The 20th pick of the 2nd round in the 2013 NFL Draft, Pro-Bowler, and Super Bowl champion, Jamie Collins has produced plenty of great plays in his career in the NFL. However, in the last 12 months, much has changed for the former Southern Miss Golden Eagle. In late October 2016, Collins was traded from the New England Patriots to the Cleveland Browns in a shocking deal nobody saw coming. From there, Collins produced over 8.6 combined tackles per game as a mainstay on the field for the Browns. He followed up the season by signing a four-year, $50 million contract extension with Cleveland. Now that Collins future is set in Ohio, let’s dig into his IDP value for the foreseeable future, shall we?
Collins is an all-around beast physically, at 6’3” 250 lbs with 33.5-inch arms and 4.64 speed, the OLB has the athleticism to win one-on-one battles all over the field. In fact, looking at his combine results, Collins dominated nearly every category relative to his peers.
Still just 27 years old (will be 28 on Oct. 20), Collins has multiple “prime” years left in his body. Additionally, looking back at his injury record, the linebacker has been an (almost)every week warrior for his entire career, playing in 60 of 66 games, never suffering a significant injury in the process.
*As of writing, Collins is in concussion protocol, but it shouldn’t hold him back for more than one game
There aren’t many in Collins’ game, but to nitpick a bit, Collins can lose track of his area in Zone coverage on occasion. He’s also had a harder time defending shifty runners in past seasons.
In Cleveland, Jamie Collins is the man at outside linebacker, and with the front office and coaching staff expecting a lot out of the playmaker, I see Collins on the field for 90-95% of defensive plays as a Brown. In fact, through 10 games as a Brown so far, Collins has only missed 29 of 685 defensive snaps (a 4% clip).
When on the field, Collins makes the most of his time there, averaging 6.8 tackles per game played, while sacking the quarterback 12.5 times and causing 17 turnovers. The sky’s the limit for Collins from an opportunities standpoint.
Strictly in IDP terms, the fact that Collins plays outside linebacker creates fewer opportunities relative to middle linebackers, which means fewer tackle opportunities compared to the elite IDP LBs of the league. If you’re looking for consistent LB1 production, you’re more likely to get it from middle linebackers throughout the league.
Finally, with a huge contract and playing for a losing team, there is the threat that Collins may not be as hungry to dominate as he was in New England. Human nature tends to take over for some highly successful players, so there is a chance of fall-off in Collins’ production if he gets complacent.
Jamie Collins has 3-5 years of solid OLB production ahead of him, with LB2 upside throughout that timeframe as long as he stays healthy and hungry while playing out his new contract in Cleveland.