Dynasty Football Factory

The Waiver Wire: Week 12

Week 12 is here. Just two more weeks until the playoffs kick off in many leagues. We’ll provide you with options for your Dynasty or Redraft leagues to get you through the various injuries and bye weeks. Perhaps you just want some players to stash for 2019. We can help you with that too.

Don’t shy away from targeting these players in trades if they’re already owned in your league(s). And because man or woman can not survive on waiver wire content alone don’t forget to check out all of our other content to help you dominate your leagues. We have podcasts (I’m partial to the DynastyTradesHQ podcast), start/sits, IDP and even DFS content for your check out every week.

Shane says:

Quarterback

With near certainty, we’ve seen the last of Alex Smith this season, and possibly longer.

Colt McCoy took over for Smith on Sunday and will be the starter for the rest of the 2018 season. McCoy is an option in Superflex leagues only, for a few reasons. The Washington offense is pretty awful and has only scored 21 points or more 4 out of 10 games this season. Paul Richardson is out for the season. Jamison Crowder hasn’t played in over a month. So McCoy steps into an offense with a depleted receiving corp, to say the least. Unless all of your QBs are abducted by aliens don’t add McCoy in start 1QB leagues. 

If you play in Superflex or 2QB leagues, McCoy is worth at least adding to your roster. McCoy last had an extended run as a starter way back in 2011 and performed decently. He also brings some running ability to the table and averaged 4.6 rushing attempts per game as a starter in 2011. In his 36 career games played McCoy averages 3.3 rushing attempts per game.

Mitch Says: This is definitely a guy to look at in Superflex leagues. His rushing ability is especially appealing in formats where that is rewarded heavily. But with the overall mediocrity of the Redskins offense, McCoy will have limited appeal in standard leagues.

Wide Receiver

I hoped for a quiet game from Trey Quinn this week. I didn’t want this recommendation to appear to be hindsight bias. A 4 reception 49-yard debut isn’t silent as a church mouse, but it’s quiet enough. Mr. Irrelevant of the 2018 draft, Quinn could have helped his draft stock by staying in school for his Senior season.  His low draft capital shouldn’t scare you off Quinn though. After two seasons where he rarely touched the ball at LSU, Quinn transferred to SMU. And in his lone season at SMU Quinn outproduced his more heralded teammate, Courtland Sutton.

Quinn is one of those players who plays better than his measurables would suggest. He has a knack for getting open and runs precise routes. At 5’10”, 203 lbs. and more agile than fast Quinn is made for the slot role and could be a security blanket for Colt McCoy. Washington thought of enough of Quinn that they kicked the usual starting slot receiver Maurice Harris outside this week so Quinn could occupy the slot. With Jamison Crowder out indefinitely and an unrestricted free agent after the season, Quinn could work his way into a starting slot receiver role next season. 

Marcell Ateman made his career debut on Sunday. Ateman turned his 5 targets into 50 yards and 4 receptions Sunday. The Raiders were without Martavis Bryant and Jordy Nelson entering the game and lost Brandon LaFell during the game. LaFell injured his Achilles and early speculation is that is was a serious injury. Ateman averaged an impressive 19.6 yards in college and could pop with a big play or two a game. He’s also 6’5″ and could provide an end zone weapon for Derek Carr. Ateman is a poor athlete and didn’t produce at any significant level in college. But he is healthy. That alone is enough for him to start for the Raiders.

Running back

As expected a Baltimore rookie made a huge splash Sunday rushing the ball. I’m talking about Gus Edwards of course. Edwards went off for 115 rushing yards, and a touchdown on 17 carries Sunday. Alex Collins did score a touchdown himself Sunday. Outside of that Collins was useless with a miserable 2.6 yards per attempt. John Harbaugh has never committed to Collins in the past and is a fan of the “hot hand” approach. At 6’1″ and 229 lbs Edwards is a very large human being with a respectable 78th percentile speed score who should be able to bulldoze any goal-line opportunities into touchdowns.

Coming off a bye week it’s apparent the Raven’s offensive coaching staff had plans to insert Edwards at the first sign of trouble for Collins. Next week Edwards gets to face the Raiders who are giving up the 9th most rushing yards per attempt (4.8) and the 4th most rushing yards on the season (entering Sunday).

Mitch Says: This is a development with redraft implications as well. It’s clear that the Ravens are losing trust in Alex Collins. Gus Edwards stepped in and churned up 115 rushing yards and I am willing to bet they will trot him out again next week to see if he can do it again. With Ty Montgomery not logging a single carry on Sunday, Edwards arrow is pointing straight up.

Kerryon Johnson suffered what is likely a multi-week knee injury Sunday. The initial prognosis is a sprained knee. Playing on Thanksgiving the Lions don’t have much time to add anyone of note to their running back room. Theo Riddick should see some carries in addition to his 6-10 targets a week. Riddick is owned in most dynasty leagues but you could trade a 3rd round rookie pick if you really need some running back production.

Zach Zenner was resigned after the Lions cut Ameer Abdullah last week and if you’re desperate might be someone to add. Under no circumstances can I suggest that you add LeGarrette Blount. Blount has a sub 3.0 ypc on the season and totaled 1 yard on 7 rushing attempts. Yes, you read that correctly. 1 yard on 7 rushing attempts. That works out to .14 per attempt. That is astounding. I don’t even know how it’s possible. Do not add Blount. No matter what.

 

Mitch Says:

Wide Receiver

I’m almost certain that we had mentioned Tre’Quan Smith in a previous edition. But the exciting rookie is now a full blown top priority on waiver wires after his monster game against the Eagles. Brandon Marshall is set to make his Saints debut next week, but that should have a very limited impact on Smith. If Smith continues to operate as the #2 WR in New Orleans, his ceiling is WR2 numbers in any given week.

With Allen Robinson relegated to a tertiary option on Sunday night, Taylor Gabriel stepped up in a big way. It’s probably a little too early to call him a waiver priority, but in deeper leagues he’s worth a stash.

Adam Humphries had himself another stellar game. His ceiling will be limited if Winston is named the starter next week. But his performances in weeks 9,10, and 11 warrant a stash for the redzone specialist.

Tight End

In an effort to ensure you don’t think I forgot about these guys, Antonio Gates and Jonnu Smith are going to be popular waiver adds, but neither are going to be recommendations that I make.

Gates had a big role in Sunday’s win, but his output this week was better than his total yardage for the entire season to this point. That’s not a good thing. Gates will be relegated to being an afterthought in the upcoming weeks, and he doesn’t belong on fantasy rosters.

Jonnu Smith might have been a more interesting play had Mariota not left the game early with a throwing hand injury. It wouldn’t surprise me if Mariota misses multiple weeks. But even if he doesn’t, Smith’s limited upside will keep him off my rosters.

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