS
I have been high on Seth Williams for several months now. Seth Williams has all the characteristics of alpha WR in the NFL. He is big and strong enough to beat press coverage and athletic enough to stretch the field. In addition, he is fantastic in jump-ball and contested situations making him a great target in the red zone.
This outcome is less than ideal for Williams. I had him pegged as a 2nd or 3rd round pick, and him now going in round six really hurts his value and future fantasy success in my opinion. The overwhelming majority of fantasy productive WRs are drafted within the first three rounds. WRs drafted later than round three have a less than 18% chance of having just a single WR2 season. However, that said, due to Seth Williams’s strong analytical profile and alpha size, I believe he will bring great value as a third-round dart throw in your rookie drafts.
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