Dynasty

Factory Fantasy Mail Bag

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Hello loyal readers. Dynasty Football Factory is excited to announce our video mailbag series the “Factory Fantasy Mail Bag”. Every two weeks two of our best writers, Lewis Glover, and Dan Cook, will answer all of your fantasy related questions. Dynasty, redraft, IDP, best ball, start/sit, league settings, literally any fantasy related questions are welcomed. And because sometimes you just don’t want to read another article they will answer these questions via video. Send all our your questions to:

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Diamonds in the Rough: Rookie Sleepers NFC South

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We’ve begun our move into the NFC South for our diamond hunting. A lot of interesting prospects here, but buyer beware on the prospects in the South. Some of these prospects have the potential to become future NFL starters and can flourish, but there are some obstacles that they will need to overcome to get there. As with most draft picks past the fourth round, barriers will be in their way for them to even sniff the NFL field or roster.

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How much does Tight End Premium scoring matter?

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Earlier this offseason, I wrote this article about how to apply the concept of VBD to compare league formats. I didn’t look at this concept in the article, but I looked at something remarkably similar. I looked at the difference between a particularly “beefed up” scoring system for quarterbacks, and 2QB/super flex leagues. What we found was that even in a pretty high scoring setup for quarterbacks, there were still more quarterbacks in the top 30 VBD players in the super flex format than the beefy 1QB scenario. Let’s do something similar for TE-premium.

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Trading: Who, What, When, Where, and Why?

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If you are reading this article, you probably like to trade. It doesn’t take an avid mentalist to propose that thought, though. The vast majority of dynasty football players love to trade. This is understandable because of how crucial trading is to capture value for your rosters. I’ve compiled a list of trading theory and tips, many of which you probably already know. However, it’s always good to get a refresher on the best practices of trading.

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How Does a Quarterback’s Fantasy Production Impact Team Winning Percentage?

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Every year you see fantasy players draft quarterbacks because ‘The team will be passing more’ when the team is losing, but what if I told you this isn’t the way you should be looking at how to draft quarterbacks? Did you know, since the beginning of the 2000 NFL season (606 games), that for each fantasy football point per game scored by a quarterback, their team’s wins for the given season increases by roughly 0.4 wins.

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New England Tight End Turnstile: Michael Roberts Turn

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The tight end position has been a turnstile for New England in the short time since Rob Gronkowski retired. The Patriots have been scrambling to find a replacement since he left the NFL. They signed TE Stephen Anderson in January, Matt LaCosse in March, and Austin Seferian-Jenkins in April. Then subsequently they traded Jacob Hollister to Seattle while later signing former Patriot Benjamin Watson in May. If your head isn’t spinning yet, there’s more. Austin Seferian-Jenkins was cut at the beginning of June, and today the Patriots traded a conditional 7th round pick to the Detroit Lions for 2017 fourth round pick Michael Roberts (TE).

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20/20 Vision: J.J. Arcega-Whiteside

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They say patience is a virtue. It can be hard showing patience in dynasty football. Holding onto players when they are not producing can make you sweat and cut bait on players not helping you win at the moment. Well, I am going to go in depth on a player worth waiting on. JJ Arcega-Whiteside (JJAW) is an outstanding player that may not produce right away.

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RB Theorem: The Lost True Tale of Spec Sanders

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He was born Orban Eugene ”Spec” Sanders on January 26th, 1919. The Oklahoma product played his college ball the University of Texas. He was the sixth overall pick of the 1942 draft by Washington Redskins. Sanders never appeared in a game for the ’Skins. In fact, he didn’t make his professional debut until 1946. This was due to military service during WWII. Post active duty, Sanders joined an upstart league called the All-American Football Conference. The league was designed for ex-college greats who didn’t make one of 10 NFL rosters, and ex-pros who were returning from military service.

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Diamonds in the Rough: Rookie Sleepers NFC East

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Welcome to the NFC East edition of Diamonds in the Rough. The dynasty-IDP-sleeper-prognosticator gods have graced me once more in this edition. Every team has high-upside players that can turn out to be steals in your rookie draft. With proper coaching and development, these players can make an impact for your team during their rookie campaign and for many seasons after. Round and round we go down the rabbit hole. And as a friendly reminder, the Diamond in the Rough series covers rookie sleepers that were drafted in the fourth round or later.

Joe Jackson, Dallas Cowboys, DE

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Dynasty Impact: Carson Wentz Breaks the Bank

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On Thursday night the Philadelphia Eagles locked down Carson Wentz for what will now be the next six seasons, with a four-year $128 million extension. This ensures that Wentz will be leading the Eagles for the foreseeable future, while still giving Wentz a shot at one more long-term contract, at the end of this newly signed one, when he’ll still be just 32 years old.

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The Ultimate Late Round Steal, You Hurd it Here First

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Every year there is an impact player or two that falls through the cracks of rookie drafts. Identifying these players and drafting them puts your team ahead of the curve. This year, I believe one of these players is San Francisco 49ers WR, Jalen Hurd. The third round selection in the 2019 NFL Draft, is a 6’5”, 230-pound athlete who is still new to the position of WR. Hurd came out of Beech Senior High in Henderson, Tennessee as the eighth best RB in the country, according to ESPN.Despite having offers from Alabama, Georgia, LSU, and Florida, Jalen decided to stay close to home and attend Tennessee. Jalen dominated in his first two years at Tennessee, carrying his Derrick Henry-esque frame for 2,595 total yards, and 21 touchdowns. His sophomore season, of 1,475 yards and 14 touchdowns, is particularly impressive, considering he did this starting over the future Pro Bowler, Alvin Kamara.In 2016 Jalen Hurd realized he wanted to prolong his playing career and make the switch to WR. His request to play WR was denied by the staff at Tennessee. This ultimately lead Hurd to decide to transfer out of Tennessee. In 2018, Jalen Hurd took the field as a starting WR for the Baylor Bears. In his first year playing WR, Hurd had 69 catches for 949 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also added 209 yards and 3 touchdowns as a situational RB.After the 2019 NFL Draft, I decided to create a “model” to help with my personal WR rankings. I was pleasantly surprised when Jalen Hurd came out as the fourth best WR. To create this model, I gave grades for film, analytics, opportunity, and draft capital, to all drafted WRs. (I hope to provide more insight about my “model” in the future).

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Dynasty Wide Receivers and Quarterbacks to Sell

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With the NFL offseason upon us, it’s the perfect time to review your dynasty team, make roster moves, and approach other owners with trade offers to take your squad to the next level. Sometimes, this process requires an owner to consider giving up proven talent to improve other areas of need or gather assets for the future. Veterans can be difficult to part with, but sometimes the long term gains outweigh the short term losses. With that in mind, let’s analyze candidates who fit in the category of “dynasty WRs and QBs to sell”.Jarvis Landry:Landry finally got paid like a number one receiver, but he sure didn’t perform like one in 2018. He dropped six balls in 14 games started after not registering a single drop before in his career. He was also uncharacteristically inefficient posting 6.6 yards per target, settling at the bottom of league rankings. It’s difficult to be hopeful that his situation will get any better when he had little to no competition for targets, but with Odell Beckham entering the fold, he could be in line for increased efficiency even though he should see a drop in targets.

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