Some dynasty owners have raised concerns about Kyler Murray’s ability to succeed at the NFL level. He ranked 27th in touchdown rate (3.7%) and threw 12 interceptions to 20 touchdowns. While he finished as the fantasy QB7, he had one of the lowest FPPG (18.82 ppg) out of the top 10 quarterbacks. Murray owners know how inconsistent he was last year, it was either boom or bust, but I’m here to alleviate any uncertainty. Red zone Efficiency Teams who get in the red zone more frequently score more touchdowns. Therefore, quarterbacks on teams who get into the red zone more frequently have higher touchdown rates. As previously mentioned, Kyler Murray’s 3.7% touchdown rate finished amongst the worst touchdown rates in the NFL in 2019, but the Cardinals 53 red zone attempts were above league average. Baltimore, Seattle, San Fransico, and New Orleans are all examples of teams in the top ten for red zone attempts with quarterbacks in the top ten for touchdown rate. Kyler Murray had a historically low touchdown rate in 2019 for the number of times the Cardinals were within striking distance. Kyler Murray is a clear positive regression candidate. As much as the term “regression” is overused, it’s truly applicable here. There’s no way Murray’s touchdown rate stays so low with the amount the team is in the red zone, especially with the recent addition of DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins finished 2019 with a 75% red zone success rate inside the five-yard line. Framework of trade still being finalized, sources tell ESPN: 🏈Cardinals get DeAndre Hopkins and a late-round pick. 🏈Texans get David Johnson and a
