Dynasty Analysis
Devin McCourty
While McCourty may be getting a little long in the tooth at age 32, there is no overlooking the value of his experience. It’s been rumored the past couple of seasons, and he himself admitted that the thought of retiring had crossed his mind, but he still feels like he can play at a high level and can still impact a team.
The 2020 running back class appears to be deep and filled with talent. David Montgomery may not even make a top-five list among players like D’andre Swift, J.K. Dobbins, Jonathan Taylor, Cam Akers, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and the list could go on. We love watching these guys in the combine and get excited about the NFL Draft. What we don’t want is for any of them to end up of the following teams.
The top free-agent prize in the cornerback group is without a doubt, seven-year veteran Logan Ryan, His career can be told in two parts and both prove why he’ll be the most sought after corner in free agency. Ryan’s career began in New England, where the Patriots drafted him in the third round with the 83rd overall pick of the 2013 NFL Draft. He would spend four seasons with the empire, playing in all sixty-four games, while becoming one of the league’s best tackling and coverage corners.
In this edition of “Redraft Reaction,” we’ll take a look at a series of minor moves that have transpired in February and the likely fantasy impact they’ll have in the redraft landscape.
I truly believe the Rams have to resign Littleton. They have some youth behind him, but it is uncertain and unproven youth. Littleton went undrafted out of Washington and has developed into one of the league’s best linebackers. He went from a two year backup for the Rams, to a two-year starter, with a Pro-Bowl selection in 2018. He’s their most accomplished and talented linebacking option.
Ingram led the way with 202 carries, with Edwards in second with 133 carries. Hill lagged with just 58 carries. Hill also only had eight receptions in all of 2019, a major disappointment for a player with highly touted passing-game skills. Edwards, who has almost no pass-catching ability, finished with seven receptions, just one less than Hill. Hill played in all 16 games, so his poor stats were not due to injury. He also played on only 17% of offensive snaps.
Coming out of Mississippi State, Sweat had the football world clamoring about his size and speed shown at the 2019 NFL combine. Sweat, a 6’6” 260lbs. edge rusher set the 40-yard dash record for the position at 4.41 seconds per @NFLReaserch.
There were four top-drafted running backs in last year’s rookie drafts. How did they fair in their rookie campaigns? What is their outlook going forward? Become a member, hop in, and find out!
Year after year you get your hopes up just to be let down by inconsistent, underwhelming, and untimely performances. These guys are only hot when they burn you, otherwise, their fantasy production is as cold as ice
This series will look back on the 2019 class and explore the biggest hits and misses. Now, since this will be a long series, let’s start with the premise here in part one. For each position, I will examine all the rookies that were selected in a significant number of rookie drafts, or achieved significant production at that position. A hit will generally be a player that produced fantasy points in year one and gained or at least maintained their dynasty value. A miss will be players who didn’t produce or at least who underperformed. I will also have a third category; incomplete. In this category, I’ll discuss those players who did not receive significant playing time and where they can go in 2020 and beyond.
Chris Jones is not only the top prize free agent interior defensive lineman but he is one of the top 10 overall defensive free agents. At age 25 he is among the youngest free agents but there are quite a few in this group. However, none of them are as talented or have the impact that Jones has had. Then when you consider that IDL is a highly coveted position by NFL teams, it takes his value to another level.
At age 27, Clowney will be entering his eighth season in the league. Up to this point, there have been mixed results from the freakish athlete. Injuries have been an issue throughout his career, as he’s only played all sixteen games in a season just once. However, there is no doubt the impact he can have on the field when healthy.
Just for fun, I’m going to get into my early redraft Round 1 for 2020. This list is subject to significant changes throughout the offseason, but let’s take a quick look right now. For this list, we’re assuming a 1 QB, 12 team, PPR format where there is an equal number of RB and WR starters.
Listed at 6’4 220 pounds, Cole McDonald looks like an NFL talent. McDonald has a rocket of an arm and moves very well for his size. As a two year starter at Hawaii, the gunslinger threw for 8,010 yards and 69 touchdowns. Although putting up video game numbers, McDonald is considered a day 3 prospect by most. This is likely due to a funky throwing motion and less than desirable completion percentage of 61.4. However, with a strong performance in Indianapolis, I believe Cole McDonald can make his way into the Day 2 decision. To do this, he will need to run a good 40 time and show off his arm talent.
Let’s continue wrapping up the 2019 IDP fantasy season. In this series, we analyze trends, identify risers and fallers, and project sleepers for 2020 for each IDP position group. Today, we’ll focus on edge linebackers. Without further ado, time to wrap up the 2019 NFL Regular Season at edge linebacker!
Julio Jones is only untradable due to age. That’s the only reasonable excuse to not give proper value for a receiver who consistently a top-five or 10 fantasy player in his position. Jones finished 2019 as the WR4 with 99 receptions for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns.
This article is an entirely different type of piece from my usual content. Here, we’re just going to focus on a single player, Rashaad Penny. He’s been a polarizing prospect from the beginning and has been the subject of intense dynasty debate before he even entered the NFL.
Shedding light on some of the undervalued and overlooked dynasty sleepers this offseason. Certain players fall off the map during the season and others we forget about once it comes to an end. But, over here at Dynasty Football Factory we always keep our eyes on the prize.
It’s that time of year again ladies and gentlemen; it’s …
Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Is He This Year’s Sony Michel? Read More »
Buy: Anthony McFarland
When a 4-star running back comes into college with 20+ offers, he definitely does not go unnoticed, but due to the laughing stock that was this Maryland football team in 2019, Anthony McFarland seems to be forgotten. McFarland’s data does not pop off the page as he only had two years of experience, but while watching the film he looks to be one of the best backs in this class.
Historically, there has been a strong narrative in the football community about QB size despite players like Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray balling out on Sundays. The QB size debate begins with how tall a QB is and if it affects their ability to make reads of the defense on passing plays. There has been a lot of discussion around QB hand size and its correlation to QB performance in cold-weather games. Analysts have even studied QB weight and how it translates to their durability in the NFL. So I decided to use my newly released college prospect database and explore BMI and QB performance. Before going any further, there needs to be a brief overview of BMI. BMI compares an individual’s weight to their height and it’s used to describe their level of body fat or thickness. The index was derived from the works of the Belgian thinker, Adolphe Quetelet.
While most look towards the incoming rookie classes, I like to look at players that are already showing signs of production in the league. We’ve all had those rookies that didn’t pan out, and maybe you cut bait on them a little early, only to see them become a valuable asset later on. This series will attempt to identify those players.
In this piece, I’ll walk you through three “fake-outs.” These are players that broke out or had strong seasons in 2019 that I do not expect to maintain that level of performance going forward. Therefore, you could call each of these guys a dynasty “sell-high.”
11 of 32 NFL teams are undergoing a change of defensive coordinator. This topic is underreported for this author’s appetite. Tripp Brebner examines how a scheme change will impact defensive players on the Cleveland Browns, with more articles to come.