Past Production
Jarvis Landry was drafted in the heralded 2014 NFL Draft in the second round to the Miami Dolphins. Landry had a strong four seasons in Miami before being traded to a new-look Cleveland Browns in 2018. Over his six seasons in the NFL, Landry has averaged over 14 PPR fantasy points per game. Since entering the league, Landry is fourth in the NFL in receptions (564) and seventh in receiving yards (6,188).
Landry has been consistently effective despite never playing with a top tier quarterback. Although Mayfield does have the pedigree to develop into one.
2020 Outlook
Last season the Browns heavily relied on 11 personnel, making up 554 of their total 959 offensive snaps, despite only a 41% success rate. This season the Browns brought on Kevin Stefanski as their OC. With the Vikings last season, Stefanski used 11 personnel just 25% of the time. The Browns GM also appears to be in sync with the play-caller for 2020, adding free agent Austin Hooper for two tight end sets with David Njoku. They invested in protecting Mayfield upfront, signing the physical tackle Jack Conklin and drafting Jedrick Wills with the tenth pick in this year’s draft. They also traded for fullback Andy Janovich. This will give them the flexibility to run two-back sets with Janovich leading Chubb or Hunt. This will also allow them to have both Chubb and Hunt on the field concurrently.
Along with shifting towards personnel groupings that favor Mayfield’s skillset, the Browns will also see a significantly easier schedule in 2020. Last season, the Browns played against the hardest defensive schedule and the third hardest pass schedule. In 2020 they are projected to play against the 24th ranked overall defensive schedule and the easiest in the passing game, based on data from Warren Sharp.
Dynasty Analysis
Jarvis Landry will turn 28 during this upcoming season. This means his dynasty value will drop below his production since he will be considered a depreciating asset. In 1QB leagues, Jarvis is DLF’s 72nd player selected and is 103rd in Superflex format. He is pushed all the way down to the 39th WR off the board. This is far too low for a player that you can confidently play as a WR2 for the next two-to-three-years.
Landry is coming off a major hip surgery that he went under the knife for in February. The surgery reportedly went successfully and was specifically done to address pain and discomfort. The Browns recently removed Landry from the PUP which indicates that he will be ready and available for week 1 barring any setbacks. In his 6-year career, Jarvis Landry has never missed a game.
Jarvis Landry was the WR21 in fantasy points per game in a season where Baker Mayfield experienced a decreased yards-per-attempt, completion rate, and touchdown rate. All signs point toward Mayfield taking a step forward this season and the Browns being a much more efficient offense in general. Expect the offense to still run through Landry and the run game, with Odell Beckham providing the electric plays. All contending fantasy teams should be trading for Landry with a WR2 floor and low WR1 upside.
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