Dynasty Football Factory

DFF Fantasy 5 Spot: Week 5 Takeaways

Philadelphia Eagles 34 vs. Arizona Cardinals 7 – ShaneSays ( @DFF_Shane)

Philadelphia Eagles

  1. Nelson Agholor did it! He had a big game and a highlight reel touchdown to boot. You know my marching orders. Sell high on him Tuesday. Move him now. He’s not that good. In five games Agholor has been start worthy twice this season. In both of those games, he had a long TD to boost his stats. Today it was a 72-yard touchdown, which admittedly was a thing of beauty. Without that play though it’s 21 yards on 3 receptions.
  2. Carson Wentz has improved in every area a Quarterback can do so. His accuracy on deep passes hasn’t been great most of the season, but today he was stellar. Wentz missed Alshon Jeffery deep once, but outside of that, he was great. His touch on passes is perfect. He’s a threat to run at any time, and his decision making keeps getting better. If you blitz Wentz, he’s mobile enough to move around in the pocket or run with it. Sit back in coverage, and he’ll pick you apart. Wentz’s price is going to continue to skyrocket, especially in Superflex/2 QB leagues.

  3. LeGarrette Blount is back. Blount is the lead back for this Eagles team. In the second half when the Eagles needed to run clock Blount accrued most of his 74 yards and 14 carries. Blount ended the day with an impressive 5.3 yards per carry. If you are a contender and are light at the RB position, you could do worse than trading for Blount. I’m willing to send out a 2nd round rookie pick for him. The price may seem steep, but if you have a shot at a championship, it’s well worth it.
  4. Trade for Alshon Jeffery. Yes, he had a quiet game. Keep in mind he was covered, largely, by Patrick Peterson and Peterson is a top 2 cornerback in the NFL. On the bright side, Jeffery had a 75% catch rate against the Cardinals. Yes, that was only on 4 targets, but it’s an improvement on his 50% catch rate so far this season. I suggested last week to buy Jeffery, that advice still holds. Coming off a down week get those offers out now.
  5. Torrey Smith finally had a productive week. His touchdown came on a beautiful catch and run for 59 yards. Smith is behind Ertz and Jeffery in the target hierarchy, but if this game can help build his confidence he could be an interesting play going forward. Smith’s prowess as a deep threat is well known. Carson Wentz came into Sunday’s action with the 5th most deep ball attempts in the league(per PlayerProfiler) with 21 attempts. Wentz has continued to show confidence in Smith, and there’s no reason to think he won’t continue to target him on the deep throws.

Arizona Cardinals

  1. When you’re down, big, the entire game the way the Cardinals were today it’s not conducive to having a productive running game. But the Cardinals running game is terrible. Chris Johnson is washed. Kerwynn Williams is not very good. Williams and Johnson combined for 18 total rushing yards. 21 of those yards belonging to Johnson, yes that means Williams had negative rushing yards. Three negative yards to be exact.
  2. Out the muck and grime of the Cardinals back has emerged a zero RB stud. Andre Ellington. Ellington produced 65 yards on 9 receptions. He’s among the league leaders in receiving, targets, yards for running backs. If he’s available in any of your leagues you need to pick him up now. If you can trade for him do it.
  3. Silly me. I thought I had this Cardinals wide receiving corp. all figured out. Larry Fitzgerald is the target monster, Jaron Brown is the WR2, John Brown the deep threat when able to play and J.J. Nelson is the deep threat/big play threat when one of the other receivers isn’t playing. Nelson, Fitzgerald, and Ellington each saw 10 targets this week. The Brown’s saw 6 (Jaron) and 7 (John), respectively. Week to week, outside of Fitzgerald I just stay away from these receivers.
  4. I’m concerned for David Johnson. The Cardinal’s run blocking is poor. The QB is on his last legs. Larry Fitzgerald is in the end stage of his career. It’s fair to ask how much time Bruce Arians has left as a Head Coach. That’s a lot of moving parts.
  5. Patrick Peterson is such a good cornerback but that makes him utterly useless in IDP. But still I felt the need to acknowledge his greatness.

Cincinnati Bengals 20 vs. Buffalo Bills 16 – John Orr (@DFF_JohnIDP)

Buffalo Bills

1. Tyrod Taylor lacked firepower this week, and it showed. Jordan Matthews was out already, and then Charles Clay Hurt his knee and left the game. Tyrod struggled to get the ball out, but he didn’t have much to work with. Needing to take the team on his back he collapsed under the weight. Modest numbers this week and with an offense that struggled all season, I would not be starting him in 1 QB leagues.

2. Nick O’Leary stepped into the leading target role this week with the loss of Charles Clay. Taking his 5 catches for 54 yards, he did make the best of his chances. I have been high on him and was glad to see him look sharp. He gives a nice size target for Taylor and can get the ball on any off-target throws that are close. I would be confident with O’Leary if Charles Clay is out awhile. This team loves to throw to the backs and TEs, and he will be more than able to produce.

3. LeSean McCoy failed to hit 100 on the ground but did hit pay dirt. As he has been all year, he was involved in the passing game as well, hauling in 6 balls for only 26 yards. Not a lot of room this week for him to roam. Will continue to be the featured player here but this offense is struggling.

4. Brandon Tate scored a touchdown on a great pass from Tyrod. That was the only highlight for him. Totaled 25 yards on 2 catches. You’re in a desperation mode if you started him this week.

5. Micah Hyde was impressive as he battled back from limited practice all week and played through some pain in this gritty performance. I loved watching him creep down into the box and make some tough tackles (6 total). Adding an INT, he was my defensive MVP in today’s game. Bills defense has been fantastic this season.

Cincinnati Bengals 

1. Vontaze Burfict was everywhere! Blowing up the run game looked too easy for him. Loved watching him rack up his 13 total tackles. He got away with a push on Tyrod Taylor out of bounds but other than that he played a clean game. He blew up some fantasy stats for sure.

2. A.J. Green had a game of high and lows. Fumbling and unable to stop a high throw which led to an INT (not his fault) but, sent his fantasy owners jumping out of their chairs after his 189 yards and touchdown. In PPR (yes! Some still play standard) his 7 catches were a nice bonus. Looked like he was out to make a statement game and he delivered.

3. Andy Dalton aired the ball out and for the most part looked good. Made some good throws and a few that made me question my own eye site. When he was needed, he made the tough throws, and I was glad I had him going in a few of my 2 QB leagues. I am buying into this improved offense for the rest of the season.

4. Joe Mixon was the main RB involved all game long. I would not want to own Hill or Bernard at this point. Looking like a guy who can shoulder the load and do it well I came out of this game impressed.

5. Tyler Kroft was not as dynamic but contributed, 4-38 on the day was still a good game for him in fantasy. Better than a goose egg and he was targeted over the middle and against Buffalo that was saying something. I’ve liked his game, and he will be worthy of a start as long as He is playing.

Seattle Seahawks 16 vs. Los Angeles Rams 10 – Dan Cook (@seahawksdan8)

Seattle Seahawks

  1. Earl Thomas is a karate master:

    No that wasn’t from today’s game, but this is:

    Simply amazing that twice in his career he kept the Rams out of the end zone by slapping the ball into the end zone for a touchback. This play completely changed the complexion of the game. Oh yeah, he also intercepted Jared Goff which again stopped a drive at midfield. He also chipped in 6 solo tackles and an assist. While he’s not an every week player in IDP, he has big-play opportunity playing center field for the Seahawks.

  2. Earl wasn’t the only defender making plays. Sheldon Richardson finally made his presence felt for the Seahawks defense. While he did not record a tackle, he caught his first career interception that prevented the Rams from scoring deep in Seahawks territory. He also recovered a fumble after a Frank Clark strip sack to help keep the Seahawks ahead late in the 4th quarter. IDP wise he is currently listed as a DT, so there are worse options you can roll out there.
  3. Yes, it took until #3 to mention offense. It was par for the course. Slow start, bad blocking and Russell Wilson running for his life. Wilson threw for 198 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT. He’s still a QB1 for me unless I have a better option. Doug Baldwin still didn’t look 100% as he only came down with 4 catches for 37 yards on 8 targets. The bye week coming up should help Baldwin get back to himself. He and Wilson normally like to heat up in the 2nd half of the season, so hold on and reap the rewards when it counts.
  4. Jimmy Graham caught a touchdown. His first regular season TD since 12/24/16 against the Cardinals. It would be nice to see more of Jimmy in the red zone, but Darrell Bevell doesn’t think a 6’7” tight end is worthy of those shots. Hopefully, this changes his mind going forward. Graham saw 8 targets in the game and pulled down 6 of them and his score.
  5. The Seahawks running attack is still a mess. Eddie Lacy(“Starter”): 9 rushes for 19 yards, and 1 catch for 9 yards. Thomas Rawls: 8 rushes for 20 yards, and 2 catches for 15 yards. J.D. McKissic: No rushing attempts, but 3 catches for 36 yards. AVOID, AVOID, AVOID! If you have one, try to sell to the Rawls, Lacy or Prosise owner that may want to complete the collection.

Los Angeles Rams

  1. Jared Goff did not look as impressive as he has most of this season. He did a lot better than the last time he faced the Seahawks: 12/15/16 – 13 for 25, 135 yards, and only 3 points on the day. Goff did throw 2 INTs, but the Rams were about a foot away from Cooper Kupp hauling in the game-winning TD. Goff finished with 288 yards and is a superflex starter. Goff faces the Jaguars next week, so maybe look ahead to Week 7 against the Cardinals before you give him another start in single QB formats.
  2. Sammy Watkins looked completely lost on a few routes, gave up on a route that could have been a big play, and posted a big old goose egg on the stat sheet. He was targeted 4 times but wasn’t close to coming down with any of them. Until he gets in a better rhythm with Goff, stash him on your bench.
  3. Speaking of disappointing, Todd Gurley had his first game where he looked human. His fantasy day would have looked a lot sweeter had Earl Thomas, not karate chopped his touchdown that wasn’t. He finished the day with 14 rushes for 43 yards, 2 catches for 7 yards, and the fumble lost that could have been a touchdown.
  4. If you happen to roster Tavon Austin, maybe in best ball, you were rewarded slightly. Sunday, he rushed 6 times for 26 yards and a TD and added 3 catches for 14 yards. He’ll go back to being irrelevant next week.
  5. Tyler Higbee had his best career day receiving with 4 catches for 98 yards. He did not get into the end zone but was a favorite target of Goffs with 8. Many people liked Higbee last season until they drafted Gerald Everett. If any fantasy players held onto Higbee this may give them hope. I would look to sell off of this good game though, as Everett is probably the future here.

Jacksonville Jaguars 30 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 9 – James (@DFF_Psychic)

  1. Something is wrong in Pittsburgh. It’s hard to pinpoint what exactly it is but this team is far too inconsistent. They often play down or up to their competition.  This stinker saw several missed blocks, untimely penalties, and far too many turnovers. So what is the issue? Roethlisberger was horrid in this game and is easy to point the finger at however the running game never really got going, the wideouts didn’t create separation, and the offensive line seemed overmatched. All fantasy relative players are negatively impacted by this inconsistency.
  2. The home/road splits for Pittsburgh over the past few years have been referenced by many. Simply put the Steelers are supposed to perform much better at home than on the road, and their points per game show that. The troubling part of this game is that it happened in Pittsburgh. Performances like this are not supposed to happen when Pittsburgh plays at home and is particularly concerning. My advice is to not overreact to this. I’d still start my skill players for Pittsburgh at home, but I’d be closely monitoring Pittsburgh road games in the coming weeks.
  3. Is Ben Roethlisberger a fantasy starter? Big Ben is nearing the end of his career, and his value in dynasty is limited because of this. Most Roethlisberger owners did feel that he would be a solid starting fantasy quarterback for at least this season. So far the numbers say differently. Roethlisberger is currently the 20th highest scoring quarterback in ESPN scoring and is a mid-range quarterback 2. Coming off a 5 interception performance things can’t get much worse for Roethlisberger. Time to find a backup plan if you were planning on using Roethlisberger as your starting quarterback this season.
  4. Le’veon Bell’s lack of consistency is a concern. The popular narrative has been that Bell was just “rusty” from not being in training camp and missing the preseason. The reality is that Pittsburgh’s offensive line just hasn’t been very good. Sure Bell will still have his games where he reminds you just how good he can be when he gets even a sliver of daylight but consistency will be a problem until this offensive line figures it out.
  5. The lone bright spot for Pittsburgh in this one was probably the defense. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 16 of the 30 points scored by Jacksonville (14 points came off of interception returns) and was often put in difficult situations after turnovers provided short fields for Jacksonville offense. Leonard Fournette did rush for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns. However, half of that (90 yards and a touchdown) came on a late run when the game was already well out of reach. Guys like TJ Watt, Cameron Heyward and Ryan Shazier have proven weekly starters and figure to be staples for this Steelers defense moving forward.   

Jacksonville                        

1. Just in case you had any doubt, the Jaguars are the real deal folks. Yes Blake Bortles is still their quarterback and yes they lack elite receiving options, but Jacksonville has figured out a winning formula. Run heavy, relying on a young and talented defense and protecting the football has worked for Jacksonville this year and is often a winning formula in the NFL.                                              

2. Is Leonard Fournette productive based solely on his volume? Frankly, who cares! This team has shown they will rely on the run game and that Fournette will be the main beneficiary of that. Fournette’s stock will be high right now as he was an early pick in rookie drafts and has not disappointed. If you own Fournette, I’d suggest holding onto him unless you are able or sell for over market value.

3.Jalen Ramsey is a very good young cornerback. You’ll see some highlights where he got beat by Antonio Brown a couple of times but rest assured Ramsey is growing into a shutdown cornerback. Ramsey had 7 tackles, 1 interception and a team-high 4 passes defended against the Steelers and seems to be getting better with every game that passes.

4.Blake Bortles may just end up finding his way to becoming a serviceable NFL quarterback. The thing is, you just don’t want him as your Fantasy quarterback. Bortle’s deficiencies are hidden and being used as a game manager. Game managers can win games in the NFL, but more times then not they will lose you your fantasy football matchup.                                    

5.While this defense is loaded with talent and is coming off a huge effort, understand it’s core is very young. Inconsistencies often come when you rely on young players so while this team defense should be good moving forward, understand you will get some uneven efforts while this young group of talented defenders grow into what can be an elite fantasy defense.

Indianapolis Colts 26 vs. San Francisco 49ers 23  Randy (@DFFMemphis)

Indianapolis Colts

  1. Frank Gore is a cyborg that is programmed to generate 10 PPR points per game. He most certainly will not win you a week, but he will most likely not leave you a dud either. The presence of Robert Turbin and Marlon Mack aren’t great for his ceiling, but they have not hurt his floor either. Gore is an interesting commodity and is worth acquiring if you feel your team is contending. Don’t overpay, but throw an offer to his current owner. Gore is the kind of player that will tide you over during byes weeks and is insurance, as running back injuries seem to have no end in sight.
  2. Marlon Mack is one of the few Colts players on offense that seems electric. This guy looks like he could take one to the house at any time. His 9 rushes for 91 yards showcase his big play ability. He is the one Colt that you may be able to still buy at a reasonable price and I’d get on those offers. Mack is the first running back drafted by first-year Colts GM, Chris Ballard, and should be the heir apparent to Frank Gore. He is certainly worth a 2018 rookie 3rd, and I’d be willing to go a 2nd if I had to. Mack’s role will only expand once Andrew Luck returns to the field. I’m thinking a poor man’s version of Alvin Kamara.
  3. T.Y. Hilton is an every week starter and needs to be in lineups going forward, especially when playing in Indy. Hilton and Brissett are slowly building a nice chemistry. Hilton looked uncoverable at times and took advantage of a very porous San Fran secondary. Will Hilton continue to drop 177 yards on teams? Probably not, but he does have a very beatable matchup against Tennessee in week 6. No more doubt, just roll with T.Y. with or without Luck in the lineup.
  4. The Colts run defense continues to improve. They held the 49ers to 66 yards on 22 carries. This free agent motley crew has been pretty tough on the run all year with the exception of the Seattle game. You’re not benching your starters against them, but you’re probably not getting the running back game of the week against them either.
  5. Andrew Luck may not be back in week 6 and I do not think that it matters. Tennessee looks very beatable right now, Mariota is possibly not going to play next week and Brissett isn’t killing you as a bye week fill in. Look for another serviceable effort in week 6, on the road, in Tennessee.

San Francisco 49ers

  1. Where in the world was Carlos Hyde? I already mentioned that the Colts run D was improved, but Hyde vanished in this game. A season-low 8 rushes, for another season low of 11 yards and he completed the season low trilogy with one catch. He was completely outplayed by a rookie, Matt Breida. Breida had 49 yards on 10 totes and 3 catches for 22 yards. Hyde owners should not fear this game because he is much better than the 2.8 points he delivered on Sunday, but he also isn’t the same guy who put up 24.4 on the Rams either. He is what his season average says he is and that is a guy that is going to drop around 13-14 a week for you in PPR. And that’s cool; I’d be buying if his current owner is the quick reaction type.
  2. Pierre Garçon is every bit the PPR WR we expected in 2017. He will beat the matchups that he’s supposed to. He put up 14 against Carolina, 21 versus the Rams and 17 against the Colts. He had less impressive outings against the Seahawks and Cardinals, but those teams typically hold most WRs down. Garçon is a fine start against all but the most elite corners in the league.
  3. Rookie TE Greg Kittle had the game of his young career as the Colts allowed him to rack up 7 catches for 84 yards and a touchdown. He had nine targets and looked like the second most reliable target for QB Brian Hoyer and should probably be on your radar in both redraft and dynasty. The TE position is bare and Kittle is worth a stash on your taxi in dynasty. He could be a nice piece to flip as the season moves on.
  4. Brian Hoyer lived up to his streamer status today as he put a solid 22 point effort. It’s not something that he’ll do a lot, but Hoyer has shown the ability to be useful and shows up in matchups that are beatable. He may be pressed into streamer action next week as byes continue.
  5. This San Francisco defense could be very beatable next week for a rested Redskins offense that just had a bye week to gel. Also, the Redskins defense might be stream worthy as they host this San Fran team that will be traveling east two weeks in a row for an another 1 pm EST start.

 

Thanks for reading. This is what we saw this week, how about you? Please share in the comments below.

 

smanila

FSWA member, Writer, editor, VP of Content, hypeman for DFF. Married to my best friend and the hottest MILF I’ve ever seen. Proud father of two stunningly handsome boys(they look like me). Fantasy football addict and dynasty degenerate now in 29 dyno leagues. I love talking about dynasty, writing about dynasty, listening to dynasty podcasts, being on dynasty podcasts, dreaming about dynasty, scheming about dynasty leagues…………….

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