IDP Football Factory

IDP Start/Sit: Week 6

Let’s take a look at how last week’s IDP recommendations panned out in week 5:

Starts: DeForest Buckner (4 TT) Solomon Thomas (1 Tackle) Mason Foster (10 TT) Tahir Whitehead (9 TT) Reshad Jones (8 TT)

Verdict: A solid week for under the radar projections, lead by Foster and Whitehead at linebacker. While Buckner didn’t record a sack, he still had a decent week for a lineman: 4/5 Hit

 

Sits: Frank Clark (2 TT, 1 INT, 1 FF) Jerry Hughes (4 TT, 1 Sack, 1 FF) Nick Vigil (9 TT) Kyle Van Noy (8 TT) Jaquiski Tartt (4 TT)

Verdict: Taking a loss on the sit selections last week. Clark and Hughes both salvaged good games off a big play or two, while Vigil and Van Noy were more involved in the gameplan than I had anticipated: 1/5 Hit

 

IDP

(Ken Blaze – USA TODAY Sports)

IDP STARTS OF THE WEEK

Chris Long, DE, PHI (@ NYG)

Starting off the week with a shot in the dark pick playing tonight with the Eagles’ Chris Long. Even though Long has only accumulated five tackles, with zero sacks, in the last four weeks, I think he has a productive game in store against the Giants. Along with having a fantastic matchup against New York’s offensive line, Long has led the league over the last three weeks in QB hits, which is a telling stat that predicts QB sacks. Long is most likely available on waivers in your league, and if you’re hampered by bye weeks and injuries, he might be worth a look.

Larry Ogunjobi, DT, CLE (vs. LAC)

Selecting another lineman who has seen a deep in production the last couple of game with Cleveland tackle Larry Ogunjobi. His zero tackle performance last week was more of a fluke than anything, and I’m betting on Big O to bounce back at home against the Chargers in Week 6. Ogunjobi has played 85+% of snaps in every game this season and he should be an automatic start in any league that plays three or more defensive lineman.

Todd Davis, LB, DEN (vs. LAR)

One week after the Broncos defense was terrorized by the Jets to the tune of 512 yards and 34 points, Denver will attempt to stifle the NFL’s best offense, the LA Rams. I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Broncos defense on the field for 70+ snaps this week, which will lead to tons of opportunities for Todd Davis and other Denver defenders to pad their numbers.

Darron Lee, LB, NYJ (vs. IND)

After exploding in Week 1 for seven tackles, two turnovers, and a touchdown, Darron Lee has cooled off the past four games to average just 5.5 tackles per game, with no turnovers in that timeframe. I think Lee makes for a great start this week though as the Jets host Indianapolis, who rank third in the league in total plays run per game. The Colts offense rates fastest in the league in seconds per play, averaging just over 23 seconds between snaps, whittling that down to barely over 21 seconds per play in the second half.

Justin Simmons, FS, DEN (vs. LAR)

For the same reasons as those listed above for linebacker Todd Davis, I’m all over playing Broncos’ safety Justin Simmons. Last week against Rams, Seattle safeties Bradley McDougald and Tedric Thompson tallied 17 total tackles and an interception between themselves, and I can see similar results working in Simmons favor this Sunday in Denver.

 

 

IDP

(Brace Hemmelgarn – USA TODAY Sports)

IDP SITS OF THE WEEK

Yannick Ngakoue, DE, JAX (vs. DAL)

While I do love Yannick Ngakoue and he’s absolutely one of my favorite defensive players in the league, he might be finding himself on the bench in a few on my lineups this coming weekend. Facing a tough matchup against Tyron Smith and the Cowboys, I’d rather not risk the chance of a goose egg against a tackle who hasn’t allowed a sack yet this entire season.

Trey Flowers, DE, NE (vs. KC)

Another high-profile defensive end selection here but I’m rolling the dice and sitting Trey Flowers against the Kansas City Chiefs this weekend. Chiefs right tackle Mitchell Schwartz has done a phenomenal job protecting star QB Patrick Mahomes this year, allowing zero sacks on 334 snaps. Flowers is a tough matchup for Schwartz, but my money is on the multi-year All-Pro selection.

Eric Kendricks, MLB, MIN (vs. ARI)

In a negative matchup this week against Arizona, I’d be looking to relegate Eric Kendricks to the bench in any leagues where you might consider starting him. The Cardinals have run the fewest plays this year amongst all NFL teams, and that stat hasn’t gotten any better since Josh Rosen took the helm, with only 49 offensive snaps last week. Kendricks may have a mediocre game against Arizona, but the limited amount of time he’ll be on the field will surely put a cap on how high his ceiling is this weekend.

Zach Cunningham, ILB, HOU (vs. BUF)

Another team facing a poor matchup this week would be the Houston Texans, especially their linebacking corps of Zach Cunningham and Benardrick McKinney. I believe McKinney poses more upside through his blitzing abilities, but Cunningham is a player I would stay away from for this week, waiting until next week against Jacksonville to play him.

Eddie Jackson, FS, CHI (@ MIA)

Last up on the list this week comes Bears second-year safety Eddie Jackson, who I’m not thrilled about starting in a matchup against the Dolphins in Miami. The Bears are coming off their bye and headed to Florida, where I expect Adam Gase to attack Chicago on the ground more than through the air. There is the possibility that Jackson manages a solid statline from forcing a turnover or making a big play, but I don’t expect much volume from the Chicago defensive backs this weekend.

 

Thanks for reading! If you’re looking for more Week 6 IDP content, check out some material from the DFF staff. Find week 6 rankingswaiver wire recommendations, and a detailed snap count report from our IDP crew.  If you like what you’ve read, share, comment and reach out to me on Twitter if you have any questions about IDP or anything else football related!

abrumley

Michigan born and raised. Find my content on @DFF_IDP & @DFF_Devy. You can find me on Twitter @BrumleyNFL. #DFFArmy #IDP #DevyWatch IDP Rankings on @FakePigskin #SFB8

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