Dynasty Analysis
The NFL announced this morning that they have decided to […]
Welcome to the Dynasty Outlook series where I discuss a buy low, sell high and deep sleeper for each NFL team. Today we will start off with the NFC North. There are plenty of fantasy-relevant players in this division. Let’s take a deeper dive into the values on these fantasy players![exceltable id=’47826′]Chicago BearsBuy Low: Mitch TrubiskyIn the month of June, Trubisky had an ADP of 148.7 and is the 18th quarterback taken off the board, while he finished last year as QB14. He threw for 3,223 yards, 24 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions while rushing for 421 yards with 3 touchdowns in 14 games. He was in his first year under Head Coach, Matt Nagy, and I look to see him have a breakout third season. The current QB14 taken in startup drafts is Jameis Winston with an ADP of 133.7, which is about a round before Trubisky. Of the top 20 quarterbacks in 2018, only two played in 13 games (Baker, QB17 and Mitch, QB14), one played in 14 games (Cam, QB10) and the other 17 played in all 15 fantasy football season games. If Mitch doesn’t miss those two games and keeps his 19.4 PPG, he would have finished inside the top 10 for fantasy quarterbacks last season.
The 2019 Factory Fantasy Football Guide. Over 170 pages of […]
Sometimes in dynasty fantasy football, it can be hard to know if your roster is worthy of a championship run or not. There are stacked teams, but this is a high variance game that we so love, so even the stacked teams find ways not to win sometimes. Today I’ll show you how to quantifiably show you are in the ballpark of contention for either a playoff spot or a championship run.
How do we do that, Mike? Well, if you’ve read my stuff before, you know I love using VBD (Value Based Drafting) for a variety of subjects. If you haven’t read some of it before, I’ve previously shown you how to game your league format using the concept, as well as quantifying how much tight-end-premium scoring really matters. A lot can be learned from comparing players to “replacement level”. That’s the very basic definition of VBD if you’re unfamiliar with the concept.
Alright already, let’s get into it then! First off, VBD is built off projections. So you will have to find your favorite set of, hopefully fairly granular projections, and get them into a player database. Once you have this, you can apply your league’s scoring format to the season-long projections for every player to determine just how many points each player projects to score, specifically for your league. For this article, I’m using my good buddy @FF_TomB ‘s season-long projections. It’s honestly better than anything I could have gotten put together this year, not having done so before. Plus he let me in to see how the “sausage is made” so to speak and I wholeheartedly approve of his methodology. I also held a contest on Twitter to decide whose league to break down. My fellow “815” guy @JasonTran guessed my favorite Chicago Bear of all time correctly.
For my next article, I’ll be working to bolster a team in its championship window with some redraft concepts! I’d like to use somebody else’s roster and league to write about. The winner of this contest will be the 1st to successfully name my favorite Bear player ever. #DFFArmy pic.twitter.com/njCR9L1oNS
— Mike2FFB (@DFF_Mike2) July 9, 2019
If you don’t know who Peanut Tillman is, look him up. He’s a genuinely cool person outside of the sport too. But…that’s not why you clicked the link to this article!
Scoring / Starting Requirements
Here are the scoring and starting requirements for Jason’s league:
As you can see here, it’s a relatively normal starting lineup for an offense only Superflex league. Flex heavy lineups allow for some cool roster construction techniques compared to more rigid starting lineup settings. A few things to note about their scoring that’s different from many leagues.
Welcome to the IDP Nation Podcast, the Factory Sports Network’s IDP-centric show. We are your hosts Dan Cook and Darrell Winstead. Are you ready for some tenacious IDP discussion? We’ve got you covered from your LB1 to your taxi squad. This is IDP Nation! This week’s episode: Same hosts, same great IDP content, new name! […]
Batman and Robin, Cap and Tony, Riggs and Murtaugh, Memphis […]
@DynastyTradesHQ is now on Patreon. Do you want the HQ guys […]
Author Note: Recently, I received an email from stathead (a mailer from the great sports statistics website sports-reference.com). The email detailed the NFL statistical leaders of the 1920s. I took notice that Benny Friedman threw a league-leading 40 touchdown passes during the decade. From my past research, I knew that was a lot for the […]
2019 FACTORY FANTASY FOOTBALL GUIDE Free Preview Announcing the 2019 […]
Welcome to the IDP Nation Podcast, the Factory Sports Network’s IDP-centric show. We are your hosts Dan Cook and Darrell Winstead. Are you ready for some tenacious IDP discussion? We’ve got you covered from your LB1 to your taxi squad. This is IDP Nation! This week’s episode: Same hosts, same great IDP content, new name! […]
2019 FACTORY FANTASY FOOTBALL GUIDE Free Preview Announcing the 2019 […]
Welcome to the IDP Nation Podcast, the Factory Sports Network’s IDP-centric show. We are your hosts Dan Cook and Darrell Winstead. Are you ready for some tenacious IDP discussion? We’ve got you covered from your LB1 to your taxi squad. This is IDP Nation! This week’s episode: Same hosts, same great IDP content, new name! […]
Welcome to the IDP Nation Podcast, the Factory Sports Network’s IDP-centric show. We are your hosts Dan Cook and Darrell Winstead. Are you ready for some tenacious IDP discussion? We’ve got you covered from your LB1 to your taxi squad. This is IDP Nation! This week’s episode: Same hosts, same great IDP content, new name! […]
With Training Camp around the corner, it’s a good time to look at some undecided depth charts to see if there are a few IDP players available who could produce this season and beyond. Kansas City LB 2018 stats Additions Darron Lee – traded for a 2020 6th Round pick Subtractions Terrance Smith – Free […]
According to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport, New York Jets TE Chris Herndon received a four-game suspension for violating the league’s substance abuse policy as a result of pleading guilty to DUI in June of 2018. Chris Herndon received four games, not two, because a woman at the scene later claimed bodily harm due to the […]
Welcome to Episode 83 of the @DynastyTradesHQ Podcast! “Melvin Gordon […]
In this article, we’re going to examine even more camp battles for the 2019 season. In part one of this series, which can be found here, we looked at three battles. If you haven’t checked that article out, go ahead and read that one first for a general overview of why we’re looking at these […]
With the Los Angeles Chargers a little over two weeks away from opening training camp, news broke today that absent a new contract extension, star running back Melvin Gordon does not plan to be there. Adam Schefter reported the news via Twitter this morning. Now Melvin Gordon owners everywhere are forced to hold their breath and cross their fingers that we aren’t on the verge of another Le’Veon Bell situation.
With Training Camp around the corner, it’s a good time to look at some undecided depth charts to see if there are a few IDP available who could produce this season and beyond. Today we’re going to take a look at the linebacker battles for the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals.
This time of year most rookie drafts are complete, you’re gearing up for redraft season, wrapping up some dynasty startups or if you’re fortunate you are deep into the #SFB9 draft! Now is the time to take a look at the back end of your roster, unload dead weight and take a chance on some […]
In the history of the NFL, there have only been seven players that have recorded back to back seasons of 135+ tackle seasons, in their first two years in the league. This upcoming season, we could add two more to the list. Before we get to them, let’s look at some historical happenings of this occurrence. As I mentioned, we could add two more after this season, but there have been three previous instances of having multiple players accomplish this in the same season. What’s interesting is that every time this feat has happened, there has always been multiple players in the same season. Never has there only been one player at a time to accomplish this.
With Training Camp around the corner, it’s a good time to look at some undecided depth charts to see if there are a few IDP available who could produce this season and beyond. New England DE 2018 Stats Name GP Snaps Tackles Assists Sacks FF Trey Flowers 15 729 32 25 7.5 3 Deatrich Wise […]
Welcome to the IDP Nation Podcast, the Factory Sports Network’s IDP-centric show. We are your hosts Dan Cook and Darrell Winstead. Are you ready for some tenacious IDP discussion? We’ve got you covered from your LB1 to your taxi squad. This is IDP Nation! This week’s episode: Same hosts, same great IDP content, new name! […]