IDP Football Factory

IDP Start/Sit: Week 10

This week’s teams on bye are BAL, DEN, HOU, and MIN.

Let’s take a look at how last week’s IDP recommendations panned out in week 9:

Starts: Melvin Ingram (4 TT, 1 Sack) Akiem Hicks (3 TT) Jarrad Davis (1 Tackle) Christian Kirksey (3 TT) Eli Apple (5 TT)

Verdict: Melvin Ingram made the biggest contributions to the week with a solid day against the Seahawks. Unfortunately, Christian Kirksey was injured vs. KC and is now on Injured Reserve: 2/5 Hit

Sits: Dante Fowler (1 Tackle) Jason Pierre-Paul (1 Assist) Shaq Thompson (4 TT) Danny Trevathan (12 TT) Kevin Byard (5TT, 1 INT)

Verdict: Some solid predictions this week which included the first time JPP failed to record a sack since the previous time he was featured on this column, in week one: 3/5 Hit

 

IDP

(Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

IDP STARTS OF THE WEEK

DeForest Buckner, DE, SF (vs. NYG)

After a scalding hot start to the season, DeForest Buckner’s production has cooled off in the last few weeks, with only one sack and six tackles since Week 6. This week could be different for Buckner though as he’ll have a very advantageous matchup against the New York Giants. The Giants have allowed 31 sacks so far after eight games, tied for third-most in the entire league. Buckner is a great starting option this week before San Francisco heads into their Week 11 bye.

Brandon Graham, DE, PHI (vs. DAL)

Picking Philadelphia pass rushers to have success this weekend is less about the talent on Dallas’ offensive line and more about the quarterback they’ll be attempting to protect. Dak Prescott averages 3.04 seconds per throw this season, which is the third slowest among all quarterbacks behind Josh Allen and Deshaun Watson, two of the most sacked QBs in the league. Brandon Graham has shown success recently against Dallas, posting 19 tackles, 3 sacks, and 2 forced fumbles in his last four games against the Cowboys.

Fred Warner, LB, SF (vs. NYG)

Although Fred Warner started the year as a potential IDP MVP candidate, with 43 tackles and a forced fumble in the first four weeks, the 49ers rookie has seen his production slow down since the calendar turned to October, posting just 30 tackles and one fumble recovery in his last five games. Warner will lead the San Francisco defense Monday Night against the Giants, who have been a very favorable matchup to linebackers in this year in large part due to the high target rate of rookie running back Saquon Barkley. These targets on screen passes and swing routes to Barkley have led to plentiful opportunities for opposing linebackers to rack up their tackles.

Josh Bynes, LB, ARI (@ KC)

Another linebacker that has been in decline recently is Arizona’s Josh Bynes, who after five weeks was the #7 ranked IDP LB, but his production per game over the last four weeks ranks him as the #53 LB in that time frame. Bynes will have a great chance to turn those numbers around this week though with a matchup against the Chiefs with Arizona listed as 17-point underdogs. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Kansas City double the Cardinals time of possession in this contest, which could lead to double-digit tackles for Bynes.

Reshad Jones, S, MIA (@ GB)

In the Dolphins Week 9 game against the Jets, Reshad Jones removed himself from the game in the first quarter after being unhappy with his role on the defense. Jones played only ten snaps against New York, posting just one tackle on the day in a disappointing outing. I have faith in Jones this week though as a fantasy owner, and I think he’ll make the most of a positive matchup versus Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Dolphins head coach Adam Gase has reassured that Jones will play this Sunday and that means I’m fully on board.

IDP

(Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports)

IDP SITS OF THE WEEK

Chandler Jones, DE, ARI (@ KC)

Starting off a week of bold ‘Sit’ predictions, I’m staying away from Chandler Jones who has been the #6 overall DL through nine weeks this season. Jones has 6.5 sacks this season in eight games, and the Cardinals are coming off their bye, but facing a tough matchup against Kansas City has me looking for other options on my roster. The Chiefs offensive line has been one of the best in the league this season, and as previously mentioned, KC is 17-point favorites, which means Patrick Mahomes may not have to throw the ball more than twenty times.

Frank Clark, DE, SEA (@ LAR)

Another defensive lineman who has been on a tear over the last month is Seattle’s Frank Clark, who is the #4 DL in the last five weeks. In the four games the Seahawks have played over that span, Clark has had 4.5 sacks and created a whopping 5 turnovers in those games. This week things could be different though as Seattle heads to Los Angeles to play the Rams, coming off their first loss of the season. The Rams have done a great job of protecting Jared Goff this year, and I expect left tackle Andrew Whitworth to excel against Seattle this weekend.

Anthony Hitchens, LB, KC (vs. ARI)

Going back to the matchup between Kansas City and Arizona once again, I’m sitting Chiefs linebacker Anthony Hitchens where ever possible in any of my leagues. Hitchens has been battling a rib injury over the last few weeks, which hasn’t allowed him to play more than 75% of snaps in the last three games. Also, as previously noted, Hitchens and the Chiefs defense do not have the best matchup against the stagnant Cardinals offense.

Jatavis Brown, LB, LAC (@ OAK)

While Jatavis Brown is coming off his best game of the season, an 11 tackle performance against the Seahawks, he’ll still be on the bench on all of my rosters this week. The Chargers third-year linebacker has only had one game this season where he played more than 65% of snaps, with Los Angeles implementing a league-high amount of nickel and dime defensive packages, taking an extra linebacker or two off the field. I wouldn’t expect another double-digit tackle performance from Brown this week, more likely around half of that.

Ron Parker, S, KC (vs. ARI)

Last but not least to round out the ‘Sit’ portion of the column this week, it’s back to Kansas City for a final time to avoid Chiefs safety Ron Parker. For similar reasons as listed above for Anthony Hitchens, I’m also avoiding Parker this Sunday. If Parker were to post a productive fantasy performance, it would most likely be solely because of a turnover or big play forced off a Josh Rosen throw.

Thank you for reading! If you’re looking for more Week 10 IDP content, check out some material from the DFF staff. Find week 10 waiver wire recommendations and a detailed Snap Count Guide from our IDP crew.  If you like what you’ve read, share, comment and reach out to me on Twitter @BrumleyNFL if you have any questions about IDP or anything else football related!

abrumley

Michigan born and raised. Find my content on @DFF_IDP & @DFF_Devy. You can find me on Twitter @BrumleyNFL. #DFFArmy #IDP #DevyWatch IDP Rankings on @FakePigskin #SFB8

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