Week 7 Waiver Recommendations

NFL Week 6 is in the books and once again, we appear to have missed any serious injuries on the offensive side of the ball with the exception of Ben Roethlisberger injuring his knee. For a moment there it looked like we might have lost both Odell Beckham Jr and LeSean McCoy, but both finished their respective monster games and are not expected to miss any time. With no obvious waiver plays as a result of injury, we’ll have to dig a little deeper this week and see what’s out there. Thank you to DFF’s Shane Manila @DFF_Shane and K.J. Hanna @DFF_KJ for their contributions this week and thank you for checking us out too.

Shane recommends:

WR: Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (.7% OWNED IN ESPN)

A little-known fact that is widely known is that Marqise Lee was actually a higher draft pick than Allen Robinson. Lee went to the Jags with the 7th pick in the 2nd round while Robinson was the 29th pick in the same round of the 2014 NFL draft. Lee was initially expected to be the 1A to Robinson’s 1B, but was injured during his first pre-season in the league and fell behind not only Robinson but UDFA Allen Hurns as well. 2015 was pretty much lost to injury and it was fair to say the shine had come off of the once highly thought of and highly drafted Lee. This season, Lee has been a consistent target for the Jags and has 22 receptions for 220 yards, already besting his 2015 totals. He has 2 more receptions than Hurns and just 2 less than Allen Robinson this season. He’s been fairly efficient with his targets as well with a 73% catch rate. Now that Lee is finally healthy we are beginning to see the player we thought we would way back in 2014.

WR: Ty Montgomery, Green Bay Packers (.2%)

With James Starks undergoing surgery it was expected that Montgomery would get a few carries against Dallas and he did just that with 3 rushes for 6 yards. But guess what? He also had 10 receptions for 98 yards. I guess you didn’t see that coming, I certainly didn’t. Hence I dropped Montgomery Saturday for some much-needed TE depth in one of my leagues with only 20 roster spots. Davante Adams also had to leave Sunday’s game with when he was knocked unconscious. Now I’m no medical doctor or any other type of doctor for that matter, but I’m guessing Adams has a concussion. If Adams misses any time Montgomery suddenly becomes a lot more viable as a flex play since he won’t have to contend with the inefficient but highly targeted Adams. I actually completed a player profile on Ty Montgomery, linked below for your convenience; perhaps Montgomery can take this opportunity and run with it.

https://dynastyfootballfactory.com/wr-ty-montgomery-green-bay-packers/

WR: Chester Rogers, Indianapolis Colts (.1%)

Rogers ended Sunday night with 53 snaps played, only 3 less than Philip Dorsett, securing all 4 of his targets for 63 yards. Dorsett ended up leaving the game injured in the second half and his practice reps should be monitored this week. Even without injury, Dorsett has failed to seize the opportunity dropped in his lap with the Colts losing Donte Moncrief, so Rogers may be able to nudge himself into a larger role. Just for good measure, Dwayne Allen is dealing with an ankle sprain so they’re might be some targets to be had in a Colts offense that must throw a ton due to a porous defense.

RB: Knile Davis, Green Bay Packers (.1% OWNED IN ESPN)

Once upon a time Knile Davis was THE RB handcuff to own in fantasy football. That time has come and gone and nothing ever came of it. But Davis has been traded to the Packers to backup up Eddie Lacy, who is extremely fat, battling injuries and generally not performing well. I don’t realistically expect Davis to step in and be a panacea to cure all the Packers woes, but he’s definitely worth a stash. Davis should have an opportunity to at least steal some carries and perhaps even steal Lacy’s job for the rest of the season if he can perform decently.

RB: Don Jackson, Green Bay Packers (um yeah he’s not owned)

As mentioned earlier, James Starks had to undergo surgery and it has now been announced he is expected to miss at least 4 weeks. Reports indicate the Packers will be activating Don Jackson from the practice squad this coming Thursday to be Eddie Lacy’s backup. The UDFA out of Nevada ran a 4.47 40 yard dash at his pro day, which would have ranked fifth at this year’s draft combine (he did not receive an invite). Based on his YouTube highlights he has excellent burst, acceleration and can juke dudes out of their shoes. Honestly, he’s a lottery ticket, but as the only other active running back behind the 300 lb. Eddie Lacy who is also dealing with injuries, he’s a lottery ticket you might be able to cash in on even if only for a small payout.  (This was written prior to the Packers trading for Knile Davis. Jackson may still be worth monitoring but I wouldn’t waste a roster spot just yet)

TE: Erik Swoope, Indianapolis Colts (0%)

Stop me if you’ve heard this before … Dwayne Allen is battling an injury. After spraining his ankle early Sunday night, Allen took the rest of the night off against the Texans. The primary beneficiary of this is going to be Jack Doyle, who isn’t going to be available in your dynasty waiver wire. So knowing how much the Colts like to run two TE sets what you ought to do is go get the one that is available. That would be Erik Swoope, all 6’5” inches of him. I’m not going to pretend he’s a plug and play option, but at the very minimum, I’m going to stash him in a couple of leagues this week.

KJ recommends:

RB: Jay Ajayi, Miami Dolphins (42%)

Truth be told, Ajayi shouldn’t be on this list due to the fact that he’s is owned in 60-75 percent of fantasy leagues, and his monster fantasy day on Sunday against the Steelers (204 rushing yards, two TD; 1-3-0 receiving) makes him one of the most obvious targets on the waiver wire this week. While the Steelers had a bad week and were missing prominent run stuffing 3-4 DE Cameron Heyward, the win over Pittsburgh comes as a welcome revelation for an offense without much of an identity. Though Arian Foster (groin, hamstring) was active and saw three carries and caught 2-12-0 on three targets, it looks like it is Ajayi’s job to lose.

RBs: James White/Dion Lewis, New England Patriots  (49%/22%)

White is another RB who’s owned in a good portion of leagues but needs to be universally owned. Tom Brady LOVES his receiving backs and that is pretty evident by White’s usage since Brady’s return. I don’t believe we’ll see another week like week 6 where White had a line of 8/47/2 receiving and 19 rushing yards, but he is someone to own in PPR formats. However, in a few weeks, you may need to temper your expectations.

Dion Lewis, who is more explosive and talented than White should be returning soon. The return date is not known, however, we in the industry are assuming it’s week 10 after the Pats’ bye week. The time is now to stash Lewis, although it’s anyone’s guess how much he’ll be used.

RB:Mike Gillislee, Buffalo Bills (2%)

I tweeted a ‘gut call’ Sunday morning to roster Gillislee and I almost jinxed McCoy’s owners. McCoy went down on an awkward hit but was able to return. However, Gillislee was able to get a few additional carries and ended the day with 60 rushing yards and a TD (2nd in 2 weeks). The Bills are a rush first team and if anything were to happen to McCoy, Gills becomes an every down back and RB1/2. If you are a McCoy owner, handcuff him now before a league mate snags him and offers you a trade.

RB: Devontae Booker, Denver Broncos (30%)

Possibly the most valuable handcuff outside of Alf Morris is Devontae Booker. Booker has been involved more and more every week and he’s performing. I don’t believe CJA’s job is in jeopardy but if he were to get banged up or have a string of bad games, enter Booker. Remember Hillman? Yeah, the Broncos aren’t afraid to make changes at the tailback position. Stash if you have room and if you own CJA, he’s a MUST own.

RB: Matt Asiata, Minnesota Vikings (20%)

Asiata is who we thought he was, a GL back who will score almost every week when given the chance. Minnesota still has a very talented back in Jerick McKinnon, however, if you are in a standard league and need a FLEX play, Asiata is worth a pickup.

WR: Golden Tate, Detroit Lions (68%)

Well, well, well, look who decided to show up! We all knew it was coming, but when? It took a slew of Lions injuries to make Tate relevant again and I think it will continue. Tate is still owned in 68% of leagues but it’s been a steady decline. If he’s available in your league, he’s your #1 priority this week.

WR: Michael Thomas, New Orleans Saints (59%)

You never know who will be the beneficiary on the Saints in any given week outside of Cooks. Will it be Snead? Thomas? Fleener? Ingram? But, Thomas is quickly becoming an every week must-start WR2/3.

Check out Thomas’ last 4 games:

7/71/1, 4/44/1, BYE, 5/78/1

This is the kind of production you can bank on for your WR2/3 or FLEX spot. Thomas needs to be owned in more leagues, don’t let him pass you by.

WR: Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (45%)

Beasley has been beastly recently (say that 3x fast) scoring 3 TDs in the last 2 wks. The Cowboys are on a bye in Week 7 which means if he’s owned in your league, you could possibly make a trade without breaking the bank. I’m not worried about Dez taking away his targets, in fact, I can see the targets potentially opening up a bit more with attention being diverted towards Dez. For the 55% of you who still have Beasley on their wire, he needs to be on your roster.

WR: Kenny Britt, Los Angeles Rams (13%)

I for one never doubted his talent but his opportunity. Britt is finally getting that opportunity and making the most of it. Sure, in week 6 Britt torched a terrible Lions defense with a 7/136/2 line, but let’s face it, that’s impressive.

Britt’s last 3 weeks have looked like this: 4/82, 5/75, 7/136

It’s time we believed in Britt again.

WR: Kendall Wright, Tennessee Titans (1.2%)

Wright’s return from injury has been fruitful but mostly for no one to benefit from. Wright has quickly gained the trust of his QB and can be most useful in a bye week pinch or even a weekly FLEX play. There’s little to no competition in Tennessee for Wright so he can become the de facto #1 as soon as this week. Snag him if you need WR help.

TE: Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers (49%)

What can I say? My only TE man-crush year to year is Gates and Henry is quickly taking over his soon to be absent spot. In a tough matchup against Denver AND with Gates active, Henry had a 6/83/1 line on eight targets in Week 6. Henry has scored in 3 straight weeks and needs to be owned in every format. Don’t be the one who missed out.

TE: Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts (7%)

O’DOYLE RULES!!!! With Dwayne Allen again to miss time with a bum ankle, he very well may rule. Doyle had a nice 4/53/1 line in week 6 and can run away with the role if Allen has to miss an extended amount of time. I am a believer, especially in an offense run by Andrew Luck, and you should be too.

TE C.J. Fiedorowicz, Houston Texans (5%)

If you read this column or follow me on Twitter you know my disdain for TEs and the unpredictability of their weekly output. However, C.J. has been pretty productive over the past 3 weeks with a 14/194/2 line. Hey, he’s scored more TDs in 3 weeks than Pitta and Barnidge have in 6 weeks. If you need a spark at TE, why not try Fiedorowiczzzzzzzzzzzzzzz?!

QB: Captain Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (70%)

Cousins has been a frustrating QB to own, especially after his accolades given by some of the bigger advice sites (ahem, not me). However, Cousins visits Detroit in week 7 and can be a very interesting stream if needed. This is a week where I can definitely recommend adding (if he was dropped) and starting Cousins.

QB: Landry Jones, Pittsburgh Steelers (0%)

No, he is not a sexy name and no, you shouldn’t start him unless you are in absolute need of QB this week, but Jones is expected to start in Week 7 against the Patriots with QB Ben Roethlisberger out with a torn meniscus. Again, this is hardly a recommendation for a start, but rather for those in perhaps 2QB leagues who are desperate.

DEF: Cincinnati Bengals (70%)

I generally don’t give defenses to snag, but you may be looking for the smallest of edges in your matchup with bye weeks in full swing. The Bengals are playing the lowly Browns and potentially without their only offensive weapon in Pryor. Grab, start and smile!

John recommends:

WR: Justin Hunter, Buffalo Bills (.2%)

Hunter was a 2nd round pick in 2013 and never really caught on during his stops in Tennessee or Miami. Now, whether or not that has been a result of talent or scheme is up for debate, but what isn’t up for debate is that the Bills like him. Over the last 3 weeks, he’s seen his snap count percentage go from 0% to 20% to 58% and he’s the Bills best red zone weapon. Maybe not super valuable in PPR leagues, but in touchdown-heavy formats, the Bills love his size and are utilizing him. With Sammy Watkins out for an unspecified amount of time, Hunter might be the guy who gets all of those looks near the goal line.

WR: Torrey Smith, San Francisco 49ers (42%)

I can’t believe he’s still that highly owned after doing abso-F’ing-lutely nothing up to this point. Anyway, with Kaepernick at the helm it was speculated that Smith might finally get more looks downfield, and yup, sure enough, Kaep hits him for a 53-yard touchdown. He’s definitely a guy to snatch up if you need help at receiver.

WR: Rishard Matthews, Tennessee Titans (7%)

Matthews was one of Tennessee’s bigger off-season free agent signings and reports all throughout training camp was that he and Mariota were really developing a bond. Then, the regular season started, he did nothing and was passed over by both rookie Tajae Sharpe and 733-year-old Andre Johnson. Well, don’t look now, but Matthews has scored in 2 straight games and might finally be on the same page with Mariota.

TE: Ladarius Green, Pittsburgh Steelers (4.5%)

He was one of the bigger “sleeper” picks this off-season but a string of mystery injuries have kept him from practicing until this week. If he does return soon, and he can produce on the field like he has in the past, he very well might be a TE1 from this point until season’s end. (of course, keep an eye on Big Ben’s injury situation, as his value is greatly impacted if he has Landry Jones as his QB)

QB: Colin Kaepernick, San Francisco 49ers (8%)

His politics aside, he was once a top fantasy option at the position and is once again starting. We have seen his upside – and downside – for fantasy purposes and he’s worth the stash with bye weeks coming up. If he plays down to his low-end, he’s an easy cut in a week or two for another player, but if he can get back to his glory days, you’re getting a really cheap fringe QB1.

QB: Case Keenum, Los Angeles Rams (1%)

Look, Jeff Fisher is a dummy and for whatever reason isn’t using Todd Gurley like he should and is trying to win games with Case Keenum. Let Fisher’s folly benefit you. A great matchup play and bye week fill-in, Keenum will probably come super cheap.

We’ve officially reached the halfway point in the season and hope that our waiver suggestions have been helpful thus far. With bye weeks just beginning and injuries piling up, being active on the waiver wire will make a huge difference for your team from this point forward. Good luck to you this weekend, hope to see you back here next week and as always thank you for reading. Please feel free to give us a follow and hit us up with any questions on twitter @dibari22 @DFF_Shane and @DFF_KJ

 

jdibari

Chicagoan living in Las Vegas. Fantasy Football writer & Director of In-Season Analysis for Dynasty Football Factory, blogger for USFantasy and contributor to TheFakeHockey. Member FSWA.

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