College Football Factory

Week 9 Deep League Waiver Wire

QB: Tommy Devito – Fr – Syracuse – 3% Owned:

I was fortunate to draft Devito in my Keeper league, as he is the heir-apparent to a Syracuse offense that is averaging 42.6 Points Per Game and 475/YPG this year. The 6’2, 205 Lb. freshman was the 35th rated QB out of his high school class and with Eric Dungey’s well-documented injury concerns, he was an attractive backup with upside should Dungey go down.

Dino Babers chose to pull Dungey for performance reasons this past week against NC and Devito excelled, throwing for 181 yards/3TD/1INT while leading Syracuse to a 40-37 victory. The switch could be temporary, but should Devito take over, Syracuse has a favorable final stretch of NC State/@Wake/Louisville/@ND/@BC. Devito is likely already taken in Dynasty leagues, but he’s well worth a speculation pick in 14+ team leagues as well.

QB: Holton Ahlers – Fr – ECU – 3% Owned:

Ahlers was the crown jewel of Scottie Montgomery’s 2018 recruiting class. The 6/3, 235 Lb. True Freshman was ranked as a Top-50 incoming QB who enrolled early to attend spring practices. The previous starter Reid Herring hadn’t been able to move the ball, so Ahlers came in against Houston 2 weeks ago and provided a spark. He threw for 11-18, 61% Comp %/137 yards/1TD and also chipped in 5 Rush/45 yards/1TD. Ahlers’ first career start came this weekend in a 37-19 loss vs. G5 power UCF, where he went 29-53 for 406 yards/1TD/1INT and 27 rushes for 69 yards/2 Fumbles.

Though ECU is only scoring 21.4/PPG, they account for 296 Passing YPG, good for #22 in the nation. Emerging dual-threat QB Ahlers faces Memphis/@Tulane/UCONN the next three weeks and should account for plenty of offense over that stretch. Ahlers is an obvious Dynasty add, and a quality depth pick up in all 2-QB standard leagues.

 

RB: Ivory Kelly-Martin – SO – Iowa – 6% Owned

Coming out of Spring, it appeared Toren Young would be the RB to take over the starting job from Akrum Wadley. Kelly Ivory-Martin averaged a whopping 9.2YPC backing up Wadley last year, while Toren Young only managed 4.3/YPC in his limited reps. Ivory Kelly-Martin impressed enough in fall camp to be named starting RB in week 1 and logged 16 carries/62 yards/1TD in week 1. However, he was injured and missed the next two games. Kelly-Martin returned against Wisconsin and performed admirably, posting 16 carries/72 yards with 1 Rec/7 yards. He followed that up with 20 carries/47 yards and 2 Rec’s/40 yards before leaving the game with a concussion and missing the following game @Indiana.

Ivory-Martin returned once again this week against Maryland, carrying the ball 24 times for 98 yards. Keep in mind this was in a game where Iowa only threw for 86 yards. Iowa is 6-1 and ranked in the Top 20, they win by grinding games out and leaning on their stout Defense. Iowa’s stretch run is pretty appealing after @ Penn State this week they play @Purdue/Northwestern/@Illinois/Nebraska. Due to the injury issues, Kelly-Martin’s ownership has plummeted to only 6%. His greatest value lies in Power 5, Non-PPR leagues as he projects to haul a 20+ carry load should he remain healthy. Standard size PPR leagues can take a wait-and-see approach.

RB Chuba Hubbard – rFr – Oklahoma State – 2% Owned

With only five weeks left of regular season college football, it’s time for some of our fellow Dynasty CFF’ers to look to the future. Justice Hill is the latest in a long line of elite OSU fantasy RB’s. Names such as Dantrell Savage, Joseph Randle, and Kendall Hunter have been every-week, matchup proof RB’s dating back a decade for Mike Gundy. Hill will be gone next year. The 2 top candidates to replace him are JD King and Chuba Hubbard.

King was the clear #2 RB last season, posting 99 carries/469 yds/4.7YPC/4TD in 2017. King has had the 2nd most touches this year, with a stat line of 33/135/4.1 and 6 Rec/92 yds/2TD. Hubbard has been more productive though, with a line of 26 carries/184 yds/7.1YPC/2TD and 7 Rec/100 yds/1TD. In addition to being more explosive, Hubbard boasts good size at 6’1 207 and also returns kicks. If you’re turning the page to 2019 in a Keeper/Dynasty format, roll the dice on Hubbard as Oklahoma State is running for 201/YPG and Hubbard is the more dynamic athlete of the two contenders.

RB Marcel Murray – Fr – Arkansas State – 1% Owned

Arkansas State is ranked #28 in the nation with 461/YPG and is rushing for 181/YPG with the toughest part of their schedule in the rearview mirror. Incumbent starter, Senior Warren Wand, has rushed 63 times for 295 yds/4.7YPC/0TD. Freshman Marcel Murray has taken advantage of Wand’s ineffectiveness, rushing 66 times for 413 yds/6.3YPG/3TD and 7 Rec/106/1TD.

Murray dropped an 11 rush/115yds/1TD performance against Georgia State this week and faces a soft stretch run @Louisiana/South Bama/@Coastal Carolina/ULM/@Texas State. Expect Murray to continue to widen the gap in Arkansas State’s backfield and to score a TD each game. Murray can be picked up in 14+ Team leagues facing RB byes and attrition, and he’s a clear Dynasty add.

WR Warren Jackson – SO – Colorado State – 4% Owned

Warren Jackson drew rave reviews from staff and players alike in fall camp. Much was expected of Jackson, however, after catching five passes for 72 yards against Hawaii, Jackson injured his knee in week 2 and missed most of their next three games. Since returning, Jackson has picked up where he left off in camp, hauling in 17 passes for 218 yards and 4TD in his last three games.

Colorado State is a horrible defensive team that is frequently chasing from behind. As such, they have thrown for 307/YPG in 2018. Preston Williams is likely going pro next year, and Olabisi Johnson is a Senior. Only a Sophomore, Jackson is a must-add in Dynasty and Deep leagues alike.

WR Dezmon Patmon – JR – Washington State – 3% Owned

Wazzou leads the FBS in Passing with 401/YPG. Leach has spread out the WR production as opposed to leaning on a true #1 WR. Here are the three leading Wazzou WR stats:

Tay Martin – 46 Rec/465 yds/6TD
Dezmon Patmon – 31 Rec/451 yds/3TD
Easop Winston – 32 Rec/440 yds/6TD

Pretty darn close in yards between the 3 of them. Winston and Martin are both owned at much higher rates than Patmon, even though he’s right there in production. Touchdowns are somewhat fluky, and I think you will see the receiving TD numbers amongst the 3 WR’s even out down the stretch. Patmon is a very reasonable pickup in deep leagues of 20+ teams. Wazzou is a passing machine right now, might as well grab a discounted piece of their Air Raid scheme.

WR Reggie Roberson – SO – SMU – 2% Owned

Roberson is a West Virginia transfer who was granted eligibility late in camp and thus fell under the radar in drafts heading into 2018. Roberson won a starting WR spot in Sonny Dykes’ Air Raid offense but injured his ankle in the first game of the season which has cost Roberson 3 games so far. After getting kicked around the first few weeks, SMU has righted the ship by winning 3 of their last four games and averaging 35.2/PPG over that span. Roberson has contributed to the surge as he has produced PPR game scores of 16.3/11.5/15.9 Points Per Game in those three wins.

This weekend against Tulane, he was targeted 13 times and posted a line of 7/99/1TD. Roberson and Proche are this year’s version of Quinn/Sutton and should be a productive duo going forward. Proche moves on this year, so from a Dynasty perspective, Roberson will be the clear #1 returning WR in 2019 in year 2 of Sonny Dykes’ system which has produced points (though not necessarily victories) everywhere he’s coached. Roberson is an excellent Dynasty add and a low-floor WR 4/5 option in deep leagues.

efroton

College Fantasy Football enthusiast from the Northeast living in Southern California. Writer/Podcaster for @DFF_College. You can find me on Twitter @NCFFExpert. #DFFArmy

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