Let’s examine a dynasty trade; since we don’t have access to the league format or team context, we’ll try to walk through some examples of how trade context can vary depending on league formats. We’ll use 12-team SF Start 10 to start as a baseline. On the surface, we’re looking at a deal with FantasyCalc. The overall value is slightly on the three-player side.
Team A is receiving De’Von Achane (RB-MIA) and the 1.03. The 1.03 is most likely a choice between Malik Nabers, Jayden Daniels, and Drake Maye, or if you’re feeling dangerous post-draft capital, J.J. McCarthy.
Team B is receiving Drake London (WR-ATL), Jordan Addison (WR-MIN), and the 1.10. Our 1.10 will most likely be some version of an RB1/2 or WR4/5 in this draft class. Initially, I’m leaning toward Team A as the side I want; a premier pick and a top-10 RB on one of the most explosive offenses in the league is a pretty nice return. While Drake London (WR-ATL) has WR1 upside, we have yet to see it throughout an entire season, and banking on an aging Kirk Cousins (QB-ATL) off an Achilles injury is no sure thing.
Context matters here. If you need a quarterback, your best shot at landing one is most likely through rookie picks 1.03 – 1.05. Maye, Daniels, and McCarthy might have holes in their games, but they should get solid draft capital and offer top-20 QB upside. You’re also locking in week-winning upside each week with Achane(RB-MIA) in the lineup if he remains healthy.
I will be fading Jordan Addison (WR-MIN) a bit at his price tag of WR22. He had a great rookie season but is returning to a team with either Sam Darnold (QB-MIN) or a rookie QB at the helm. Historically, it’s very difficult for a rookie QB to support two fantasy-relevant WRs. With Justin Jefferson (WR-MIN) commanding targets and eventually T.J. Hockenson (TE-MIN) returning, I don’t think there will be enough volume to support Addison as a WR you’re excited to start each week.
However, if you have two solid starting quarterbacks, there is a good amount of upside to turning the 1.03 pick into two starting receivers and a rookie pick. The return on value is pretty even, and this takes us back to roster construction. Does our team have more RBs than we can start and need WR help?
Lastly, to help us value our trade without roster and league context, let’s look at some recent startup ADP data. We have 1.03 at the 21st pick overall in a startup, and De’Von Achane (RB-MIA) is currently being selected 44th overall. Drake London (WR-ATL), Jordan Addison (WR-MIN), and rookie pick 1.10 are currently going off the board at 46th, 62nd, and 78th overall. So, to boil it down to startup value, we essentially trade picks 78 and 62 for the 21st overall startup selection.
When trades are close, and it’s hard to pick a side, it indicates a fair deal for both parties. While we love winning trades, blowout one-sided trades gradually erode a league, and we, above all else, play this game for fun. Overall, this is a fair deal for both sides, but I’m going to take De’Von Achane (RB-MIA) and the 1.03.
Hope you enjoyed the article! Thanks for reading. If you’d like a completed trade breakdown please DM your trades at @DynastyTradeReviewHQ. Keep grinding those trade lines! #DFFArmy #AlwaysBeBuilding
