Startup ADP Gems

Okay, hosers quit fighting over who is first and who is second round talent. Let’s dig a little deeper and look at players outside the top 100. To the eighth round and beyond! We shall soar with the aid of the @DFF_ADP from the month of March.

Austin Hooper – (TE11/pick 107/8.9) The loss of Gronk means new TEs will emerge as top 10 positional players. The dynasty masses are obsessed with the 2019 TE rookie class. That is why we see Hooper falling here. Lest we forget that TEs take time to develop. Hooper is an established product with a career per game target average of 3.91. If you wipe away his 27 target rookie season, that number jumps to 4.78 targets per game. His targets and receptions increased more in 2018 even with Calvin Ridley added to the mixture of Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu. Hooper’s 71 receptions in 2018 might be his peak, but he was nine for 13 with his red zone targets. That was just one reception fewer than Jones who was 10 for 17.

Sterling Shepard – (WR45/pick 108.8/9.1) With Golden Tate now in New York, expect Shepard’s ADP to get even worse. Shepherd is still a baller regardless of whether or not Saquon Barkley is the focus of Giants offensive attack. Eli Manning has clearly lost a step, but he knows what to expect from Shepard. The Tate signing and of course Evan Engram muddy the waters a little bit. Shepard could find himself as respectable WR2 as he enters free agency after the season.

Albert Wilson -(WR49/pick 116.8/9.7) Not even the worst QB situation in the NFL can dissuade me from still pounding the Wilson drum. Oh wait, what’s this, Miami has been sprinkled with some Fitzmagick dust? I know it’s pre-NFL Draft, but Wilson can really a be a beacon of hope on otherwise depleted Dolphin offense. He is crafty and fast enough to give the defense fits. Let your league mates drown themselves with Kalen Ballage shares. You and Wilson can wave at them on your way to the playoffs.

Curtis Samuel -(WR52/pick 124.3/10.4) I was so close to dropping Samuel multiple times while making roster cuts before the 2018 season. My gut said ”just admit you are wrong,” but my head said, ”what if Devin Funchess moves on?” Okay, so I was really thinking about how much I dislike Funchess and his play. Samuel is so dynamic, and he finally has a chance to be healthy throughout the entire offseason program. Now he can be yours for pick 10.04! What are you waiting for? I mean yes wait, be quiet and reap the rewards.

Michael Gallup -(WR56/pick 130.5/10.9) The Randall Cobb signing does not denigrate Gallup’s role. Expect Gallup to gallop 15 to 25 yards (or more) downfield more times than Cobb’s total number of snaps. For now, Gallup is the new Kenny Stills with better hands. His catch rate of 48.5% was mostly a reflection of his depth of target.

Dak Prescott -(QB15/pick 133/11.1) Yes I am well aware that the Cowboys offense revolves around Zeke Elliott. However, Prescott gets a whole offseason to build a stronger rapport with Amari Cooper. Jason Witten and Randall Cobb are also now both in the mix. Each is on the downside of their careers, but they must be respected. And, don’t forget Michael Gallup is stretching the field deep.

Matt Ryan -(QB16/pick 133.3/11.1) Matty Ice threw for nearly 5,000 yards with a TD/INT ratio of 35/7 in 2018. He also had his second-highest completion percentage (69.4%) of his 11-year career. Why are people still choosing the Antonio Brown-less Big Ben Roethlisberger before the Ryan-to-Julio Jones connection?

Austin Ekeler -(RB44/pick 136/11.3) I am always searching for the next Fred Jackson. You know that kind of PPR hound who rips down five receptions per game and remains a dandy of a flex option. Ekeler is not quite in F-Jax territory, but the potential is certainly within that. 

Sam Darnold -(QB17/pick 144.5/12.1) I remember scoring Philip Rivers at a similar draft position in redraft before his second full season as a starter. During said season, he was slapped with many speed bumps. Then the following year, Rivers threw a league-leading (and still a personal best) 34 TD passes.

Ian Thomas -(TE19/pick 149.3/12.4) It is okay to be a year or two too early on a player in dynasty, as long as the value isn’t cumbersome. This may not even be Thomas’s breakout season. However, with some more encouraging numbers, he should have another offseason stock spike.

Ito Smith -(RB51/152.5/12.7) One-cut dynamo Tevin Coleman is finally gone. Incumbent starter Devonta Freeman is Humpty Dumpty fragile, and he is already 27 years old. Smith is versatile, and he got his feet wet with 467 scrimmage yards on 117 rookie touches.

Jamaal Williams -(RB53/155.3/12.9) Williams is an old school banger who should see some short yardage work at the very least. Perceived starter Aaron Jones isn’t exactly the picture health, and he has some questionable off-field exploits.

jjohnson

I am searching for the meaning of every bump on the pigskin. From leather helmets to a league with no point after attempts, I am researching with a wide shovel. -married/father/music fan/Raider Nation baby/deli meat enthusiast/three-cone extremist

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