In this series, I’ll be taking a look at several rookies with an average draft position (ADP) in the 4th round or later in rookie drafts based on the multiple real-life and mocks drafts I’ve been in this off-season. I’ll do my best to break down why I believe they’re a tremendous value at their current ADPs and why they’ll have an opportunity to outperform players drafted ahead of them.
The Houston Texans selected tight end Jordan Akins out of the University of Central Florida with the 34th pick of the 3rd round. Due to Akins being drafted in the third round of the 2010 Major League Baseball draft, he is an old rookie at 26 years old. Akins then played in the minor leagues for a few years before enrolling at UCF in 2014. Obviously being a two-sport draftee speaks volumes of his athleticism, despite his relatively advanced age as an NFL rookie.
Editors note: You can never be in too many leagues. The FFPC has Dynasty and Redraft leagues, register today and sign up for a league today!
Speaking of his athleticism, using his measurables courtesy of mockdraftable, you’ll find Akins had a decent showing at his pro day. If your not familiar with it, Pat Kirwan’s explosion score is a tool to give you some insight into how explosive a player is. You combine their vertical jump, broad jump in feet, and bench press reps. Any total over 70 is considered the mark of an explosive player. Akins totals came to 69. There is no reason to think that he can’t get an extra rep on the bench, or gain an inch or so in both jumps and push his total over the 70-point threshold. It’s not a perfect tool, but it is something to keep in mind when you’re debating between two players if everything else is equal in your mind.
Akins did not perform any tests at the NFL Combine, so his playerprofiler measurables are less than inspiring. But his NFL Draft and Combine Profile by Lance Zierlein gives you an idea of his potential upside and possible floor. His pro day numbers from Draftscout.com show an incredibly athletic option who should be able to succeed sooner rather than later. Obviously, highlight reels are designed to showcase positive attributes. Try not to be impressed by what you see out of Akins in this highlight reel:
Much like Baltimore’s Hayden Hurst, Akins comes into the season relatively old, with a minor league baseball career under his belt. Unlike Hayden Hurst, Akins is still relatively cheap. If you’re thinking of targeting Hurst earlier in your rookie drafts, take another skill position player who can help your team and target Akins later. Hurst will be playing with Joe Flacco, and Aikens will be playing with Deshaun Watson. If Watson lives up to half of the hype he’s getting this off-season, Akins has as good a chance as anyone to get a piece of that action. A quick glance at the Texans’ depth chart will show you there is little in his way of getting on the field early.