Instant Fantasy Impact Cliff Notes, Round 2

2.3 (35), JAX – Jawaan Taylor OT – This should be hugely encouraging for Jacksonville fans, as you’re getting a round one prospect in round two and going back-to-back on the offensive line. Immediate real and fantasy impact on Foles, Fournette, and whichever WR takes the biggest advantage of the opportunity available in Jacksonville.

2.4 (36), SF – Deebo Samuel WR – The likes of Kendrick Bourne, Dante Pettis, and Trent Taylor dynasty shares all take hits. Boosts to Jimmy G and Goodwin.

2.5 (37), CAR – Greg Little OT – I still think this line is questionable, and Matt Miller (@NFLDraftScout) questions if Little will be ready to be a first-year starter. Hopefully, Carolina knows more than we do, and this is a boost to CMC/Cam shares, but it’s hard for me to get excited, personally.

2.6 (38), BUF – Cody Ford OT – Bump to the winner of Gore/McCoy/Yeldon? Bills RB1 Josh Allen? Plug and play starter projects to make the Bills offensive line a bit more formidable, but I’m still not sure what skill position players we can get excited about. Take your fliers on Father Time, Shady, or Yeldon but there is still no reason to overpay.

2.9 (41), DEN – Dalton Risner OT – *see 2.10 (42)*

2.10 (42) DEN – Drew Lock QB – TE at 20, OT at 41 and QB at 42. Revamping that offensive front, and looking for their QB of the future. This should be encouraging to owners who have Tim Patrick and DaeSean Hamilton rostered as it appears the staff is showing belief in them when the likes of DK Metcalf, A.J. Brown, Parris Campbell Jr., as well as others,  were still available. The run blocking projects to immediately be better, so slight bumps to shares of Freeman and Lindsay. Lock likely sits behind Flacco for at least a season.

2.12 (44) GB – Elgton Jenkins C – Green Bay has spent years getting trolled on Twitter for not protecting Aaron Rodgers. Hopefully, the new guard noted how often Aaron was running for his life, and this is their first step in protecting the future Hall of Famer. This pick alone doesn’t require significant shifts in rankings for Aaron Jones or Aaron Rodgers (nor his pass catchers), but this choice should let Geronimo Allison owners breath a bit more easily as the same receivers Denver passed on were still on the board at 44. Allison had all but won the job before his injury allowed Marquez Valdez-Scantling a chance at the job. MVS was mostly underwhelming and, barring a changing of the guard in camp or the preseason, Allison increasingly looks locked in as Rodgers WR2.

2.16 (48) NO – Erik McCoy C – New Orleans paid a King’s ransom to move up to 48 to make sure they secured McCoy. The Saints are trying to win now, and that’s been glaringly obvious throughout the past two drafts. This should be a direct replacement for Max Unger (or at least competition for Nick Easton) after Unger announced his retirement earlier in the offseason. The all-pro will be very difficult to replace, however, and it’s tough to envision either of these guys doing as good of a job as he consistently did, but that is more a compliment of Unger than it is an indictment of McCoy. With that being said, the Saints still boast one of the most high-powered offenses in the league, and this should not deter or boost your interest in rostering their skill position players too far in either direction.

2.18 (50) MIN – Irv Smith TE – Smith immediately jumps into the TE1 conversation in dynasty rookie drafts. The consensus guys in front of him (Fant and Hockensen) could be said to have far less desirable landing spots, and although he was consistently considered a tier break before the top two guys, Smith has the pass catching and route running ability we drool over in fantasy. He could be an immediate TD dependent streamable tight end with huge upside if things play out correctly in Minnesota. Kyle Rudolph was the TE6 in PPR two seasons ago, and it’s an offense that is going to score lots of points. Can’t yet be sure if this means Rudolph is out and Smith will immediately be the primary tight end for Minnesota or if we should expect the typical tight end learning curve, but we need to keep our eye on Irv Smith in all of our leagues.

2.19 (51) TEN – A. J. Brown WR – Marriota gets another round one prospect to lineup across from Corey Davis. Brown should be a plug and play starter in year one, but projecting Marriota’s (Tannehill’s?) health or quality is the tough part. That has been an offense that you mostly wanted to avoid in the previous three or four fantasy seasons, and Brown doesn’t immediately change that, although he needs to be owned in dynasty formats.

2.20 (52) CIN – Drew Sample TE – A lot of questions about Sample at this location, but what it certainly indicates is that the Bengals are continuing to work on their offensive front. This draft has already been largely positive for Joe Mixon owners, and picking up a tight end here only enhances Mixon’s upside. Honorable mention to Giovanni Bernard, as Mixon comes with injury concerns.

2.21 (53) PHI – Miles Sanders RBJordan Howard hype train was fun while it lasted. This becomes an even more difficult backfield to project, but Sanders’ will certainly have every opportunity to win the job outright. The Penn State product is more well known for being Saquon Barkley’s backup, but he was a five-star recruit coming out of high school and is a hell of a player in his own right. Clearly, this is the Eagles’ vision for the future. What remains to be seen is how Jordan Howard is utilized on his one-year rental deal. Sanders is immediately a low-end RB3, high-end RB4 that should be owned in all dynasty formats but is only a low-end flex play if the season started today. Adams, Smallwood, and Sproles shares are just crushed with this pick, barring injury.

2.23 (55) HOU – Max Scharping OT – Houston fans and Watson owners rejoice as Houston continues to attempt to find solutions for protecting their shot caller. An already formidable Houston team continues to improve on the offensive front these picks will hopefully translate into fewer Watson injury concerns.

2.24 (56) KC – Mecole Hardman WR – I anticipate Tyreek Hill does not have a long time remaining on the Kansas City Chiefs roster and probably is not much longer for the league as a whole. This is nothing more than an attempt at a direct Tyreek replacement. Hardman ran a 4.33, Tyreek ran a 4.34. Hardman is 187 pounds, Hill is 185 pounds. Hill has 30.5-inch arms, Hardman has 30.25-inch arms. Hill’s burst, agility, and catch radius metrics project better, and his college dominator and SPARQ-x scores are slightly better (19.4% to 18.7%, and 122.5 to 117.8) but these receivers are both speedsters who provide extreme value in both the passing game and on special teams. Hill was used in more gadget-type ways than I would expect Hardman to be utilized, but the field stretching that Hill did will be what Hardman does. Mecole got the landing spot fantasy owners were drooling over and will have every opportunity to be the WR1 in Kansas City. Yes, Sammy Watkins is there, and Travis Kelce is still option number one, but anyone catching passes from Patrick Mahomes has immediate fantasy football relevance, and Hardman could be a household name come this time next year. If nothing else, he will be an immediate flex play in plus-matchups.

2.25 (57) PHI – JJ Arcega-Whiteside WR – Wentz gets another weapon, and the Eagles continue to make it look like they’re playing 3-D chess while other teams try to understand the rules to checkers. Big hit to Agholor shares and JJAW doesn’t immediately become a fantasy starter, but this is now a young man with a very high ceiling in the Super Bowl contending Eagles’ offense that projects to be high scoring. Arcega-Whiteside naturally needs to be owned in all dynasty formats, and he needs to be on the radar of redraft players. He likely falls into the top five wide receivers to be taken in rookie drafts as day two nears its conclusion.

2.27 (59) IND – Parris Campbell Jr. WR – Funchess owners have to feel nervous with Parris Campbell added to this camp. Campbell is not necessarily a plug and play starter on the Colts offense, and the money they paid Funchess combined with T.Y. Hilton doesn’t quite add up to Campbell immediately being the Colts WR2, but this type of draft capital will certainly give him multiple opportunities. Although there are already a lot of mouths to feed on this offense, this adds one more weapon to Luck’s mercurial arsenal, and likely puts the writing on the wall for Deon Cain, Daurice Fountain, and Zach Pascal. If nothing else, their dynasty value is nil barring injury, and Campbell Jr. should be rostered in dynasty formats but is currently undraftable in redraft or best ball.

2.30 (62) ARI – Andy Isabella WR *Josh Rosen goes to Miami* – Likely the most impactful part of this round, Rosen finally makes the move away from Arizona — widely expected prior to the draft and all but confirmed when the Cardinals selected Kyler Murray first overall. Rosen will immediately compete with Ryan Fitzpatrick for the starting job and likely gets a perceived boost in dynasty, particularly 2QB and superflex formats. (I sent Case Keenum, a 2020 1st, and a 2020 4th for him this morning before the trade.) Remember guys, this was last year’s 1.10, and it’s a very unique set of circumstances that finds him leaving Arizona so quickly after being their first overall pick. The pro-Rosen argument will mention that Fitzpatrick is a rental and a veteran mentor to the young Rosen, and the Dolphins want to make him their future. The anti-Rosen argument will mention that Miami gave up relatively little to acquire the former first rounder, and could easily bring in one of 2020’s perceived great quarterbacks, but what we know right now is that Rosen is going to have a chance to be Miami’s future. He’s worth a roster spot in dynasty and is already owned in 2QB and superflex. He is worth acquiring if you’re looking for an upside young quarterback and can get him at a reasonable price.

Now let’s talk about the player who was actually drafted 62nd overall. Andy Isabella comes with the typical stigma of the small-school guys: weak competition, no big games, blah blah blah. Isabella immediately needs to be on the radar of everyone. Arizona is going all out on offense, there is no doubt. David Johnson is still a redraft and startup first rounder, and Larry Fitzgerald is still a top end wide receiver. Isabella will have every opportunity to be the Arizona WR2 when the season kicks off, although market share will be dominated by DJ and Fitz. Big boost to Isabella’s rookie draft stock, especially for Kyler believers who envision a Murray-Isabella connection for years to come. I’m perennially skeptical of all rookies, but Isabella is necessarily a top ten rookie wide receiver in dynasty formats currently.

2.32 (64) SEA – D.K. Metcalf – An emotional D.K. Metcalf spoke to head coach Pete Carroll when he found out he was drafted today. Metcalf will finally find his home in Seattle where things are only becoming murkier for fantasy owners. This significantly slows the Tyler Lockett hype train, which saddens me since I organized the trip. Doug Baldwin’s retirement rumors are swirling, and we still don’t know what to make of that knee from last season. But Metcalf is a raw talent, and although he looks like a slightly smaller Hulk, he was arguably the second-best wide receiver on his college team. Metcalf must be owned in dynasty, but to project him to make an impact on the offense immediately is bold at best and intentionally misleading at worst. This is a position group we will have to keep an eye on as we progress throughout the offseason before we can consider Metcalf draftable in redraft formats.

Thanks for reading! Questions, comments, or respectful disagreements can be directed to my Twitter, @j_holliman.

jholliman

Wannabe floor trader. Wannabe sharp. Tarik Cohen truther. Writer for @DFF_Dynasty. Former Navy Reservist. #WhoDat⚜️ #COYB #SMTTT 🦅#DFFArmy 🏈 You can find me on Twitter @j_holliman.

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