The Jets selected Denzel Mims, Wide Receiver, out of Baylor University. He was the 27th pick in the second round and was the 13th wide receiver drafted in the 2020 NFL Draft.
Biography
Denzel Mims is 6’3” and weighs 207 pounds. He played four years at Baylor and will be 22 years old at the beginning of the 2020 NFL Season. During Mims’ junior season, he took a back seat to Tennessee transfer Jalen Hurd in Baylor’s offense.
College Production
Denzel Mims broke out at the age of 20 (age during their first season with a 20% receiving dominator rating) in his sophomore season at Baylor. Mims’ senior season was his best season. Mims had 66 catches, for 1,020 receiving yards, and 12 scrimmage touchdowns for a receiving dominator rating (average percentage of their team’s receiving yards and receiving touchdowns) of 39.3% (75th percentile). Mims had solid age-adjusted production by averaging 729.8 scrimmage yards (64th percentile) and 7.0 scrimmage touchdowns (74th percentile) per season for the Bears. He earned a significant role in Baylor’s offense with an average scrimmage dominator rating (average percentage of their team’s scrimmage yards and scrimmage touchdowns) per season of 14.7% (67th percentile). Mims was relatively efficient as well and averaged 0.82 scrimmage yards per team play (62nd percentile).
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Athleticism
[profiler]DenzelMims[/profiler]
Denzel Mims has an elite height-adjusted speed score of 115.6 (96th percentile) after running a 4.38-second 40-time at the NFL Combine. He has an elite burst score of 131.0 (91st percentile) and a good agility score of 11.09 (65th percentile). Mims is a balanced wide receiver that will be able to win with superior athleticism, good size, or technique in the NFL.
NFL Landing Spot
New York Jets: The only constants in this world are Death, Taxes, and Adam Gase’s unique ability to ruin the fantasy viability of the players around him. The statistical argument to support his title of “Fantasy Succubus” is an article for a different day. Fun note, an Adam Gase offense that doesn’t feature Peyton Manning has only produced a WR1 once (Jarvis Landry 2017) Despite somehow being labeled a “QB guru”, Gase continues to be devastating for quarterbacks (see: Tannehill, Ryan). Sam Darnold, a darling of the 2018 QB class, continues to be mediocre and ranked as the 27th rated QB. Last season, he had to come down with an illness that middle schoolers fake to avoid the Presidential Fitness Test just to avoid having to participate in the second worst offense and throwing from behind the 28th ranked offensive line. Despite a coach who is an “offensive mastermind” this unit ran the fifth least amount of plays and passed on 59.9% of them. Robby Anderson was allowed to walk in free agency, leaving Jamison Crowder as the WR1. In fairness to Crowder, he accrued a 23% target share and showed legitimate chemistry with Darnold. However, he finished as the WR31 last season. Behind Crowder sits an underwhelming corps of Josh Doctson, Breshad Perriman, Quincy Enunwa and Josh Bellamy. Any wide receiver entering the Jets has a large opportunity in front of them, but it should be taken with a grain of salt as yet another Adam Gase led offense continues to flounder.
Rivals’ Rapid Analysis
Denzel Mims is a very talented wide receiver with good age-adjusted production. Mims has decent size and should be able to win with technique, size, speed, and by going up and grabbing the ball over NFL defenders. The Jets invested second round draft capital into Mims. He has an enormous degree of opportunity and will compete with Crowder, Perriman, and Enunwa for targets from Darnold.
Denzel Mims is in Shawn’s second wide receiver tier, his WR9, and his Overall Rookie Rank 17. Shawn would target Mims in the mid second round in superflex rookie drafts (early to mid second round in single QB). Thank god someone put an end to the Mims slide. The Jets are desperately lacking at wide receiver. Until now Sam Darnold has been King of the island of misfit receivers, but now he finally has someone capable of becoming a true WR1. There are certainly some red flags in Mims’ game, but overall he brings size, speed and athleticism, something the Jets are desperately lacking. Adam Gase might be a fantasy succubus, and he might break all our hearts and ruin Mims, but that fear doesn’t change the fact that there is virtually no one standing in the way of Mims becoming the dominant receiver for this squad. Darnold is still a QB with a ton of potential, he and Mims could do wonders for each other. Don’t hesitate to pull the trigger on Mims if he is sitting there in the early second.
Denzel Mims is in Dave’s second wide receiver tier, his WR7, and 15th rookie overall. Dave would target Mims in the early-second round in superflex rookie drafts (late first-round in single QB). Mims had an average breakout age, good age-adjusted production, and elite athleticism. Despite landing with the fantasy succubus in Adam Gase, Mims will be battling with Jamison Crowder for the primary receiving role in that Jets’ offense. His talent and opportunity make him a great gamble in the early second round of fantasy rookie drafts.
This article was written in collaboration with Dave Wright. For more analysis check out Dave and Shawn’s previous articles at Dynasty Football Factory. Additionally, you can also find Dave’s dynasty superflex rankings at Dynasty Football Factory. Stay tuned for more rookie wide receiver rapid reaction articles from us throughout the entire NFL Draft. We will also give you instant reactions for priority UDFA wide receivers to help you try and find the next Adam Thielen. Interact with Dave and Shawn on Twitter @ff_spaceman and @ff_walrus. You can listen to our rivalry on our podcast @ATaleofTwoRivals with @ff_banterman.
Information found in this article was gathered from @ff_spaceman’s College Prospect Database, PlayerProfiler.com, Sports-Reference.com, AirYards.com, and a prospect’s college team website.
