If there is one thing that goes hand in hand with fantasy sports, it is gambling on football. Today, I will share some of my favorite bets and the best NFL betting sites for this upcoming season. Hopefully, these will tell you what players to be high or low on and can therefore come away with potential buys or sells in Dynasty. Without further ado, let us dive right in.
Season Long Player Props
Lamar Jackson O3,400.5 Passing Yards -112
Lamar is back healthy, with a new contract, the best WRs he has ever had, and a brand-new OC that wants to throw the ball more. 2023 will feature a new-look Ravens team that we have not seen before. We have only known Lamar with Greg Roman at OC, and if we knew one thing, it was that Roman was a great run game operator but had no feel for the passing game. Lamar would only need to average 200 yards per game to hit this mark and I think that will be very easily done in 2023. I love Lamar as a buy in Dynasty right now as well. He has a very real potential to be the highest-scoring player in fantasy in 2023 and is still only 26 years old. I like him as my QB3 overall. Buy the dip.
Tua Tagovailoa O3,800.5 Passing Yards -112
I simply do not understand this line. Tua played 11 healthy games in 2022, and in those games he averaged 286.5 passing yards. That is 4,870 over a full season. If Tua plays 15 games, he hits this mark easily. He could play only 13 and still hit it. This Miami offense is not to be taken lightly. Tyreek Hill is still one of the best receivers in the world, Waddle can still grow further, and Mike McDaniel was a rookie head coach last season. With this extra experience under his belt, we could see this offense grow even further. Yeah, Tua is a lock for 4000 yards if he plays 17 games, this will not be close. I have not bought a lot of Tua in Dynasty, but that is because I bought a ton when he was cheap last offseason. I think he is a great guy to grab as a QB2 and is a good buy if you need a producer at the position. Fade the concussion concerns and ride this amazing offense into the sunset.
Quentin Johnston Most Rookie Receiving Yards +550
This one is a bit more of a gamble than the others, but at these odds, Johnston is my favorite bet. The three WRs (Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Jordan Addison, and Quentin Johnston) were all taken right next to each other in the draft, so the NFL values them similarly. JSN is stuck with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett to compete for targets on a team that is known for running the ball. Jordan Addison will never get out of the shadow created by the best young WR in football, Justin Jefferson. Plus, do not forget about recently acquired target hog T.J. Hockenson being Kirk’s safety blanket in Minnesota. That leaves QJ, who gets to play with Justin Herbert in a pass-heavy system, with an oft-injured WR duo that consists of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. It seems to me the Chargers drafted QJ knowing that he could eventually be their team’s number one after being disappointed in Williams and Keenan being close to aging out of the league. In my rookie drafts and startups, I have loved grabbing Quentin Johnston; he is one of my highest-owned rookies right now. His profile was awesome, and his landing spot was even better. Sign me up for a potential alpha paired with one of the league’s best young pocket passers.
Cooper Kupp Most Regular Season Receiving Yards +1200
Futures and betting are supposed to be fun, right? That is why I love placing a few +1000 odds or higher bets, but I think this one should be way lower. This future is just a Matthew Stafford health bet. Kupp has been the best WR in football whenever Stafford is healthy, plus his situation has only gotten better. The Rams’ WR corps has gotten worse, with Van Jefferson, Demarcus Robinson, Tutu Atwell, and Ben Skowronek being the only options after Kupp. In addition, the Rams’ defense has gotten worse, meaning they could be losing more games and pass even more. It would not shock me to see Kupp earn a 35% target share and go for 2,000 yards this season. I am pretty surprised he is only the 4th best option listed on FanDuel. Kupp is also one of my favorite veteran WR buys for contending teams. He is the cheapest of the elite vets and I don’t think that makes a ton of sense. Kupp doesn’t need Matt Stafford to be a WR1 in fantasy, but he does need him to lead the league in receiving yards.
Anthony Richardson Offensive Rookie of the Year +900
Offensive awards are usually quarterback awards, and it really can be that simple. I picked Richardson because these kinds of awards often go to better teams as opposed to worse teams. This immediately rules out Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud, unless they have record-breaking seasons. Richardson will start week one for a team with a good defense, a great running back and offensive line, as well as capable weapons to get the ball to. It is also much easier for a rushing QB to put up team wins and gaudy stats than a pure pocket passer. I think this award comes down to only two players: Anthony Richardson, and…
Bijan Robinson Offensive Rookie of the Year +300
Bijan is the favorite for this award, and it makes sense. He is a completely elite prospect, and he will put up some incredible stats. I have bets for both Bijan and Richardson winning this award because I am very confident that they are the only real options to win it. I could see Bijan putting up 2,000 yards and 15 touchdowns; as a rookie, this would not surprise me. He truly deserves to already be Dynasty RB1 and if anyone is not there yet, take advantage.
Here I will show off a couple of parlays I put together. I do not have any real takes for these, I just enjoy the added aspect of something to root for. But I do have confidence in them, or else I would not make the bets.
Jalen Hurts, Tua Tagovailoa, Trevor Lawrence, Dak Prescott, Josh Allen, and Deshaun Watson all 4,000+ Pass Yards +14798
These are all plus odds bets (except for Josh Allen), so if you want to be responsible, you could place all of them individually. But here, we swing for the fences.
Travis Kelce, Jaylen Waddle, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Keenan Allen, and Calvin Ridley 1,000+ Receiving Yards
A.J. Brown, CeeDee Lamb, Stefon Diggs, and Garrett Wilson 1,250+ Receiving Yards
Wow, you read all the way through! Thank you, I appreciate you using your time to enjoy my content. If you would like to talk to me about my article or ask me any generic Dynasty or trade questions. You can find me on Twitter @ChrisMiles1017, DFF Draft Director. Shoot me a DM; they are always open. Come join the #DFFArmy, where I provide #Dynasty, #Redraft, and #Analytics content for @DFF_Dynasty. Thank you so much!
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