As draft season inches closer, it’s important to have an idea of who you want to target and when you want to target them on draft day. Below, you will find a list of “My Guys” who I will be heavily targeting at their respective ADPs in all of my redraft leagues. Keep in mind, you want to make sure you are drafting players for positional value, instead of reaching and potentially diminishing your team’s chances right out the gate. Without further adieu, let’s get started.
QB –Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ADP – QB11, 89th Overall
| Year | Team | Games Played | Completion Percentage | Yards | TDs | INTs | Rushing Yards | TDs |
| 2000 | NE | 1 | 33.3% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2001 | NE | 15 | 63.9% | 2,843 | 18 | 12 | 43 | 0 |
| 2002 | NE | 16 | 62.1% | 3,764 | 28 | 14 | 110 | 1 |
| 2003 | NE | 16 | 60.2% | 3,620 | 23 | 12 | 63 | 1 |
| 2004 | NE | 16 | 60.8% | 3,692 | 28 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 2005 | NE | 16 | 63.0% | 4,110 | 26 | 14 | 89 | 1 |
| 2006 | NE | 16 | 61.8% | 3,529 | 24 | 12 | 102 | 0 |
| 2007 | NE | 16 | 68.9% | 4,806 | 50 | 8 | 98 | 2 |
| 2008 | NE | 1 | 63.6% | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2009 | NE | 16 | 65.7% | 4,398 | 28 | 13 | 44 | 1 |
| 2010 | NE | 16 | 65.9% | 3,900 | 36 | 4 | 30 | 1 |
| 2011 | NE | 16 | 65.6% | 5,235 | 39 | 12 | 109 | 3 |
| 2012 | NE | 16 | 63.0% | 4,827 | 34 | 8 | 32 | 4 |
| 2013 | NE | 16 | 60.5% | 4,343 | 25 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 2014 | NE | 16 | 64.1% | 4,109 | 33 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 2015 | NE | 16 | 64.4% | 4,770 | 36 | 7 | 53 | 3 |
| 2016 | NE | 12 | 67.4% | 3,554 | 28 | 2 | 64 | 0 |
| 2017 | NE | 16 | 66.3% | 4,577 | 32 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 2018 | NE | 16 | 65.8% | 4,355 | 29 | 11 | 35 | 2 |
| 2019 | NE | 16 | 60.8% | 4,057 | 24 | 8 | 34 | 3 |
| 2020 | TB | 16 | 65.7% | 4,633 | 40 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
Last year’s QB8 comes into this season as the projected QB11, according to his ADP. What’s interesting is that he ended last season much more dominant than when he started. During the last three weeks of the season (fantasy playoffs), he served as the QB2 behind only Josh Allen. He also posted more than 22 fantasy points nine different times, and three straight to end the season. What’s even more impressive is that he finished with the second-most passing touchdown total of his 20-year career.
Right now, the argument against drafting Brady is that he’s immobile, and he is 44 years old. Haven’t we learned that age doesn’t define this QB? And he hasn’t been able to scramble throughout his whole career. On top of that, he has one of the most talented offenses in the entire league. Find another top-tier QB who has as many skilled pass-catchers surrounding him as he does. First of all, Ronald Jones Jr., Leonard Fournette, and Giovani Bernard are all RBs that have a knack at creating plays both on the ground and as pass-catchers out of the backfield. The trio of Rob Gronkowski, O.J. Howard, and Cameron Brate at the TE position might be a top-5 unit in the league. And you can’t forget about the WR room that consists of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, Scotty Miller, and Tyler Johnson.
If you’re like me, you like taking QBs anywhere after the fifth round in your redrafts. Especially in a PPR league, I’m looking to at least take two pass-catching RBs, a high volume WR, and an established TE before I think about drafting a QB. With the exception of a top-tier QB slipping past his ADP (ex: Kyler Murray slipping to the end of the fifth round), I’m targeting value between Rounds six and eight. Currently, Brady is projected to go in the middle of the seventh round. If he brings your team top-10 QB value again this season, you already benefited by selecting him that late in your draft.
RB – David Montgomery, Chicago Bears
ADP – RB20, 39th Overall
| Year | Team | Games Played | Carries | Yards | Yards/Carry | TDs | Receptions | Yards | Yards/Catch | TDs |
| 2019 | CHI | 16 | 242 | 889 | 3.7 | 6 | 25 | 185 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 2020 | CHI | 15 | 247 | 1,070 | 4.3 | 8 | 54 | 438 | 8.1 | 2 |
This year’s projected RB20 finished last season as the RB4 in PPR leagues. He also served as the RB1 after Week 11 through the end of the season. Montgomery really showed his full range of skill set once Tarik Cohen went down with a season-ending ACL tear. Before the injury, Cohen served as the primary pass-catcher out of the backfield for Chicago. It may have taken Montgomery a little while to really start showcasing that he can be an elite pass-catcher, but once he did, he turned into a fantasy star.
Let’s take a look at what the third-year pro did between Weeks 11-17 last season. In those seven weeks, he received 116 carries for 598 yards and seven touchdowns while also hauling in 24 receptions for 226 receiving yards and one touchdown. Those numbers were astronomically more productive than his totals of 472 rushing yards and 212 receiving yards through the first 10 weeks of the season. Don’t expect his totals for this season to replicate what he did in those last seven weeks of last season, but he should outproduce his projections.
If you can draft Montgomery in the fourth round or later, he creates great upside for your fantasy team. As a potential RB2 or RB3 for your team, you should benefit tremendously. HC Matt Nagy has already stated that he wants the third-year pro to receive at least 20 carries per game. If that statement holds true throughout the season, Montgomery will easily finish as a top-12 back (RB1) in your fantasy leagues.
WR – A.J. Green, Arizona Cardinals
ADP – WR76, 214th Overall
| Year | Team | Games Played | Receptions | Yards | Yards/Catch | TDs |
| 2011 | CIN | 15 | 65 | 1,057 | 16.3 | 7 |
| 2012 | CIN | 16 | 97 | 1,350 | 13.9 | 11 |
| 2013 | CIN | 16 | 98 | 1,426 | 14.6 | 11 |
| 2014 | CIN | 13 | 69 | 1,041 | 15.1 | 6 |
| 2015 | CIN | 16 | 86 | 1,297 | 15.1 | 10 |
| 2016 | CIN | 10 | 66 | 964 | 14.6 | 4 |
| 2017 | CIN | 16 | 75 | 1,078 | 14.4 | 8 |
| 2018 | CIN | 9 | 46 | 694 | 15.1 | 6 |
| 2020 | CIN | 16 | 47 | 523 | 11.1 | 2 |
I’m not telling you to target A.J. Green in your drafts, but he brings tremendous upside as the projected WR76 this season. His ADP has him being selected at the end of the 17th round in redrafts. Taking a shot at him late, or even with your last pick, won’t hurt you in the long run. If he doesn’t work out, you can always drop him and replace him with someone else.
I find myself selecting him in the last round of nearly every mock draft I complete. He will serve as Arizona’s WR2 opposite of DeAndre Hopkins. If Hopkins is on the field, defenses won’t be able to double-team Green, which has been the theme for him throughout his 10-year career. Sure, he has separation issues at this point of his career, but joining a new team with an improved QB could serve him well in 2021.
There isn’t a ton of optimism for Green this season, but it’s the “what if” factor that comes into play. Let’s say he plays 15 of the 17 games and hauls in 80 receptions for 950 yards and six touchdowns. You are going to be very pleased with taking a shot on Green at the end of your drafts. There aren’t a ton of players at the end of your drafts that bring more potential than Green does this season. Why not take a shot? Most leagues did last season.
TE – Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers
ADP – TE12, 106th Overall
| Year | Team | Games Played | Receptions | Yards | Yards/Catch | TDs |
| 2018 | GB | 16 | 4 | 77 | 19.3 | 1 |
| 2019 | GB | 11 | 10 | 100 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 2020 | GB | 16 | 52 | 586 | 11.3 | 11 |
Aaron Rodgers is still his QB. That plays a huge factor in Tonyan’s potential fantasy outlook. The fourth-year pro broke out last season and finished as the TE3. He was in no way consistent throughout the entire season, but he showed flashes of fantasy dominance. After hauling in five touchdown receptions during the first four weeks of the season, Tonyan was “unstartable” through Weeks 6-10. Then, he followed that bad stretch with five games in a row of hauling in a touchdown reception.
Tonyan finished the season as one of the most consistent fantasy TEs in the league as he served as the TE5 from Week 12 through the end of the season. Going into this season, he’s projected to be drafted as the TE12. That seems like a huge dropoff for someone coming off a great season, catching passes from the reigning regular season MVP. If you pass up on one of the top-tier TEs going in the first several rounds, Tonyan is a guy you need to keep an eye on.
The fourth-year pro is projected to go towards the end of the eighth round in 2021 redrafts. If you can select a potential TE1 that late, you give yourself a great chance at adding outstanding talent around him. This gives you the opportunity to create a positional advantage at either the RB or WR spot. Who knows, maybe Tonyan performs like he did last season. He obviously showcased that he’s capable of doing so. Even if he sees a little bit of a dropoff, he’s still a great choice when it comes to drafting a TE in the middle rounds of your draft.
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