IDP Football Factory

IDP Start/Sit: Week 9

This week’s teams on bye are ARI, CIN, IND, JAX, NYG, and PHI.

Let’s take a look at how last week’s IDP recommendations panned out in week 8:

Starts: Cameron Heyward (2 TT) Trey Flowers (6 TT) Roquan Smith (4 TT) Bud Dupree (2 TT) John Johnson (5 TT)

Verdict: While there were no big home runs with this group, no strikeouts that would kill your week either: 2/5 Hit

Sits: Danielle Hunter (2 TT) Jerry Hughes (No Production) Jordan Hicks (12 TT, 1.5 Sacks) Vince Williams (4 TT) D.J. Swearinger (5 TT, 2 INT)

Verdict: Two big performances by Hicks and Swearinger out shadow three great other predictions: 3/5 Hit

Sits: Danielle Hunter (2 TT) Jerry Hughes (No Production) Jordan Hicks (12 TT, 1.5 Sacks) Vince Williams (4 TT) D.J. Swearinger (5 TT, 2 INT)

Verdict: Two big performances by Hicks and Swearinger out shadow three great other predictions: 3/5 Hit

IDP Start/Sit

(K.C. Alfred – San Diego Union-Tribune)

IDP STARTS OF THE WEEK

Melvin Ingram, DE, LAC (@ SEA)

The first half of the 2018 season has been slightly disappointing for Melvin Ingram owners, at least when compared to his top-10 performance of 2017. I expect things to change in the second half of the season, especially once teammate Joey Bosa returns from injury. Ingram has a solid matchup this week though against the Seahawks; it will mark as a big test for Seattle right tackle Germain Ifedi, who has been improving each week throughout the season.

Akiem Hicks, DE, CHI (@ BUF)

As the Bears head to Buffalo to complete their four-week tour of the AFC East, they will face a Bills team that begrudgingly marches out Nathan Peterman as their starting quarterback. Peterman’s only previous start this season lead to three sacks by the Ravens defense in a 47-3 blowout in Week 1. The success, or rather, the amount of failure, that Peterman will endure this weekend will be determined by the health of Bears linebacker Khalil Mack, who sat out last week’s victory over the Jets with an ankle injury. I expect all Bears pass rushers and defensive backs to have a very high ceiling this week due to big-play potential.

Jarrad Davis, LB, DET (@ MIN)

After a rocky rookie season in the league, Jarrad Davis is doing his best to fit in during his sophomore campaign. Davis has excelled in a niche area of opportunity this year, showing off his skill set as a blitzing inside linebacker. Davis only rushes the passer on just under 20% of his snaps, but he leads the league in pass rushing productivity, as measured by PFF. This has resulted in three sacks this year for Davis and has helped him find a fit in Matt Patricia’s defense.

Christian Kirksey, LB, CLE (vs. KC)

After the firing of Cleveland head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley, the Browns will be led by interim head coach Gregg Williams for the rest of the year. Now, maybe you believe that this firing is the kick in the butt that the Browns need to turn around their season, but I don’t see that happening. The Browns will struggle against the best team in the AFC, but at least it should be a good recipe for high IDP production in Cleveland while Williams keeps the seat warm.

Eli Apple, CB, NO (vs. LAR)

One player who was recently traded away and found himself in a more favorable situation is Eli Apple, now playing for the New Orleans Saints. Apple, a former top-ten draft pick, wasn’t the most productive in coverage against Minnesota last Sunday, allowing 8 receptions for 79 yards on 8 targets, but that did lead to 8 solo tackles for the third-year cornerback. In a matchup versus undefeated Los Angeles, in what looks to be a high scoring duel, Apple should once again see plenty of targets come his way.

IDP Start/Sit

(Kenny Hitt – Getty Images)

IDP SITS OF THE WEEK

Dante Fowler, DE, LAR (@ NO)

While I do love Dante Fowler’s fit playing for the Los Angeles Rams, I’d be wary of starting him in the hopes that lining up alongside Aaron Donald and Ndamukong Suh will elevate his stats immediately. Fowler will need time to adjust to his new defense and playing against Drew Brees, and the Saints in his first game with LA is one of the toughest tasks you can draw up.

Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, TB (@ CAR)

Biggest fade of the week comes at the hands of Jason Pierre-Paul against the Panthers. The only other time that I’ve featured JPP in this column, this season was in Week 1, when he was shut down by the Saints and wasn’t featured on the stat sheet at all. Since then, Pierre-Paul has recorded at least one sack in every single game and has been a top-three defensive lineman.

Shaq Thompson, LB, CAR (vs. TB)

Staying in the same game as above, I’ll be looking to find replacements for some Panthers defensive players, most notably Shaq Thompson. Thompson has done a great job this season as a mid-tier LB 2-3, but I expect his production to diminish from the pace he is currently on. Since teammate Thomas Davis has returned from suspension in Week 6, Thompson has only played 57.5% of snaps in three games. In a negative IDP matchup this week against the Buccaneers, I wouldn’t expect nearly as many tackles as Thompson has been achieving lately.

Danny Trevathan, LB, CHI (@ BUF)

While I do like the prospects of starting Bears pass rushers and defensive backs, I’m not as keen on playing their off-ball linebackers, Danny Trevathan and Roquan Smith. While Trevathan and Smith have both been great IDP options, Trevathan especially, this week against Buffalo may not lead to a lot of tackle opportunities on defense for the Bears. I’d expect both linebackers to have mediocre games, but nothing that will win a week for you.

Kevin Byard, FS, TEN (@ DAL)

Rounding out the list this week I’ll head to the Monday night game as the Titans are in Dallas to face the Cowboys. Kevin Byard has been a boom or bust IDP play this season, with three games of three tackles of less. I’d find other options available this week though fearing that the Cowboys offense will rely too heavily on Ezekiel Elliott for Byard to produce. If Byard does post a solid stat sheet, I’d expect it to come on some kind of miscommunication between Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott and newly acquired wide receiver Amari Cooper where Byard could turn the situation into a turnover.

Thank you for reading! If you’re looking for more Week 9 IDP content, check out some material from the DFF staff. Find week 9 waiver wire recommendations and IDP Rankings from our IDP crew.  If you like what you’ve read, share, comment and reach out to me on Twitter @BrumleyNFL if you have any questions about IDP or anything else football related!

abrumley

Michigan born and raised. Find my content on @DFF_IDP & @DFF_Devy. You can find me on Twitter @BrumleyNFL. #DFFArmy #IDP #DevyWatch IDP Rankings on @FakePigskin #SFB8

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