Welcome to the second review of weekly top 10 MFL adds. If this is your first time joining, welcome. Each week (except next, since I will be out of commission in Las Vegas!) I’ll review the some of the top adds on the My Fantasy League site. That’s it. So let’s get to it.
Alfred Morris – Sell, sell, sell, sell. Morris hasn’t been good at football in about four seasons. Last season Morris had a six-game run as the lead running back while Ezekiel Elliott was serving his suspension. During those six weeks, Morris averaged 9.77 fantasy points per game. Extrapolated over a full season, Morris would have finished as the RB36 (excluding players with less than eight games played).
Finishing as the RB36 is not terrible. But when you consider that Dallas had the 4th ranked offensive line ranking from PFF and 4th ranked run-blocking offensive line from football outsiders that RB36 seems a bit worse. I’ve seen it bandied about that Morris will succeed because he’s reunited with Kyle Shanahan, with whom Morris had his most productive fantasy seasons. Though true, this neglects the fact that Morris progressively worsened every season after 2012’s transcendent season. In 2012 Morris came out of nowhere to rush for over 1,600 yards.
Since that 2012 season, Morris’s yards per carry has dropped every season from 4.8 in 2012 until it cratered to 3.5 yards per carry in 2016. His ypc did bounce back to 4.8 last season, but that was running behind the 4th best run blocking in the league. Morris gives you next to nothing in the passing game, averaging 9.5 receptions in his six-year career. This means it’s likely Morris is going to lose a ton of snaps to Matt Breida.
San Francisco ranked 6th last year in passing percentage, passing the ball on 61.4% of their offensive plays while Dallas checked in at 30th with 52.2%. I have no idea if Kyle Shanahan wants to throw as much as he’s was forced to in 2017. Based on San Franciso giving up the 8th most points per game last season, 23.8 per game, and their only significant addition to a porous defense being a washed-up Richard Sherman I think it’s safe to say they’ll need to continue to throw a ton. In Morris, we have a running back who’s not very good running the ball and terrible in the receiving game on an offense that is going to be forced to throw. Sell Morris now before everyone else realizes he’s just not that good anymore.
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Antonio Gates – Surprising no one, Gates signed with the Chargers this week after the preseason officially concluded. Gates has produced 10 TE1 weeks in the last two season in 29 games played. You could tell yourself that might have been because Gates was sharing snaps with Hunter Henry the last two season. In 2016 Gates saw a 67% snap share which plummetted to 50% last season. Having watched Gates run I think his diminishing returns is owed more to being 39 years old and being completely washed. If you play in start two TE leagues, I understand holding onto Gates for the 2018 season. Outside of that, I wouldn’t even waste a roster space on Gates.
Phillip Lindsay – Lindsay is a player I am adding in deep leagues. In leagues where he’s already rostered, I have added Lindsay to my watch list. While not as prolific as a receiver as Devontae Booker, who averaged 3.47 receptions per game in college and 2.10 per game in the NFL, Lindsay is still accomplished as a receiver in his own right.
During his four seasons at Colorado Lindsey averaged 2.29 receptions per game. Lindsay’s impressively rushed for 3,775 yards, helping him achieve an 85th percentile college dominator rating. At just 5’7″ and 184 lbs. I don’t forsee Lindsay ever adding much to the rushing attack at the NFL level but if Booker were to miss any time he could step is as the receiving back in Denver.
The receiving back role in Denver is one that has been fruitful the last two seasons. At least it’s been fruitful when properly utilized.
In 8 games where Booker has seen four or more targets, he’s averaged 11.55 points per game. Even in the 21 games out of that split, Booker has averaged a respectable 7.13 points per game. This is the role Lindsay could find himself in, so as I said I’ll be keeping an eye on him.
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