In this series, I’ll be taking a look at several rookies with an average draft position (ADP) in the 4th round or later in rookie drafts based on the multiple real-life and mocks drafts I’ve been in this off-season. I’ll do my best to break down why I believe they’re a tremendous value at their current ADPs and why they’ll have an opportunity to outperform players drafted ahead of them.
The Green Bay Packers selected three wide receivers in the most recent NFL Draft. Until recently, my primary target of the trio was Marquez Valdes-Scantling as I thought he was a more suitable long-term replacement for Jordy Nelson. However, after doing a little more research, J’Mon Moore has been jumping off the page at me.
I mentioned in earlier profiles Pat Kirwan’s explosion score. It is a tool to give you some insight into how explosive a player may be. You combine a player’s vertical jump, broad jump in feet, and bench press reps. Any total over 70 is considered the mark of an explosive player. With a vertical of 38 inches, a broad jump of 10 feet and 21 reps on the bench, Moore records an explosion score of 69. With a little NFL training, he should easily get at least an inch on his vertical and one more rep on the bench, bumping him over the 70-point threshold.
Another combined score metric is a player’s agility score, combining their 3-cone drill time with the 20-yard short shuttle time. A good time in each is sub-7-seconds for the 3-cone and a sub-4-second time on the short shuttle. With those numbers in mind, an elite agility score would be a combined total offewers than 11 seconds. Moore’s times of 6.56 and 4.04 are both very good and combine for an agility score of 10.60.
Mike Randall of Baltimoresportsandlife.com created another metric, subtracting a players agility score from their explosion score here. Where workout metrics can indicate a player who is both exceptionally explosive and agile. With an explosion score of 70 (or more) subtracting an agility score of 11 (or less) resulting in a difference of 58.9 or higher would be considered an excellent score. Looking at Moore’s explosion score of 69 minus his agility score of 10.6 we get a 58.4 total. If he can get even just a little bit stronger on the bench and improve his agility times and vertical, that number could be remarkable.
Moore is very raw as a route runner, but if he can refine that skill in the NFL and live up to his athletic potential, he could be special. Moore has upside, but there are reasons why he fell to the end of the fourth round despite his physical tools. In addition to his shaky route running, he ran a limited route tree in college and had some questions about his hands and will occasionally come down with a case of the dropsies. If he can tie up those loose ends and get on the same page as Aaron Rodgers, Moore could end up being one of the biggest steals of this draft class, both in real life and more importantly, for fantasy. You can see Moore flash some of that upside here:
Interestingly, with the exception of the few limitations I just noted, I thought Moore could be considered a poor man’s Courtland Sutton in this class. Oddly enough, according to Mockdraftable, Sutton is Moore’s top comp based off of measurables alone. You can also see Lance Zierlein’s analysis of Moore in his NFL Draft and Combine Profile, that he cites similar strengths and weaknesses and upside in Moore.
Here’s a look at Moore going through the receiver the drills at the underwear olympics:
Moore is an athletic specimen, and has elite percentile SPARQ-x scores (93rd) and catch radius (97th) numbers according to Playerprofiler. He’s coming into the league from the SEC, so he faced top corners with NFL corner potential, and couldn’t have asked for a better landing spot in Green Bay where he can learn from veteran receivers and can grow with one of the best to ever play the game at quarterback. If you’re looking for more information and a great video breakdown of him as a prospect Andy Singleton and John Laub do a great job of it here:
Thanks for reading. You can find me on Twitter @dibari22.