Author name: Billy Beaman

Staff Writer for @DFF_Dynasty. #DFFArmy

DFF Redraft Championship Draft

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The DFF team recently completed our annual DFF Redraft Championship draft and I was fortunate enough to be granted the first overall pick! We set up a 17-round PPR draft, with 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 2 Flex, 1 TE, 1 D/ST as starters, and a 7-player bench. This was especially fun because it was the first year we implemented a zoom video conference during the draft and had live commentary on each and every selection. It was certainly a tough room but we had a blast. I’m excited about my team and chances against the stout DFF competition this year. Let’s review how my draft unfolded from the 1.01 spot. 

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Corey Davis: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Davis can improve as much as he wants, but it won’t make a difference if the passing volume isn’t there. The Titans have finished 31st in pass attempts the last two seasons, largely due to a highly efficient running attack lead by Derrick Henry. He’s also taken a backseat to A.J. Brown, who demonstrated all season long why he’s the more talented receiver. Davis received 113 targets in 2018 prior to A.J. Brown’s arrival. But, now that those days are in the rearview he’s quickly drifting towards fantasy irrelevance.  For argument’s sake, let’s assume there’s an increase in passing attempts in Tennesee (there won’t be) and Davis sees, say, 85-90 targets. He’d still be hard-pressed to crack the top 60 at his position! 

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Raheem Mostert: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Raheem Mostert should be atop all of the “sell high” lists across the industry. His current ADP alone is a sign to test the market. Reports indicate Jerick McKinnon is healthy and back in the fold while Tevin Coleman still looms in the shadows. I personally want no part of this backfield. A 49er’s running back played more than 70% of the offensive snaps just once last year. Let’s not forget who Kyle Shanahan is and how he utilizes running backs. Remember Jeff Wilson scored two touchdowns in Week 1 and was “the guy”. Mostert had just a 32.2% opportunity share (total team running back carries plus targets) in 2019. Shanahan runs a running back by committee offense and that isn’t about to change for the Journeyman Raheem Mostert in 2020.

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Le'Veon Bell Dynasty Profile

Le’Veon Bell: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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It’s been trying times for Le’Veon Bell owners over the last few years. Not only did he hold out the entire 2018 season due to contract disputes but he then signed with the New York Jets in 2019 and was quickly accursed with the Adam Gase hex. 2019 was Bell’s first year under four yards-per-carry since his rookie season (2013) and the lowest target total since he was injured in 2015. He received his lowest carry total (245) since his rookie season, when healthy. Bell finished with 78 targets but if you watched any Jets games you know he was underutilized in the passing attack. Especially considering the lack of short target weapons other than Jamison Crowder. Bell scored just three rushing touchdowns and still finished as the RB16 in PPR leagues last year despite being hindered by the coaching staff and lack of talent surrounding him. Missing the entire 2018 season likely also affected his performance but I’d expect him to be fully reacclimated going forward. 

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Damien Williams Opt-Out: Rapid Reaction

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The likely Kansas City Chiefs starting running back, Damien Williams, has opted out for the 2020 NFL seasons due to COVID-19 concerns. He will sit the season out but who can blame him? The NFL players are just like you and me. They need to think of their families and themselves before anything else if that’s what they think is best.  From a fantasy/dynasty football perspective, this feels like the first “opt-out” seriously impacting our little world and deserves some attention.

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Kenny Golladay: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Kenny Golladay is coming off of two straight 1,000 yard seasons and finished as a top 10 fantasy receiver in 2019 at just 26 years old. Golladay overcame playing half of the season with a backup quarterback to lead the league in receiving touchdowns last year with 11 total scores and was one of three with double-digit touchdowns, but the only to score 11. He was also second in the league in average depth of target (15.7) and yards per target (10.3) among players with at least 100 targets. The only two receivers ahead of him were Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. We know when the ball finds Golladay it’s going to be deep downfield.

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Dynasty Outlook: Dan Arnold

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While Arnold appears to be a very good pass catcher, he is on the lighter side, at just 222 pounds. His limited impact in the blocking game may not allow him to be an every-down type of tight end, but he could be a touchdown machine like he was in college. Arnold has only played four games with the Cardinals, and his offensive snap rate increased each of the last three games, finishing with 44% in Week 17. This shows that Kingsbury has every intention of getting him involved.

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Golden Tate: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Golden Tate finished five straight seasons with over 100 targets prior to being traded to the Giants in 2019 and dealing with a fading Eli Manning and rookie quarterback Daniel Jones. From 2014-2017 Tate had four straight seasons of 90+ catches and was a top 25 receiver each year. He’s also one of five players since 2013 with over 20% target share ever year, below are the others. 

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Say No to Trade Veto

Say “No” to the Veto! Ban the Trade Veto

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Perhaps its fate that today is the 4th of July, and you will once again be fighting for our freedom, not from tyranny, oppression, or persecution — but from trade vetoes. The capability to veto trades was originally designed to prevent collusion. Collusion is defined as illegal or secret cooperation or conspiracy; especially to cheat or deceive others. The veto system allows owners to cast a vote if they feel a trade is unfair. If enough votes are cast against the trade, then it will be canceled. Let’s take a step back real quick. “If they FEEL it’s unfair”. See, that’s the thing, feelings are not facts. Feelings can be deceiving, and they don’t count for much when it comes to determining complicity.

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Amari Cooper: Not the Top-10 Receiver You Think

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Amari Cooper has monopolized his team’s target share over his career. He’s seen at least 20% every season since 2015. This is something just 10 other wide receivers have accomplished. The thing is, of the wide receivers who’ve received at least 20% target share over the last three seasons, Cooper is last in average target share (20.2%). He’s received exactly 20% two of the last three seasons and it didn’t get much better in Dallas (20.7%). Cooper is dangerously close to falling below the 20%+ target share threshold. This is a benchmark almost all top-10 fantasy wide receivers reach in a given season. Brandin Cooks is the only receiver to finish in the top 10 since 2015 with below a 20% target share and he finished with 19.4%.

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Don’t Sleep on Jordan Howard

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Jordan Howard seems to be the black sheep running back of the NFL and the dynasty/fantasy community. I see very little love out there in the Twitterverse for the former top 10 back and I’m certain dynasty owners have found it difficult to move him for any reasonable value. Admittedly, it’s not a great situation for teams rebuilding, but it is a window of opportunity for contenders to take advantage of. 

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DFF Factory Workers’ Dynasty League Rookie Draft

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I wasn’t joking when I said I leaned heavily on rookie picks in the DFF Factory Workers’ Dynasty League. I also chose to lean heavily on wide receivers in the rookie draft as I mostly faded them in the start-up. My starting receivers are Allan Robinson, Brandin Cooks, and Marquise Brown. Not a sexy group by any means but Robinson is the real deal and I’ll stand by that. Cooks and Brown are boom/bust type players but Cooks is still just 26 years old in a really good situation as the lead wide receiver for Deshaun Watson in Houston. 

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2020 NFL Draft Winners/Losers

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The NFL Draft is all about improving a team and injecting youth into a roster. The 2020 NFL Draft specifically has been highly touted as one of the best classes in years and comes at a time when people need something to take their minds off of our real-world problems. Much like years past, things haven’t gone as expected and front offices have made some head-scratching selections.

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Landing Spot Ramifications

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It should be noted that Kingsbury’s offense wouldn’t be able to do the same things without a player like Murray. Josh Rosen wouldn’t be breaking off big runs and creating a ton of separation for his receivers with his legs. Murray allows the team to play an entirely different style than they could with other quarterbacks. Would Murray have been on track to be so successful if he had landed with another team? Who knows, but we can be sure he probably wouldn’t have gotten the same opportunity in such a strong situation.  

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Sanders to the Saints

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Emmanuel Sanders has a knack for landing on Super Bowl contending organizations. He started his career in Pittsburgh then moved on to Denver where he won a championship. He was most recently traded to the San Fransico 49ers, the latest Super Bowl runner up, and then inked a 2-year deal with the New Orleans Saints this offseason. 

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Blake Jarwin: The Next Breakout Fantasy Tight End?

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Is Blake Jarwin the next breakout fantasy tight end? I know plenty of fantasy owners who would like to know the answer to that question. You can never truly know if a young player will become a consistent fantasy producer but we can look to a few indicators that help us project Jarwin’s future outlook.

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Kyler Murray: No Need To Worry 

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Some dynasty owners have raised concerns about Kyler Murray’s ability to succeed at the NFL level. He ranked 27th in touchdown rate (3.7%) and threw 12 interceptions to 20 touchdowns. While he finished as the fantasy QB7, he had one of the lowest FPPG (18.82 ppg) out of the top 10 quarterbacks. Murray owners know how inconsistent he was last year,

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