Dynasty

2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football: Potential League Winners

Dynasty / By /

Every year in fantasy football, we see a handful of players that far exceed their projected fantasy output and help carry fantasy owners to a league championship. Last year, Josh Jacobs, Amari Cooper, and Jamaal Williams were a few names that outperformed expectations and were integral to many fantasy championship rosters. As Dynasty owners, we are always looking for market inefficiencies, trying to acquire that asset that could skyrocket in value. At the same time, we have to find a balance between immediate production and longevity. In this article, I’m giving you one name from each skill position that is currently being undervalued and could become that “league-winner” for your team, either in 2023 or in the future. I will also discuss each player’s outlook from a dynasty perspective and whether it makes sense for you to buy based on roster construction. 

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Rashod Bateman Mark Andrews

Expectations for Baltimore Offense

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back, Dynasty family! Today, I’ll be discussing expectations for the Baltimore Ravens offense in 2023 with Todd Monken as the Offensive Coordinator. Monken replaced Greg Roman this offseason after Roman decided to pursue other coaching opportunities. Roman had one year left on his contract, but the Baltimore fanbase was growing impatient with the lack of results on the offensive end. So before we look at Monken’s resume and discuss future projections, I want to dig into Greg Roman’s offensive numbers at Baltimore. 

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Chase Claypool

Offenses to Avoid in 2023

Dynasty / By /

Even the most talented of NFL players can see their fantasy production fall victim to horrid offenses. We’ve seen great football players like D.J. Moore, Jonathan Taylor, or the entire 2022 Broncos’ offense who enter year after year with loads of hype, but ultimately fail to meet our expectations in fantasy football due to the situation of their offense as a whole. Today, we’ll project which NFL offenses could spawn fantasy disappointment in 2023.

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Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC West

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A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers to the Jets

Dynasty / By /

I speak for everyone when I say, it took long enough. This was a move that felt inevitable at one point and then doubtful at another but eventually, the deal was done. I must give credit to the Packers’ front office for the stones it took to hold fast waiting for a deal that had to happen. Their ability to hold got them the best possible return they were ever going to get for Rodgers. The Jets needed that deal to go through as well, given their roster is ready to compete with only Zach Wilson in the quarterback room prior to the trade. Alas, we are not here to pour praise upon Brian Gutekunst (Packers GM), we are here to understand the impact this move has on all of our Dynasty assets.

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Jaxon Smith Njigba

Final WR1 Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Analytical Model Rankings

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With another NFL Draft in the books, the final piece of the puzzle is now cemented for the final WR1 analytical model grades. We certainly saw a few surprise names early, “Hello, Jonathan Mingo!” and a few names that fell like once heralded five-star prospect Kayshon Boutte. Draft capital is a significant input into the model so we did see some realignment of the names in the re-draft WR1 model top 15 as well as a couple of new entrants.

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Jonathan Mingo

Fading the Post-Draft Hype

All Access, Dynasty / By /

We’ve seen a lot of movement in Dynasty Player Rankings as the dust settles post-NFL Draft. Landing spots and draft capital can completely change the path to success for rookies and veterans alike. As Dynasty owners, we love to project the future production of fantasy players, and the NFL Draft is a big day where we tweak our rankings and decide whether we’re “out” or “all in” on certain guys. In light of this, I want to cover a few names that may be fool’s gold based on their perceived situation. In this article, we will focus on some players that seemingly “won” the NFL Draft but that I am still avoiding at their respective prices. 

Jared Goff

Jared Goff: Buy or Sell?

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back, Dynasty family! In my previous article, we discussed Dak Prescott’s market value and whether he is a buy or sell in Dynasty leagues. If you didn’t check out that article, you could view it here: Dak Prescott: Buy or Sell? – Dynasty Football Factory. Today, we will drop down a tier or two and discuss Lions’ QB Jared Goff. Is he a reliable QB2 for your roster? What kind of production can we expect from Goff in the future? Let’s dive into some numbers to help answer that question for you. 

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Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC East

Dynasty / By /

A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over eight parts (one part for each division), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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Garrett Wilson

Who Ya Got? Tee Higgins vs. Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. Garrett Wilson

Dynasty / By /

As the newest ranking team member here at DFF, I have asked myself this question quite a bit over the past couple of weeks: Who should I rank higher? These lead to fantastic conversations in league, text, and social media chats. The back and forth is where some of the richest discussions of fantasy football can occur. In particular, in the Dynasty space where a player’s value could vary depending on if the team is a contender or rebuilding, and also on positional need. Today’s discussion is not easily solved by either of those metrics though. All three of these guys are talented young WRs that work well whether you are contending now or looking at the long-term picture. I would be happy to have a roster with any one of them or even better all three of them but in a startup, where would I go? Let’s dig into these incredibly talented WRs. 

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Dak Prescott: Buy or Sell?

Dynasty / By /

Prescott was drafted in the fourth round of the 2016 NFL Draft, picked 135th overall. Expectations for the Louisiana native were to compete for the backup role in Dallas. However, Dak was quickly thrust into the spotlight when Tony Romo suffered a compression fracture in Week 3 of the Preseason.

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Andrei Iosivas

The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings Countdown (15-11)

Dynasty / By /

Over the next few weeks, I will be revealing my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. This article covers the prospects ranked 15-11 in the model.

For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. 

You may find an in-depth explanation of the model’s process and a glossary of what the metrics mean here. 

Before we get into the 2023 prospects, here are the top 20 all-time prospects in the model so you can see how effective it is at forecasting future fantasy value. As you can see this is a highly accurate predictor of future fantasy success. 17 of the top 20 prospect scores have gone on to have a top 24 fantasy PPG season. 14 of those 20 have had a top 12 fantasy PPG season.

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Dynasty Football Tight Ends Worth Buying

Dynasty / By /

If you’ve been in the Dynasty community long enough, I’m sure you’ve heard people refer to the tight end position as a wasteland. Across nearly every fantasy football platform, the top tier of TEs consists of three names: Kyle Pitts, Travis Kelce, and Mark Andrews (in no particular order). Since the talent pool is so sparse at the position, these Tier 1 guys can provide a significant advantage for your roster every week and ultimately carry you to a league championship. But with this value comes a hefty price tag. If you’re unwilling or unable to give up the necessary pieces to acquire one of these three studs, where can we look for consistent production?

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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy: Buy or Sell?

Dynasty / By /

It is time to rethink how to approach “buy or sell” articles. The simple reasons to buy and reasons to sell are followed by a verdict that ignores roster construction. It becomes a stock market, which in theory there is a lot of that to Dynasty Fantasy Football. Still, I also want to win championships, and poorly constructed rosters that have won all these trades but still have massive holes on their roster are not the ones that pull that off. The season gets messy, we need depth, and we players across all position groups to be successful. Not just winning a bunch of trades to have seven startable WRs while we are rolling out some 3rd down back as our RB1 while my WR5 scores all these points on the bench. Our subject today Brock Purdy, feels more nuanced discussion than a simple buy or sell discussion would provide. Context is important and for our purposes, roster construction is our context.

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Odell Beckham Jr. to the Ravens

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It has been just over a year since we had last seen Odell Beckham Jr. playing football, and we finally learned about his new home, the Baltimore Ravens. In this article, I will be talking about what we should expect from Odell in Baltimore as well as how this move affects the Ravens’ current pieces, and what we should do with Odell on our teams and in startups. Let us not waste any time and just get right into it.

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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson 2023 Projection: Mr. Unlimited Comeback?

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back, Dynasty family! On the docket today, we’re covering Russell Wilson, one of the most polarizing players in fantasy football. The Broncos made headlines this offseason, finalizing a deal with the Saints that sent Sean Payton to Denver. Payton has one of the most illustrious coaching resumes in the NFL today, and Broncos Country is hopeful this blockbuster move will put their team back on the map. Unfortunately, 2022 was a tough season for the Broncos. Fans put most of the blame on Wilson’s shoulders, and rightfully so. He was one of the biggest disappointments last season, both from a fantasy football perspective and an NFL perspective. So what should the expectations be in 2023 and beyond for Russ, giving the coaching upgrade? I’m going to help answer that question for you below.

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Diontae Johnson

@DynastySavant’s 2023 Dynasty Buy-Low WR Candidates

All Access, Dynasty / By /

The beauty of Dynasty Football is that the action never ends. Owners are constantly looking to make moves in the offseason, listening to podcasts to gain an edge, ranking and re-ranking their player list, you name it. Being a Dynasty degenerate, I like to pass the time by scrubbing through endless “Power Rankings” lists. While doing so this offseason, I’ve noticed three names that I believe are significantly undervalued. Here are my “buy-low” wide receiver candidates for the 2023 Dynasty season. I recommend putting out some feelers to see what you can get for these players!

Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC South

Dynasty / By /

A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC North

Dynasty / By /

A much-overlooked aspect of dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of dynasty players to redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in dynasty than redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in redraft or dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to redraft, or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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Rapid Reaction: Brandin Cooks to Dallas

Dynasty / By /

Narrative irony is one of the more underrated elements of professional sports leagues. In a poetically hilarious move, the Dallas Cowboys recently acquired journeyman receiver Brandin Cooks from the Houston Texans. The deal is eerily similar to a move made last offseason by Dallas, in which star receiver Amari Cooper was shipped off in a cap dump trade for an almost identical package of draft picks. Thus, this move is seemingly a downgrade talent-wise, as well as an admittance that moving on from Cooper in 2022 was the wrong decision. So, let’s dive into the NFL and the fantasy implications of this trade.

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