Daily Sports Factory

MLB: Daily Fantasy Sports picks 5/18

The weekend is finally here, and so are your Friday Major League Baseball Daily Fantasy Sports picks for a slew of games with some great match-ups. Division foes match up again as the Chicago Cubs take on the Cincinnati Reds, the Colorado Rockies head to the bay to take on the climbing San Francisco Giants, and the slow healing Los Angeles Dodgers travel to the East Coast to face off against the big ace for the Washington Nationals, Mad Max Scherzer.

 

C – Willson Contreras, CHC ($4,600)

Contreras is the highest priced catcher, however he should be worth it in a match-up versus the Reds. Over his last ten games, Contreras is slashing .350/.409/.775 with 3 HR and 12 RBI.

Contreras is striking out at just a 13.6% rate, and his walks are up at 9.1%. Contreras also continues to mash, in more advanced statistical categories, posting a .488 wOBA and almost unreal 214 wRC+

He faces Bailey who, over his last three games, sports a porous 1-2, 9.00 ERA with a lowly 11.4% strikeout percentage and a ridiculous 3.86 HR/9. Bailey’s walks are also up, and his xFIP, which measures a pitchers expected run prevention. It has been so bad at 5.54 that it isn’t even represented on the chart.

Contreras is in a phenomenal spot.

1B – Trey Mancini, BAL ($4,100)

Mancini may sound like a strange pick, especially with the likes of Freddie Freeman and Anthony Rizzo seemingly facing meatballs all evening, however, DFS is all about maximizing value, making Mancini hard to look past.

Over his last ten games, Mancini is slashing a respectable .268/.375/.512 with 3 HR and 6 RBI. The downside of Mancini is that his strikeout percentage is at nearly 21%. However, his walks are up and, as we once again dive into more in-depth stats for a moment, his wOBA is at .383 and has also posted a 141 wRC+ in the span.

Meanwhile, the Orioles head to Boston to take on the Red Sox. Sox starter Drew Pomeranz is pitching average over his last ten ballgames, going 1-0, 4.50 ERA. However, his walks are also elevated as he is allowing 5.06 BB/9. Mancini also loves Fenway as he has made it his bandbox. Over the course of his 38 career at-bats there, Mancini is batting .474 with 2 HR and 11 RBI.

As a sleeper, undervalued player Trey Mancini is a sneaky way to go.

2B – Gleyber Torres, NYY ($4,000)

Torres is another guy who many people may not consider. However, he is freaking good, and has been freaking good over his last ten games. As he does receive his customary days off, as a rookie Torres is the brightest diamond in all of New York City since receiving his call to the show.

In 38 at-bats over the ten game span, Torres is slashing a ridiculous .333/.378/.606 with 3 HR and 10 RBI. Unfortunately, the downside is that he is striking out at a 31.6% clip, so take caution. The upside though far outweighs the strikeout potential. To make things even better for Torres, he is posting a .413 wOBA and 162 wRC+. Talk about tearing up the league as a rookie.

The Yankees face off against Kansas City Royals RHP Jakob Junis. The big rookie has been a bright spot for an otherwise dull season so far for the Royals. However, he is hittable as he has a 3.86 ERA over his last three games including giving up 4 ER in just 5.2 IP previous week against Cleveland.

Torres is in a right spot here with a chance to build on his already impressive start in 2018.

3B – Kris Bryant, CHC ($5,600)

Bryant is the most expensive third basemen on the slate. However, it should be a worthy roster addition and a nice stack for Willson Contreras. If there is anyone you should build a DFS lineup around, Bryant is your guy.

The last ten games for Kris Bryant have been almost unbelievable as he is slashing an asinine .359/.479/.821 with 5 HR and 10 RBI. Bryant has had some fantastic at-bats and because of this is obviously hitting for his usual power, but also walking and striking out at the same rate, 14.6% respectively. It means that Bryant is garnering better, smarter at-bats. Looking at his advanced analytical stats, Bryant is posting an eye-popping .529 wOBA and 241 wRC+

As far as hitting in Great American Ballpark, Bryant has been average batting a modest .278 with 5 HR and 21 RBI.

Bryant hasn’t faced Bailey more than a handful of times in his career, so the sample size is skewed, but he is still in a great position to make a splash in lineups.

SS – Francisco Lindor, CLE ($5,100)

Lindor is the second highest priced shortstop behind only Manny Machado and gets an away match-up versus Charlie Morton and the Houston Astros. Lindor has faced Morton only a handful of times, going 1-5, R in those at-bats.

However, Lindor has been tearing the cover off the ball, and its as if he is playing MLB The Show on rookie mode over his last ten games. In this span he is slashing .432/.522/.973 with 5 HR and 9 RBI. For my analytical friends, his wOBA is a whopping .592, and he is sitting at a 281 wRC+.

Lindor has not fared well on the road at Minute Maid in his career, but its no matter anyway. With how he has been mashing lately, there is no way he is being left out of our lineup.

OF – J.D. Martinez, BOS ($5,300)

As people will notice, we are going all in on the Boston outfield and another stack. Martinez has been a godsend for the Red Sox (not that they needed it, necessarily), and continues to find his offensive groove in ‘Beantown.’ So far this season, Martinez is slashing .344/.395/.644 with 12 HR and 36 RBI.

Over his last ten games, Martinez is slashing a modest .342/.419/.816 with 5 HR and 10 RBI. He homered again last night. He has posted a .508 wOBA and 223 wRC+ in that span. Against the Orioles presumed starter Alex Cobb, Martinez is 6 for 10 with a home run and two RBI. Look for the Martinez-Betts stack to be full of fireworks.

OF – Mookie Betts, BOS ($5,800)

Betts is a great option pretty much every night of the week, and stacking him with J.D. Martinez will hopefully pay profitable dividends. Hands down, Mookie Betts, has been the MVP of the American League so far this season. We are a month and a half into the season, and he has already been worth 3.0 WAR.

Betts, so far in 2018, is slashing a ridiculous .353/.428/.733 with 13 HR and 28 RBI. Over the span of his last ten games, Betts is slashing .357/.415 /.500 with 2 RBI and 5 SB. His wOBA is sitting at .389 with a 142 wRC+.

Against Alex Cobb in his career, Betts owns a respectable .286 average with a home run and four RBI. Betts is also at home, where he is hitting .400 this season. Don’t leave him out of your lineup.

OF – George Springer, HOU ($4,700)

Springer rounds out our offense and is always a good bet to hammer out a “Springer Dinger.” Springer has slashed a whopping .390/.432/.585 with 2 HR and 6 RBI across his last ten games. He is on fire with a .438 wOBA and 183 wRC+.

Springer has a tiny sample size versus Cleveland Indians SP Mike Clevinger, however, don’t let that deter you from slotting him into your lineups today. Springer is on an absolute tear at the dish right now and should have his chance to put up some production.

P – Ross Stripling, LAD ($4,200)

As our lineup is stacked from top to bottom with dangerous bats, digging deep was the name of the game, and Ross Stripling is our lucky winner. Stripling gets a road match-up with the Washington Nationals.

Stripling has had limited work this season, mainly slotting in in times of injury. However, he has been solid. In the 14 games he has appeared in, including three starts, he has a 2.20 ERA. He has also posted an above-average xFIP of 3.63.

Ross Stripling is not the sexiest choice, and it could go bad. However, there could be some under-the-radar value here.

P – Michael Fulmer, DET ($6,100)

Fulmer was having a solid campaign before his last rocky start. Still, he has been relatively stable. His 7.71 ERA over his previous three starts will surely do him no favors. However, he has a decent xFIP of 3.83 and will look to rebound against the Mariners. As Fulmer is seemingly a shot in the dark, there still exists a level of solidified confidence for him and his start.

 

lwhaley

Currently going to school to become a Junior High Social Studies teacher. Here to bring you Fantasy Football re-draft and MLB DFS content.

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