Welcome to part two of my weekly publication!
As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense.
In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
Betting lines were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership but also $10 in extra DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer!
With that, let’s get started!
Recap of Week 11
It. Finally. Happened!
After slogging through a rough streak of negative weeks, we finally went a perfect 3-0 to get within striking distance of .500 once more. What a thing to be thankful for!
We’ll keep it going this week with another slate of player props. We’re on three overs this week, so let’s hope for some wild action in Week 12!
Last Week: 3-0
Overall: 16-17
Longshot: 0-11
Nelson Agholor Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-134)
https://twitter.com/JakeTrowbridge/status/1331664632315080708?s=20Fantasy points don’t necessarily correlate directly with yardage, but my man Jake has a point. Nelson Agholor, he of meme fame, is no longer a fluke. He leads all Raiders receivers in receiving yards and is currently second on the team in targets as well. He’s also had at least 55 yards in four of his last six games.
This week, he will get an opportunity to feast on the lowly Falcons defense. They’ve allowed an average of 300 passing yards per game this season. Only the Seahawks and their historically bad defense have done worse. Take Agholor’s over with confidence.
Devin Singletary Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
While it’s true that Zack Moss has officially overtaken Singletary as lead dog in this backfield (at least in terms of snap count), there is still a role for the young running back out of Florida Atlantic. Singletary has still received substantially more targets than Moss by a score of 38-12. This isn’t just early season work, either. In Buffalo’s last two games, Singeltary received three and five targets, respectively. Given the extremely low total, one or two decent receptions should net you the over.
Daniel Jones Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-112)
It’s a true shame that Joe Burrow was injured. He truly was one of the few bright spots on this entire team. Their defense has been atrocious thus far, but specific to this bet they are allowing an average of 2.2 passing touchdowns per game, good for 30th in the league. Daniel Jones has had issues throwing touchdown passes this year, but he does have several two-touchdown games including against some rather tough defenses. Look for Danny Dimes to bounce back this week and take advantage of a downtrodden Bengals squad.
Week 12 Longshot Pick
Curtis Samuel Anytime Touchdown (+250)
I’m done doing analysis on these. This is a decent shot. Feel free to take it.
For more from Stephen, check out his archive and follow him @DFF_Biscuits.
