mhj

Preview: DFF Declassified Dynasty Rookie Draft Guide

Screenshot 2024 03 09 3.48.19 PM

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: The Evaluation Process

Chapter 2: Expert Rookie Rankings

Chapter 3: Quarterback Profiles

Chapter 4: Wide Receiver Profiles

Chapter 5: Running Back Profiles

Chapter 6: Tight End Profiles

Chapter 7: Expert Favs and Fades

Chapter 8: Rookie Draft Strategy

The Team

Analytics – Chris Museezer

QB film review – Ben Winkler

WR and TE film review – Justin Massie

RB film review and draft strategy – Jim Moorman 

The Process

The Tape

Our team will break down the college and workout tape to show a prospect’s skill and technique. Film can be subjective, whereas analytics is objective. But analytics only tells us if a player has the ingredients for a good dish (fantasy production). Film shows us if they have the skill and technique to make a good dish.

QB Traits

  • Arm Talent
    • Throw Power
    • Arm Elasticity
    • Release Speed
    • Accuracy
  • Pocket Awareness
    • Pocket Presence (stands strong, knows when to move)
    • Play Extension
      • Eyes Downfield
      • Creativity
  • Field Vision/Awareness
    • Pre-Snap 
    • Post-Snap
      • Progression
      • Timing
      • Anticipation
  • Footwork
    • Throws from strong base
    • Lines up or attempts to line up feet, hip, shoulder
    • Efficient & purposeful with each step
  • Rushing/Dual Threat
      • Play Extension
        • Creativity
        • Athleticism & Dual Threat
      • Open Field Ability
        • Tackle Breaking
        • Long Speed/Home run ability

RB Traits

  • Receiving
    • Consistent hands catcher
    • Catch radius
    • Downfield route running
  • Vision
    • Identifies running lanes
    • Patience to allow play blocking to develop
    • Can Identify 2nd cut at 2nd level
  • Power
    • Runs through arm tackles
    • Breaks tackles at second level
    • Ability to move piles
  • Agility
  • Burst
  • Pass Protection
    • Blitz awareness
    • Anchors for pass blocks
    • Effective Chip Blocker

WR Traits

  • Hands
    • Hands catcher
    • Limited Drops
    • Catch in traffic
    • High Point Catches
  • Release
      • Release footwork
      • Fights press with hands
      • Ability to leverage defender positioning to win at LOS
  • Burst
    • Speed at LOS
    • Explodes out of breaks
    • Speed downfield
  • Body Control
    • Catch Radius
    • Fluid Hips
    • Adjusts to the football in air
  • Agility
    • YAC Ability
    • Speed in/out of breaks
  • Route Tree
    • Strength
    • Ball Tracking

TE Traits

  • Hands
    • Hands catcher
    • Limited Drops
    • Catch in traffic
    • High Point Catches
  • Burst
    • Speed at LOS
    • Explodes out of breaks
    • Speed downfield
  • Body Control
    • Catch Radius
    • Fluid Hips
    • Adjusts to the football in air
  • YAC
    • Runs through arm tackles
    • Speed to beat linebackers after catch
  • Blocking
  • Strength

The Numbers

We will break down the analytical side of prospect scouting using predictive metrics and other KPIs through regression analysis to tell a tale with an unbiased point of view. Hitting these thresholds has proven to be predictive through historical data.

For running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends, these metrics are then fed into a data model that compiles them into a singular score. The higher the score, the more likely that player is to achieve fantasy success in the future.

The quarterback position has far too much nuance to simply be fed into an analytical model. As such, we will identify whether each prospect met the thresholds to be considered elite or not.

Elite QB Thresholds

  • Early Declare: Yes
  • Best Season (BS) Pass yards per attempt: 8.9
  • BS Comp%: 66.5%
  • Career Pass Rate: 150
  • BS Rush yards per game: 50
  • NFL.com film grade 6.50

Elite WR Thresholds

  • Early Declare: Yes
  • Breakout Year: 2 
  • Weighted Dominator Rating: 30.0%
  • Team share of player’s yards and TDs (weighted 80% yards, 20% TDs)
  • College Career Fantasy Points Per Game: 15.0
  • Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Per Game (Best Season): 2.90 
  • Yards per route run (Best Season): 3.00 
  • Contested target rate (Last Season): Under 20.0%
  • PFF Grade (Last Season): 80.0

Elite RB Thresholds

  • Early Declare: Yes 
  • Target Share (Best Season): 8.0% 
  • College Dominator % (Best Season): 30.0% 
  • Team share of player’s yards and TDs (weighted 50% yards, 50% TDs)
  • PFF Rush Grade (Last Season): 85.0
  • Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (Career): 30.0% 
  • Breakaway Rushes Per Attempt (Career): 10.0% 
  • Yards After Contact Per Attempt (Career): 3.50
  • BMI: 30.0 

Elite TE Thresholds

  • Early Declare: Yes
  • Breakout Year: 3 
  • Dominator Rating: 25.0%
  • College career fantasy points per game: 10.0
  • Receiving yards per team pass attempt per game: 2.00 
  • Yards per route run: 2.00 
  • Contested target rate: Under 17.0%
  • PFF Grade: 80.0

Expert Consensus Rankings

(TOP 15 AVAILABLE ONLY IN PREVIEW)

THE REST OF THE TOP 50 RANKINGS ARE AVAILABLE TO ALL DFF ANNUAL MEMBERS NOW!

Our $19.99 annual membership is a 60% savings off our already low monthly price and comes with Discord access for personalized Dynasty advice. Click here to join.

quarterbacks

Quarterbacks

Combine Testing Data Section, available Mid-March, will be listed here.

Caleb Williams, USC

The Tale of the Numbers

Stats from sports reference

caleb passing

caleb rushing

Draft Capital (Mock Estimate): 1.01 

Early Declare: Yes

Pass Yards/Attempt (Best Season): 9.4

Completion % (Best Season): 68.6%

Career Passer Rating: 169.3

Rush Yards/Game (Best Season): 40.2

NFL.com Film Grade: 6.76

  • Analytical Concerns
    • Not an elite rushing “Konami” QB in the sense of Lamar Jackson
  • Analytical Likes
    • Passing yards/attempt
    • Early declare
    • Elite draft capital provides ample job stability and will start early
    • Accuracy hits threshold
    • Consistently elite passer rating throughout college career
  • Projected Fantasy PPG
      • Year 1 – 18.20
      • Year 2 – 20.23
      • Year 3 – 21.50

The Tale of the Tape

  • Elite
    • Throw Power
    • Release Speed
    • Arm Elasticity
    • Accuracy
    • Play Extension
  • Good
    • Open field ability
    • Tackle breaking
    • Throws from strong base
    • Pocket Presence
  • Average
    • Anticipation
    • Timing
    • Lines up or attempts to line up feet, shoulder, hips
    • Efficient and purposeful with each step
    • Long Speed/Home Run Ability
    • Pre-Snap Field Vision/Awareness
  • Needs Improvement
    • Progression
    • Post-Snap Field Vision/Awareness
  • Poor
  • Top NFL Comp(s)
      • Kyler Murray
      • Justin Fields
      • Dak Prescott

Film summary:

Going into a film breakdown of arguably the most talked-about QB prospect of my generation is no small task. Thus, I attempted to remove all priors when diving into Caleb Williams’ all-22 and found a few more nitpicks in his game than I was admittedly expecting. Caleb is absolutely an elite prospect with a number of high-level traits. He’s a tier 1 athlete at his position, a dynamic option threat, and an elite off-schedule playmaker. His arm talent is second to none in the history of quarterbacking, as he has the ability to hit every throw in the book on or off-platform- it genuinely doesn’t matter. His release is lightning fast and might arguably be his defining trait, allowing him to get throws off accurately in the face of pressure and/or on the move in a sudden flick. His footwork is also excellent and clearly natural.

That being said, it’s my opinion that Caleb has a long way to go as a processor. He thrives by winning off-schedule and making big plays with his arm and overall athleticism, but I haven’t seen much evidence of him being very cerebral before or after the snap. He does read out option plays and RPOs well, and I have seen him from time to time play out long stretches comfortably within structure with timing and poise. However, he definitely struggles to progress past his 1st read sometimes, and that could bite him more in the NFL than it did in the PAC-12. Overall, an absolutely elite talent at the position with room to reach unimaginable heights. 

Drake Maye, UNC

The Tale of the Numbers

Combine Testing Data Section, available Mid-March, will be listed here.

Stats from sports reference

Drake Maye passing

Drake Maye rushing

Draft Capital (Mock Estimate): 1.02

Early Declare: Yes

Pass Yards/Attempt (Best Season): 8.5

Completion % (Best Season): 66.2%

Career Passer Rating: 154.1

Rush Yards/Game (Best Season): 49.9

NFL.com Film Grade: 6.50

  • Analytical Concerns
      • Missed threshold for pass yards per attempt
      • Barely missed threshold for best season completion %.
  • Analytical Likes
    • Early declare
    • Missed rush threshold by one-tenth. Has sneaky rushing upside
    • Elite draft capital provides ample job stability and will start early
    • Strong performance in passer rating
  • Projected Fantasy PPG
      • Year 1 – 16.25
      • Year 2 – 17.25
      • Year 3 – 18.50

The Tale of the Tape 

  • Elite
    • Pocket Presence
    • Out-of-Pocket Accuracy
  • Good
    • Throw Power
    • Pocket Accuracy
    • Release Speed
    • Open Field Ability
    • Tackle Breaking
    • Play Extension
    • Post-Snap Field Vision/Awareness
    • Progression
    • Timing
    • Anticipation
    • Throws from strong base
    • Lines up or attempts to line up feet, hip, shoulder
  • Average
    • Long Speed/Home run ability
    • Pre-Snap Field Vision/Awareness
    • Efficient & purposeful with each step
    • Arm Elasticity
  • Needs Improvement
  • Poor
  • Top NFL Comp(s)
    • Trevor Lawrence
    • Justin Herbert

Film summary:

As far as pure traits go, Drake Maye is comfortably the least flawed quarterback prospect in this entire class. His superpower is his pocket presence and awareness. This, combined with his athleticism and frame, gives him the Anthony Richardson superpower of being extremely difficult to sack (admittedly, Maye is not quite fully un-sackable in the way Richardson nearly is). He bails at the perfect time almost every play under pressure, and it can’t be understated how valuable this is to an offense, preventing his team from falling behind schedule and stalling out drives. Maye is an excellent athlete and excels as a threat in the open field when needed, able to create big chunk plays both with his agility and with his power. He has shown on tape a good aptitude for playing in rhythm and progressing through his reads quickly and with timing. He’s excellent out of structure as well, and I actually think his accuracy on the run is relatively more impressive than his standstill accuracy. In general, he’s a very effective passer at all levels of depth and makes high-level throws look easy on a regular basis.

My gripes with Maye are largely minor. He occasionally struggles with accuracy on far boundary out-breaking routes, and his feet in the pocket occasionally get a little skittish, causing him to throw from an unstable base. However, he has the arm talent to make those throws more often than not.

PROFILES FOR THE REST OF THE QBs TO CONSIDER FOR DYNASTY ROOKIE DRAFTS ARE AVAILABLE TO ALL DFF ANNUAL MEMBERS IN VERSION 1.0 OF THIS GUIDE A FEW WEEKS BEFORE THE NFL DRAFT WITH A 2ND VERSION 2.0 AFTER THE DRAFT.

Our $19.99 annual membership is a 60% savings off our already low monthly price and comes with 100’s of articles annually, always up-to-date rankings and Discord access for personalized Dynasty advice. Click here to join.

Wide Receivers

Marvin Harrison Jr., Ohio St.

The Tale of the Numbers

Source: Relative Athletic Score

Combine Testing Data Section, available Mid-March, will be listed here.

Stats from Sports Reference

Marv stats

Draft Capital (Mock Draft Estimate): 1.04

Early Declare: Yes

Breakout Year: 2

Weighted Dominator Rating (Best Season): 39.3%

College Career Fantasy Points Per Game: 16.2

Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Per Game (Best Season): 3.23

Yards Per Route Run (Best Season): 3.44

Contested Target Rate (Last Season): 26.3

PFF Grade (Last Season): 89.6

  • Analytical Concerns
      • Contested target rate indicates he is not separating at an elite rate
  • Analytical Likes
    • Early declare
    • High projected draft capital
    • Second highest dominator rating in class
    • Second highest receiving yards per team pass attempt in class
    • Second highest yards per route run in the class
    • Second highest PFF Grade in the class
  • WR1 Model Score predicting future Dynasty success
      • Xx.x  Will be included in annual membership version
      • This ranks xxx overall in this class
  • Chance To Achieve At Least 1 Top 24 Fantasy Season Per WR1 Model
        • xx%  Will be included in annual membership version

The Tale of the Tape 

  • Elite
    • Limited Drops
    • Catch in traffic
    • Release footwork
    • Leverage defensive backs
    • Speed downfield
    • Catch Radius
    • Fluid Hips
    • Mid-air adjustments
    • Speed in/out of breaks
  • Good
      • Hands Catcher
      • Fight press with hands
      • Speed at LOS
      • Explodes out of breaks
      • Route tree
      • Ball tracking
  • Average
        • High Point Catches
        • YAC Ability
  • Needs Improvement
          • Strength
  • Poor
  • NFL player comps
    • AJ Green
    • Marvin Harrison Sr
    • Drake London

Film Summary

His game has some glaring flaws, notably strength and catch technique. At times, he gets passive at the catch point and lets the ball come to him, resulting from incorrect technique, a liability in the NFL. However, his father, Harrison Sr, did many of the same things and is a HOF WR. Many will say Harrison runs routes amazing for his size; he runs routes amazing for any size. He consistently sets DBs up for failure. The lack of YAC ability is not a major concern given that he is a vertical threat, which makes up for shortcomings. The last major concern is the strength. If a DB can get their hands on him as he’s entering or within his breaks, he gets taken out of plays; the issue is that DBs are not in that position consistently. Overall, Harrison Jr has the highest ceiling in this class.

Malik Nabers, LSU

The Tale of the Numbers

Source: Relative Athletic Score

Combine Testing Data Section available mid-March will be listed here.

Stats from Sports Reference

Nabers

Draft Capital (Mock Draft Estimate): 1.05

Early Declare: Yes

Breakout Year: 2

Weighted Dominator Rating (Best Season): 37.7%

College Career Fantasy Points Per Game: 16.6

Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Per Game (Best Season): 4.22

Yards Per Route Run (Best Season): 3.81

Contested Target Rate (Last Season): 16.9

PFF Grade (Last Season): 93.5

  • Analytical Concerns
    • Nothing. Nabers has a near-flawless analytical profile
  • Analytical Likes
      • Early declare
      • High projected draft capital
      • Second highest dominator rating in class
      • Highest receiving yards per team pass attempt in class
      • Highest PFF grade in the class
      • Breakout 1000+ yard season as a sophomore
      • Contested target rate shows he is an elite separator
  • WR1 Model Score predicting future Dynasty success
    • Xx.x  Will be included in annual membership version
    • This ranks xxx overall in this class
  • Chance To Achieve At Least 1 Top 24 Fantasy Season Per WR1 Model
    • xx%  Will be included in annual membership version

The Tale of the Tape 

  • Elite
    • Limited drops
    • Leverage defensive backs
    • Explodes out of breaks
    • Speed downfield
    • Fluid Hips
    • Mid-air adjustments
    • YAC Ability
    • Speed in/out of breaks
  • Good
    • Hands catcher
    • Catch in traffic
    • High Point Catches
    • Release Footwork
    • Speed at LOS
    • Catch Radius
    • Route Tree
    • Strength
    • Ball Tracking
  • Average
    • Fight press with hands
  • Needs Improvement
  • Poor
  • NFL player comps
    • DJ Moore
    • CeeDee Lamb
    • Antonio Brown

Film Summary

There are not many flaws in Nabers’ game. He occasionally unnecessarily leaves his feet to catch a pass, lowering the potential for YAC. He is a good press coverage beater; he does not have a wide variety of footwork, but he works into defensive backs’ leverage well, which covers that up. He did not face many physical defensive backs and was average with fighting the physical ones off the line. He consistently wins at all three levels, and that is because he tempos his speed well. For how fast he is, his deceleration is making him lethal on curls and stop routes. After the catch, he navigates traffic well and makes defenders’ angles look silly. Overall, Malik Nabers has one of the highest floors in this class.

Rome Odunze, Washington

The Tale of the Numbers

Source: Relative Athletic Score

Combine Testing Data Section available, Mid-March, will be listed here.

Stats from Sports Reference

Rome

Draft Capital (Mock Draft Estimate): 1.09

Early Declare: No

Breakout Year: 3

Weighted Dominator Rating (Best Season): 33.0%

College Career Fantasy Points Per Game: 17.6

Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Per Game (Best Season): 2.95

Yards Per Route Run (Best Season): 3.04

Contested Target Rate (Last Season): 19.2%

PFF Grade (Last Season): 87.9

  • Analytical Concerns
    • Odunze could have declared last year when first eligible but likely based on what he was told by the NFL he went back to school to improve his draft position.
    • Odunze failed to breakout in his first two years.
  • Analytical Likes
    • High projected draft capital
    • Highest career fantasy points per game in this class
    • Eclipsed threshold, although it was close, in yards per route run and contested target rate
    • Solid, not outstanding, receiving yards per team pass attempt
    • Third highest PFF grade in the class
  • WR1 Model Score predicting future Dynasty success
    • Xx.x  Will be included in annual membership version
    • This ranks xxx overall in this class
  • Chance To Achieve At Least 1 Top 24 Fantasy Season Per WR1 Model
    • xx%  Will be included in annual membership version

The Tale of the Tape

  • Elite
    • Ball Tracking
    • Catch in traffic
    • Catch Radius
    • Mid-air adjustments
  • Good
    • High Point Catches
    • Fights press with hands
    • Limited Drops
    • Fluid Hips
    • YAC Ability
    • Explodes out of breaks
    • Route Tree
  • Average
    • Leverage defenders
    • Speed downfield
    • Release Footwork
    • Speed at LOS
    • Hands Catcher
  • Needs Improvement
    • Speed in/out of breaks
  • Poor
  • NFL player comps
    • Courtland Sutton
    • Cedric Tillman
    • Davante Adams

Film Summary

Ball skills are a big strength with Rome Odunze, and he has some of the best ball skills in the class. The only knock in this department is body catches; he often resorts to securing the ball with his body when getting an underthrown ball. He did not face a lot of press coverage but was a tad slow when he did face it. His ability to contort mid-air helps his YAC ability because he puts himself in places to turn upfield immediately after the catch. Overall, a well-rounded prospect with minimal glaring flaws.

Troy Franklin, Oregon

The Tale of the Numbers

Source: Relative Athletic Score

Combine Testing Data Section, available Mid-March, will be listed here.

Stats from Sports Reference

troy franklin

Draft Capital (Mock Draft Estimate): 2.54

Early Declare: Yes

Breakout Year: 2

Weighted Dominator Rating (Best Season): 31.2%

College Career Fantasy Points Per Game: 14.0

Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Per Game (Best Season): 2.94

Yards Per Route Run (Best Season): 3.32

Contested Target Rate (Last Season): 16.5% 

PFF Grade (Last Season): 87.3

  • Analytical Concerns
    • Franklin has a fantastic analytical profile. In fact, it is far too pristine for a player with his projected draft capital. While he is still projected to be a second-rounder, Franklin is teetering on the third round when hit rate changes start to drop precipitously.
  • Analytical Likes
    • Early declare
    • Achieved a year two breakout
    • Franklin shines in yards per route run, ranking fourth in the class at 3.32
    • Franklin’s 16.5% contested target rate displays elite separation skills
    • His PFF grade of 87.3 is fourth in the class
    • Franklin barely met the elite threshold for weighted dominator in career fantasy points per game
  • WR1 Model Score predicting future Dynasty success
    • Xx.x  Will be included in annual membership version
    • This ranks xxx overall in this class
  • Chance To Achieve At Least 1 Top 24 Fantasy Season Per WR1 Model
    • xx%  Will be included in annual membership version

The Tale of the Tape 

  • Elite
    • Leverage defenders
    • Speed at LOS
    • Speed downfield
    • Speed in and out of breaks
  • Good
    • Hands Catcher
    • Release footwork
    • High Point Catches
    • Fluid hips
    • Explodes out of breaks
    • Route Tree
  • Average
    • Catch in traffic
    • Catch Radius
    • YAC Ability
    • Mid-air adjustments
    • Ball tracking
  • Needs Improvement
    • Fights press with hands
    • Limited Drops
  • Poor
    • Strength
  • NFL player comps
    • DeVonta Smith
    • Jameson Williams
    • Robbie Chosen

Film Summary

Troy Franklin is an upper-echelon route runner in this class. He is one of the best against press coverage. The questions come in about winning against physical defensive backs at the LOS. He rarely saw physical press coverage but struggled when he did see it. The other questions come in with his ball skills. There were a lot of scenarios where he looked back for the ball too early, causing him not to track it correctly, which led to drops. A lot of his flaws, weight, and early eyes are fixable, which makes him a top prospect and one who should come in and produce early.

PROFILES FOR 20 WIDE RECEIVERS TO CONSIDER FOR DYNASTY ROOKIE DRAFTS ARE AVAILABLE TO ALL DFF ANNUAL MEMBERS IN VERSION 1.0 OF THIS GUIDE A FEW WEEKS BEFORE THE NFL DRAFT WITH A 2ND VERSION 2.0 AFTER THE DRAFT.

Our $19.99 annual membership is a 60% savings off our already low monthly price and comes with 100’s of articles annually, always up-to-date rankings, and Discord access for personalized Dynasty advice. Click here to join.

Running Backs

Trey Benson, Florida St

Source: Relative Athletic Score

Combine Testing Data Section, available Mid-March, will be listed here.

Stats from Sports Reference

trey benson

Draft Capital (Mock Draft Estimate): 2.56

Early Declare: Yes

Target Share (Best Season): 5.1%

College Dominator % (Best Season): 16.4%

PFF Rush Grade (Last Season): 85.1

Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (Career): 39.2%

Breakaway Rushes Per Attempt (Career): 11.7%

Yards After Contact Per Attempt (Career): 3.97

BMI: 28.4

  • Analytical Concerns
    • Low receiving upside based on target share
    • Low college dominator
    • BMI does not align with workhorse role
  • Analytical Likes
    • Benson’s an explosive, elusive runner
  • RB1 Analytical Model Score predicting future Dynasty success
    • Xx.x  Will be included in annual membership version
    • This ranks xxx overall in this class

The Tale of the Tape 

  • Elite
    • Strength
    • Size
  • Good
    • Contact balance
    • Burst and acceleration
    • Pass catching
    • Speed
  • Average
    • Vision
  • Needs Improvement
    • Route running
    • Elusiveness
    • Patience between the tackles
    • Pass blocking
  • Poor
    • Durability concerns (ACL, MCL, meniscus tear in 2020)
  • NFL player comps
    • Brian Robinson Jr. 
    • Justin Fargas

Film Summary

Trey Benson has the size, strength, and athleticism prototypical of a workhorse back in the NFL. Benson displays excellent contact balance and the ability to break tackles, though he does tend to play with a high pad level at times. He’s an adequate pass-catcher, but he wasn’t used frequently in this role at FSU, and he didn’t run many true routes during his time in college. His burst and acceleration are good but not elite. He will need to improve as a pass-blocker if he hopes to see a 3-down role in the NFL. I believe he has the size, athleticism, and football IQ to improve in this area and really excel. 

Blake Corum, Michigan

Source Relative Athletic Score

Combine Testing Data Section, available Mid-March, will be listed here.

Stats from Sports Reference

corum

Draft Capital (Mock Draft Estimate): 2.63

Early Declare: No

Target Share (Best Season): 8.6%

College Dominator % (Best Season): 31.1%

PFF Rush Grade (Last Season): 82.7

Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (Career): 22.6%

Breakaway Rushes Per Attempt (Career): 7.2%

Yards After Contact Per Attempt (Career): 3.04

BMI: 30.4

  • Analytical Concerns
    • Corum’s analytical profile mostly indicates he was able to get what the offensive line gave him and not much more.
    • His missed tackles forced was among the worst in this class amont prospects expected to be drafted.
    • Corum was not even top 10 in breakaway rush %.
    • He also wasn’t top 10 in yards after contact per attempt.
  • Analytical Likes
    • The top-line production was there with a solid 31.1% dominator rating.
    • Corum showed receiving upside with an 8.6% target share.
  • RB1 Analytical Model Score predicting future Dynasty success
    • Xx.x  Will be included in annual membership version
    • This ranks xxx overall in this class

The Tale of the Tape 

  • Elite
    • Low pad level
  • Good
    • Patience between the tackles
    • Cutback ability
    • Explosiveness
    • Homerun ability
  • Average
    • Power/Strength
  • Needs Improvement
    • Yards after contact
    • Pass blocking
    • Recognizing the blitz
    • Pass-catching
  • Poor
    • Route tree
    • Short-yardage production
    • Height (5’8”)
  • NFL player comps
    • Doug Martin
    • Kenneth Walker III

Film Summary

Blake Corum had an illustrious career at Michigan, totaling 61 touchdowns over his four seasons in Ann Arbor. He’s a pure runner that can slip through tight holes and break off big runs. While he shows excellent burst and acceleration, he does tend to struggle in short-yardage situations. He was never heavily used as a receiver at Michigan and has a limited route tree. Drops have been an issue at times, so I have concerns about his ceiling as a pass-catcher. Corum is currently listed at 5’8”, which may be slightly shorter than NFL teams are comfortable with. Corum is a tough competitor and is not afraid to pass protect, but needs to do a better job picking up blitz assignments. His rugged running style reminds me of Kenneth Walker, though I think Walker was able to fight through contact more consistently. 

Braelon Allen, Wisconsin

Source Relative Athletic Score

Combine Testing Data Section, available Mid-March, will be listed here.

Stats from Sports Reference

braelon

Draft Capital (Mock Draft Estimate): 3.85

Early Declare: Yes

Target Share (Best Season): 6.1%

College Dominator % (Best Season): 30.7%

PFF Rush Grade (Last Season): 77.8

Missed Tackles Forced Per Attempt (Career): 24.3%

Breakaway Rushes Per Attempt (Career): 9.9%

Yards After Contact Per Attempt (Career): 3.60

BMI: 30.7

  • Analytical Concerns
    • Subpar PFF rush grade
    • Low 24.3% missed tackles forced per attempt
  • Analytical Likes
    • Prototype NFL size
    • Early declare
    • 30.7% dominator is a product of production and capability to handle a large workload which should translate at the NFL level.
  • RB1 Analytical Model Score predicting future Dynasty success
    • Xx.x  Will be included in annual membership version
    • This ranks xxx overall in this class

The Tale of the Tape 

  • Elite
    • Age (will be 20 years old as a rookie)
    • Size (6’2”, 245 lbs)
    • Strength/Power
    • Downhill running style
  • Good
    • Yards after contact
    • Contact balance
  • Average
    • Breakaway speed
    • Agility/cutback ability
    • Pass-catching
    • Burst/Explosiveness
  • Needs Improvement
    • Stiffness in running style
    • Quickness
  • Poor
    • Yards after catch
    • Route tree
    • Pass blocking
  • NFL player comps
    • AJ Dillon
    • Derrick Henry

Film Summary

Braelon Allen is a beast of a man, standing at 6’2” and 245 lbs. He just turned 20 years old this January; the combination of size and youth is certainly exciting as a dynasty player. Allen has a lot of impressive characteristics but a lot of glaring weaknesses as well. He can use his size and strength to fight through contact, displaying a downhill running style at Wisconsin. Despite this size, he’s been very ineffective as a pass protector and has a limited route tree in the passing game. Allen needs to improve on turning upfield to gain additional yardage after a reception. He’s powerful but doesn’t have breakaway speed and runs with a stiffness about him that seems to affect his lateral quickness at times. Despite these flaws, he does have the physical tools to become a 3-down workhorse in the NFL and is young enough that we can expect he’ll continue to learn and improve. His “bully ball” play style reminds me of Derrick Henry. 

PROFILES FOR ALL RUNNING BACKS TO CONSIDER FOR DYNASTY ROOKIE DRAFTS ARE AVAILABLE TO ALL DFF ANNUAL MEMBERS IN VERSION 1.0 OF THIS GUIDE A FEW WEEKS BEFORE THE NFL DRAFT WITH A 2ND VERSION 2.0 AFTER THE DRAFT.

Our $19.99 annual membership is a 60% savings off our already low monthly price and comes with 100’s of articles annually, always up-to-date rankings, and Discord access for personalized Dynasty advice. Click here to join.

Interviewing the team – Fav’s and Fades

All 4 available experts available in Version 1.0 of the Draft Guide, releasing in early April.

Favorite QB at ADP

Chris – Bo Nix

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Michael Pratt

Jim – Paid only

Favorite RB at ADP

Chris – Paid only

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Marshawn Lloyd

Jim – Bucky Irving

Favorite WR at ADP

Chris – Ladd McConkey 

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Paid only

Jim – Xavier Worthy

Favorite TE at ADP

Chris – Paid only

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Ben Sinnott

Jim – Ben Sinnott

Least Favorite QB at ADP

Chris – Michael Penix Jr.

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Jayden Daniels

Jim – Paid only 

Least Favorite RB at ADP

Chris – Blake Corum

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Paid only

Jim – Blake Corum

Least Favorite WR at ADP

Chris – Keon Coleman

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Paid only

Jim – Xavier Legette

Least Favorite TE at ADP

Chris – Jaheim Bell 

Ben – Paid only

Justin – Paid only

Jim – Jaheim Bell

Draft Strategy Article

This will be included in Version 1.0 of our guide releasing in a few weeks before the NFL draft.

Our annual membership is a 60% savings off our already low monthly price and comes with Discord access for personalized Dynasty advice. Click here to join.