Welcome to the Week Ten edition of the DraftKings Sneaky Plays. This weekly article will examine the pricing for the Saturday Main slate of games and try to identify some “sneaky” under the radar plays that could pay big dividends in tournament play. The pricing has softened considerably, so nailing a few lower priced players will be key in constructing a high scoring lineup. Without any further adieu, let’s get into some of the potential Week Ten diamonds.
Jake Bentley South Carolina QB vs. Ole Miss $6900: Bentley makes the list for one reason this week and that reason is the opponent. He will get to throw the ball against a putrid OIe Miss pass defense that is ranked 117th in the country and has not shown the propensity to stop any opposing pass offenses. While Bentley and the South Carolina passing game will not knock anyone’s socks off, they should be able to post decent stats against the Rebels. Bentley carries some upside at a discounted price and should be a staple in tournament lineups. It’s a scary place to be, but we are all aboard the Bentley train this week!
Sam Hartman Wake Forest QB vs. Syracuse $7200: Hartman dropped 27.5 DK points last week against Louisville and could top that number this week versus Syracuse. The Orange pass defense comes in ranked 106th in the nation and gave up 473 passing yards and three scores to NC State. With an over/under of 75, this game has all the makings of a complete shootout. DFS players will want some exposure to this game and Hartman gives huge upside at a mid-level price point. A stat line of 350 passing yards and three to four passing scores seem about right for this true freshman in this ACC tilt.
Feleipe Franks Florida QB vs. Missouri $5300: Franks is about as average as it gets for fantasy purposes and can only be considered in certain situations. The matchup this week against Missouri is just such a situation and Franks could be in line for a solid fantasy outing. The Tigers pass defense is poor to say the least and may allow Franks to post his highest yardage total of the season. This Gator could easily torch the Tigers for 300 passing yards and add two to three touchdown tosses. Franks should go overlooked this week and carry a very low ownership percentage.
Mike Weber Ohio State RB vs. Nebraska $5100: Weber is in a great position this week to be an outstanding tournament option. He has not scored a rushing touchdown since Week One and will likely be forgotten about by most DFS players. This Buckeye averages 12 carries per game and gets to take his shot this week against a Nebraska rush defense that has allowed 19 rushing touchdowns in 2018. I prefer Weber over backfield mate JK Dobbins due to the $1200 price difference between the two. The Buckeyes offense is loaded and getting Weber at 5.1K allows for a piece of the action at a discounted price. Expect to see Weber find paydirt this week and easily return 3X value against the Huskers in Week 10.
Jerry Howard Georgia Tech RB vs. UNC $4800: This bruising sophomore has scored a rushing touchdown in four consecutive games and has a very good shot at making it five in a row against North Carolina. The Tar Heels ranks 100th against the run this season and could struggle mightily to contain a Georgia Tech offense that averages 366 rushing yards and 4.5 rushing touchdowns per game. The combination of price and matchup make Howard a very intriguing tournament play this week. The Yellow Jackets should score four to six rushing touchdowns this weekend and Howard will likely have a hand in one or two. A stat line of 80 yards and a score are extremely possible and would leave savvy players grinning from ear to ear.
Lyn J-Dixon Clemson RB vs. Louisville $3700: This promising freshman has looked very good in his limited run this season. He is averaging 9.2 yards per carry and has scored three rushing touchdowns in the last three games.Dixon could see more burn than usual this week with there being a high probability that Clemson will blow out Louisville. The Cardinals rush defense is ranked 125th and will likely have no answer for the Clemson ground game. Dixon could see 10-12 carries in this game and turn that into 100 yards and a score, which would return 6X-7X value. He is worth a dart throw this week in tournaments and allows for some nice roster flexibility.
Nykeim Johnson Syracuse WR vs. Wake Forest $5100: Johnson is one of my favorite plays this week because of opportunity, price, and matchup. He is has gone over 100 yards receiving and scored a touchdown in the last two games and has been playing very well of late. The matchup is sensational as Houston ranks 119th out of 130 teams against the pass in 2018 and hasn’t stopped any opposing passing games this season. The over/under for this game is 75 and the total could easily approach 90 points. Rostering Johnson is a sneaky way to gain some cheap exposure to this potentially high scoring affair. Plug this sophomore in and enjoy the return on investment.
KJ Hill Ohio State WR vs. Nebraska $6300: Hill has 9 receptions in each of the last two games and seems to have developed into the favorite target of QB Dwayne Haskins. He has an enticing matchup this week against a putrid Nebraska defense. The Huskers pass defense is ranked 111th in the country and hasn’t shown the ability to slow down anyone this season. The Buckeyes should come out angry this week and could throw the ball all over the field and drop a huge numbers on the hapless Huskers. Hill is a good bet to go over 100 yards receiving and find pay dirt at least once against this defensively challenged team. Plug Hill in and watch the fantasy points come rolling in.
Dazz Newsome UNC WR vs. Georgia Tech $4000: Newsome has quietly been quite productive over the past three games, averaging 18 DK points per game over that span. While the UNC passing attack doesn’t exactly strike fear into opposing defenses, Newsome should see enough volume this week to post a decent stat line. He comes in at near minimum price this week and could be a terrific tournament option. I could easily envision a stat line of 6-8 receptions for 90 yards and a possible score from Newsome this week, which would return 5X value. He will likely be under-owned because he is not a sexy name and plays for North Carolina. I think he is a great tournament option this week, that could be a difference maker.