Dynasty Analysis
Kirk Cousins (MIN) vs. Lions, 26.6% owned
All of a sudden, the Vikings have opened up their offense to include far more passing. Cousins has exceeded 300 passing yards in each of the last two weeks. In Week 6 against the Eagles, star receiver Stefon Diggs finally got going, breaking out for seven receptions, 167 yards, and three receiving touchdowns. Cousins also continued his chemistry with his other great receiver Adam Thielen, connecting for six receptions, 57 yards, and a touchdown. For the season, Cousins has nine passing touchdowns compared to just three interceptions, making him a reliable and relatively safe quarterback. To further advocate for Cousins, his Week 8 and Week 9 matchups are against the Redskins and Chiefs, respectively, so this could be a three-week run for Cousins. Given the poor state of streamers in Week 7, Cousins will likely be ranked as a borderline QB1 in a relatively neutral matchup against the Lions.
Week 7 sees some heavy offensive firepower on a break as the Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Pittsburgh Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers all get their byes this week. Poor quarterback play seemed to be a theme this week. Thankfully, there were few injuries to contend with and our waiver wire recommendations are largely free of injury-related suggested pickups. A quick note before we get to this week’s article. If your waiver wire has a number of backup running backs available make sure you put a bid in on them. Running backs (and quarterbacks) are only play away from a starting job, unlike wide receivers.
The Colts started this season with one of the messiest depth charts at DE. Jabaal Sheard, Justin Houston, Al-Quaddin Muhammad, Kemoko Turay, and Ben Banogu. Sheard missed the first four games of the season. Back to full strength in Week 5 and Turay broke his ankle and will miss the remainder of the season. It’s a tough break for the second-round sophomore. Sheard will be a UFA following the season. If he doesn’t resign look for Houston, Turay, and Banogu to headline this group next season.
Welcome to part two of my weekly publication! As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I’ll be looking at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense. Betting lines were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership but also $10 in extra DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer! With that, let’s get started!
Rookie Fever welcomes @FL2DrinkMinimum from Superflexible and Fantasy Football Breakdown to breakdown Week 5’s top 12 but more importantly predict some NFL rookies that will make the Week 6 top 12 list. Swags and Fanaro, of course, play along and keep score. Can anyone stop the Feverish Fanaro when it comes to picking who will […]
Don’t miss Top 12 Tuesdays with Swags! This week he gives you a quick recap of the Top 12 Rookies from week 5. And Week 5 prediction results are in! Damion Willis WR48 7.8 PTs, 4 for 4 38 yards Terry Mclaurin WR45 8.1 PTs, 7 targets brings in 3 for 51 yards Olabisi Johnson […]
Each week I recap the top performances by this year’s rookie defenders. Some are well-known names and others come out of nowhere. Rookies are highly coveted in the dynasty community, but their value can be very volatile at times. In this series each week, we’ll look at their numbers and what impact they have. I am also including their snap counts and percentage of snaps. These snap counts can tell us a lot about how much a player is being used and the opportunities they have to make plays. I like to target rookies that play 80% plus of the team’s defensive snaps. Let’s jump right into this week’s group.
DJ Moore (WR – CAR)
The second-year WR out of Maryland was the second leading receiver on Panthers in Weeks 4 and 5. Note how I didn’t say WR, as RB Christain McCaffery has led the team in targets, catches, yards and touchdowns the past two weeks. However, on the year, Moore has been the most productive pass-catcher on the Panthers this season, leading the team with 352 yards, good for WR29 on the year prior to Monday Night Football. Moore is a solid WR2/3 option moving forward.
Welcome to Episode 96 of the @DynastyTradesHQ Podcast! “Tank You […]
Dede Westbrook ($16) vs. New Orleans – (Cash and GPP).
On Yahoo this week, Westbrook represents the receiver I project as the highest point per dollar value play on the slate. First, I absolutely love D.J. Chark and have been on him nearly every week so far, but against New Orleans, I’m afraid he gets the Marshon Lattimore treatment. And Lattimore looks back to his old self after some early season concerns, limiting Amari Cooper to five catches for 48 yards in Week 4, and completely shutting out Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans on Sunday. While Lattimore is busy following Chark around, Jacksonville should find success exploiting the Saints’ weakness when it comes to slot receivers. Westbrook is running 78.3% of his routes out of the slot according to PlayerProfiler, and this usage profiles similarly to players like Tyler Lockett (61.7% of routes out of the slot) and Cooper Kupp (76.2% of routes out of the slot). In meetings with New Orleans earlier this season, Kupp posted 5 catches for 120 yards in Week 2 and Lockett followed up with 11 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown in Week 3. Even Tampa Bay’s WR2, Chris Godwin, runs a little over 50% of his routes out of the slot on the year, and he torched New Orleans for 125 yards and two touchdowns on seven receptions last week. At just $16, Westbrook is an absolute steal given his usage, role, and highly appealing matchup.
Geronimo Allison (WR-GB)
It’s very clear that Allison is the team’s third-best option when Adams and MVS are both healthy, but if he finds a way to produce before Adams can come back from injury you’ll want to act fast in selling him. He’s only commanding an 11% target share and 11% of the team’s air yards, even with the increased opportunity the last couple games. Those figures are just not something you can reliably start any given week, as 11% of 35 passes is just three targets.
3 – IDP left the game with an injury. Xavier Williams (ankle) left after 10 snaps. Anthony Hitchens (groin) left after 11 snaps. Chris Jones (groin) left after 38 snaps. Ben Nieman replaced Hitchens and played every down. Derrick Nnadi (77%) saw a substantial increase in snaps with both Jones and Williams out. Third-round rookie Khalen Saunders played his first 33 defensive snaps of the season.
Jimmy G is starting to look like the guy the 49ers brought in from the Patriots, who just found ways to win games. You might not think he’s showing flashy numbers on the fantasy stat sheets, but his play is approaching what we believe he can be. You can’t argue the fact that he just wins games! He’s QB7 in completion percentage, at 69%, which is even better than the end of season explosion upon his arrival in Santa Clara. Currently a QB2 in fantasy production, the arrow is pointing up as he continues to build back up his time under center, and his rapport with a relatively inexperienced WR corps. He’s clutch! But can he really be a QB1? I feel he is a high-end QB2, and that is what he is.
Providing analysis on three bets that have the best chance at netting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing.
Matt Ryan ($6,400)
According to FantasyData.com, opposing quarterbacks are averaging 24.82 DraftKings points per game against the Cardinals (fourth-most). They also rank seventh-worst in passing yards allowed at nearly 270 yards per game and have already surrendered a dozen touchdowns through the air in the first five games (only the Redskins with 13 are worse). On the flip side, Matt Ryan is averaging over 44 pass attempts per game, has multiple touchdowns in all but one game, and has yet to throw for less than 304 yards in a single week. This matchup is where the rubber meets the road and we roll with the veteran signal-caller carrying his team’s offense.
This series will attempt to bring clarity to the goings-on both on and off the field within each NFL Division so that dynasty owners can make the important roster decisions during the NFL season to help them build toward their championships. Our writers will be grinding the tape and keeping up with the media buzz surrounding players, coaches and front office decision making so that they can keep you equipped with the “nuggets” you need to succeed.
Is Kirk Cousins the problem in Minnesota? Jacoby Brissett is a franchise quarterback? Should you buy Evan Engram as the TE1 or that D.J. Chark is going to outscore JuJu Smith-Schuster this year? All that and more in this week’s Myth vs. reality.
Arizona Cardinals
1 – Game left on Patrick Peterson’s six-game PED suspension.
2 – Snap difference between safeties Jalen Thompson and Deionte Thompson. Supplemental rookie Jalen played 47 snaps, 70%. Fifth-round rookie Deionte (unrelated), played 45 snaps, 64%. Jalen got the start after Arizona released DJ Swearinger but they’re both going to play, capping each other’s value.
CB, Logan Ryan, Tennessee TitansOne of the best defensive backs in the league is off to a hot start this season. Ryan’s stock is on the rise, especially in position-specific leagues that require you to start corners. His ability and the Titan’s willingness to use him as a blitzer makes him so much more valuable. Logan already has 2.5 sacks on the season and is on pace to destroy his record of four, that he just set last season.
Have you ever got to the bottom of a beer that’s been in the sun for too long?It’s not too refreshing, too great-tasting – but hey, it’s still beer.That’s exactly how the free-agent market feels heading into Week 6 of the fantasy football regular season.Not spectacular, nothing that’s going to knock your socks off – but hey, it’s still an opportunity to find that one diamond in the rough that could be a potential league winner down the road.And with that being said, here are your Week 6 “In the Scope” candidates who could soon be the top waiver claims of tomorrow.
This week Connor Horsfield (@Conmans_Content) will guide you through the depths of the redraft waiver wire, featuring all of the best pick-ups and who to leave hanging on the wire. We will identify the guys you should be able to plug into your starting lineup without hesitation, as well as some bench stashes who could […]
This article is published weekly and includes valuable IDP stats, injuries, analysis, and sleeper options to consider as the year progresses. So, without further ado, let’s wrap up the IDP news of NFL Regular Season, Week! We’ll take a look at the standout performances, what we learned and the notable injuries during Week 5 of the NFL season.
Welcome to week six of the 2019 regular season and […]
I’m going to set aside a section just to talk about the combine performance that D.K. Metcalf put on display for everyone. To highlight, in case you’ve been living under a rock, Metcalf produced some of the most elite numbers for a guy his size in a very long time. We truly got to witness history.