Dynasty Football Factory

9 Bold-ish Predictions: Redraft Edition

Experts are shooting off predictions left and right so I thought I would have some fun with it myself. Even though they are labeled “bold” as a headline, many times these predictions are par for the course. So here are my “bold-ish” predictions, some may be off the wall while some not so much. Enjoy!

  1. Davante Adams finishes as the WR1…

Currently, Adams is being drafted as the WR7 with the usual elite wide outs ahead of him. Last season, Adams finished in the top 20 of WRs posting up 74 rec, over 800 yards, and 10 TDs. This was done in only 14 games, with other veteran WR competition, and without the top QB in football for the entire season. After losing Jordy Nelson to the Raiders, and Randall Cobb nursing injuries, Adams is lined up to be the number target for Aaron Rodgers giving him the chance to be this year’s top WR.

  1. Derrick Henry finishes as a RB1…

Derrick Henry is currently be drafted as the 20th overall RB with a few potential question marks ahead of him. Coming into the NFL, Henry was widely regarded as an elite RB talent and is finally getting his shot to prove it. The Titans will have 184 carries, 659 yards, and 6 TDs leaving the team and while some of that production will go to newly acquired Dion Lewis, it is safe to assume Henry will get a large bulk of it. If Henry can be as productive as he was in 2017 (4.2 YPC), he could easily get to the 1,000 yard mark with double digit TDs plus a little receiving production; making him a RB1.

  1. Jerrick McKinnon finishes outside the top 25 for RBs…

Jerrick McKinnon has seen his stock sky rocket since joining the 49ers and his hype train is perhaps the largest in fantasy realms. This leaves McKinnon owners primed for a potential let down when drafting McKinnon as their RB1. As a member of the Vikings, McKinnon was great in the role he played but still unable to unseat the likes of Latavius Murray and barely out-touched Matt Asiata the year prior. Prior to his injury, Dalvin Cook averaged 4.8 YPC while McKinnon averaged only 3.8 and the two had nearly the same amount of TDs despite McKinnon having double the touches. McKinnon should see an increase in scoring, but it is very possible he could be nothing more than a flex option.

  1. Rookie RBs take over…

This rookie RB class has been hyped far before the NFL draft came around, and rightfully so. Combine all the talent in this class with the opportunity they have and you have some mid-round gems in the making! Saquon Barkley is already a top 10 pick in redraft leagues and along with him are backs like Kerryon Johnson (Lions), Royce Freeman (Broncos), Sony Michel (Patriots), and Rashaad Penny who should have the chance to make an impact early. Also, players like Nick Chubb, Ronald Jones, and Jordan Wilkins could see some action as well.

  1. Desaun Watson disappoints owners…

Now, to start off, I do believe Watson will have a good season and put up a ton of fantasy points but as of now he is being over drafted. He is currently being drafted as a top 5 QB, sometimes going over quality players like Russell Wilson, Cam Newton, and Tom Brady. It is tough to imagine Watson is able to put up numbers at the same rate he did last season with 4 of his 7 games throwing 3 or more TDs. Watson should come back down to earth a bit and if you pull the trigger too early, you may not get the return you are looking for. Draft with caution!

  1. Patrick Mahomes finishes as a top 5 QB…

To start, here are the PPG for QBs under Andy Reid prior to the Alex Smith era(2001-2012):

2001: 9th, 2002: 1st, 2003: 16th, 2004: 3rd, 2005: 1st, 2006: 1st, 2007: 13th, 2008: 10th, 2009: 10th, 2010: 1st, 2011: 6th, 2012: 13th

5 of 12 seasons were top 5 types of season with 4 of them seeing his QB have the most PPG of any QB and all but 3 being top 10. Now he has the strong armed QB he prefers and arguably has the best collection of talent surrounding him (Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Kareem Hunt). The Chiefs defense may also take a step back this season which means they will be in some shootouts and need to put points up on the board. This is a recipe that could see Mahomes as one of the best QBs in fantasy football.

  1. Andre Luck/TY Hilton return to form…

The last two seasons Andrew Luck was at full strength (2014,2016) we saw TY Hilton finish as the WR10 and WR5. Andrew Luck finished as the QB4 and QB1. It is safe to say that these two are a dynamic duo and put up elite numbers when on the field together.  Now after missing the 2017 season, Andrew Luck is back in action and presumably at 100 percent. If they both stay healthy, you will be looking at a top 5 QB and a WR1 in any format and both have ADP that is excellent value for both.

  1. Corey Davis finishes as a top 20 WR…

This prediction may be a little more difficult to get right considering how much talent is out there at the WR position, but the Titans are desperate for a true WR1 in their offense. Enter in top 5 draft pick Corey Davis. Davis has the all-around talent to be an elite WR and doesn’t have a true WR1 to compete with for targets. The Titans top pass catcher is TE Delanie Walker who is getting up there in age. Davis has a real chance to take over in a young, up and coming offense and it won’t shock me to see him burst into the top 20 this season.

  1. Devonta Freeman finishes outside the top 20 for RBs…

Now don’t get me wrong, I love Freeman’s talent and think he could be a top back, but there are a few things that could hinder him bringing the value his ADP requires. First, and the most obvious, he has another very talented back in Tevin Coleman that will steal touches, mostly in the passing game. There are also some rookie RBs coming into the league that could challenge for a top 20 overall spot. If Freeman was the only back in rotation I would have more confidence in him, but unfortunately that is not the case.

Feature image credit: Chicago Tribune

cgarrett

Bachelor's in Sports Management from GCU || College Football Scouting || Writer for Dynasty Football Factory #DFFArmy #DynastyFootball #DynastyValues

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