For those of you checking us out for the first time, I’m @DFF_Biscuits. My role at Dynasty Football Factory is to embrace our inner degenerate by covering all things sportsbook related. Each week I’ll be writing two pieces; one will be my weekly picks against the spread. The second article will focus on specific player props.
For the ATS (against the spread) articles, I will provide analysis on three bets that I feel have the best chance at netting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing. I will also make predictions on the rest of the week’s spreads.
To keep me accountable, I’ll be keeping track of my wins and losses on the three bets I provide analysis on. These predictions are more “gut feel”, but you should still feel free to use them to help you place your wagers!
Betting lines were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership but also $10 in extra DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer!
I’m so excited to be back covering another season! Let’s get started.
Week 15 Recap
A very mediocre 8-8 week led to us finally hitting triple-digit L’s this season. Worse, our in-depth picks went 1-2 after the Jets hilariously choked away their chance at a franchise-altering QB. I’m sure Justin Fields will work out just fine…right?
With an overall record of 122-100-1, we’re still hitting at a 60% rate which certainly isn’t bad. Our in-depth picks are hitting at a 62.2% clip, but both of these numbers pale in comparison to Biscuits’ 12-3 record! Make sure you check her out!
Hopefully, we all can close the season out strong these final two weeks! Good luck!
Last Week: 8-8
In-depth picks: 28-17-0
Overall: 122-100-1
Vikings at Saints (-7)
Let’s start things off with a little Christmas Day action, shall we?
The Saints are one of the most complete teams in the NFC, while the Minnesota Vikings have made Teddy Bridgewater, Mike Glennon, and even Mitchell Trubisky look like franchise quarterbacks in recent weeks. Drew Brees may have started off slow in his return from injury, but he ultimately finished with three passing touchdowns against the Chiefs. Look for the Saints to roll.
Falcons (+11) at Chiefs
This seems like an unwise choice, but the Falcons have played relatively tough under the leadership of Raheem Morris. The club has gone 4-5 with Morris at the helm and hasn’t lost by double-digits outside a 24-9 drubbing by the division rival Saints. I’m certainly not expecting an upset, but the Falcons have the offensive firepower to hang within ten points of Kansas City.
Bengals (+8.5) at Texans
I’m not fooled into thinking that the Bengals are suddenly AFC powerhouses after knocking off a battered Steelers team on Monday Night Football. But I am similarly not fooled into thinking that the Texans are that much better than the Bengals. We’re talking about a team that is in the bottom-third of points allowed in the entire league, after all.
While the Bengals may not be Super Bowl contenders, there’s no denying they found a formula that works. That formula involves not passing the ball whatsoever. And would you look at that, the Texans allow the second-most rushing yards to opponents this year. This is simply too big of a spread to resist. Go Bengals.
The Rest…
You can find all the NFL game odds right here, and my picks in bold below. Any games that do not currently have lines due to COVID postponements will be supplemented before kickoff.
Buccaneers (-9.5) at Lions
49’ers at Cardinals (-5)
Dolphins (-3) at Raiders
Browns (-9.5) at Jets
Bears at Jaguars (+7.5)
Giants at Ravens (-11)
Colts (-2) at Steelers
Broncos (+3.5) at Chargers
Panthers at Washington (-2)
Eagles (-2) at Cowboys
Rams (+1.5) at Seahawks
Titans (+3.5) at Packers
Bills (-7) at Patriots
Disagree with my picks? Have any more information that I should be looking at? Feel free to DM me on Twitter at @DFF_Biscuits!
For more from Stephen, check out his archive.
