Dynasty Football Factory

Dynasty Hot Routes: Post NFL Draft Sensationalism

The mission of this article is to make our in-house experts sizzle and bristle over the hot-button issues that face Dynasty owners. Our experts make the entire route tree “HOT” as they address topics from the world of IDP, Devy, Start/sit, Non-PPR (standard), PPR, and everything in between. Try not to get burned by all the fiery “YAC” below! This is Dynasty Hot Routes!

What player benefited the most (fantasy wise) from their NFL draft landing spot?

Kyle FrancisChristian Kirk. I’ve watched him play for several years and have generally not been a huge fan, relative to the consensus. Once I saw that Arizona took Rosen and then followed up with him in round two, something just shifted with me and I did a near about-face. Let’s call it the alignment of the stars. Kirk is an Arizona native who will head back home to play in the desert. While some may be upset about his potential year one impact, I would personally trade a first year with minimal production if that player could spend a year learning from and being mentored by Larry Fitzgerald. It’s nearly impossible for me to quantify what impact that may have but I think the value is immense. Kirk ran 95% of his routes from the slot in college and that is where Fitzgerald will finish his career. Based on early reports, there have been conversations about Kirk playing outside in 2018 and then assuming his slot role in the future. Either way, Kirk now gets to play with the best QB of his career and Josh Rosen benefits from having Kirk who will also be the best WR that he’s ever played with. I place high value on good landing spots and I think that Kirk is a likely candidate to have a similar role and productivity to Jarvis Landry, who has averaged 100 catches, 1,009 rec yards, and 5.5 TD per season across his four-year career.

Joshua Johnson – Can I just say NOT Baker Mayfield? Seriously though Saquon Barkley is going to be the Giants offensive engine. For the record, I totally agree with Kyle on Christian Kirk. I am also willing to fall on the Ronald Jones grenade and say he should be considered at 1.03 above both Georgia backs.

IDP Nuggets:

Tremaine Edmunds is going to have a lot on his plate in Buffalo but IDP production should be his reward. Jordan Whitehead in Tampa is easily my favorite fantasy fit of the whole draft. It might not be an instant success, but I am grabbing him all over the place. Finally, Derrick Nnadi to play NT in KC is going to be a blast. He could be better than when Dontari Poe was dropping elite DL production with Chiefs.

John Hogue – I’ll make the homer pick and take the Colorado St. star in the Lone Star State, Michael Gallup. He lands in Dallas, where Dez Bryant was unceremoniously dismissed, leaving the Cowboys with Allen Hurns and a bunch of nothing at wide receiver (sorry, Ryan Switzer; the truth hurts me just as much as it hurts you). Gallup went in the third round – right around where he was projected – but he was the first wide receiver drafted onto this depleted depth chart, with an opportunity to play an outside possession receiver role. That’s Allen Hurns in the slot, Cedric Wilson as the burner, and just a ton of volume for Gallup as the “X.” Now, just to clarify: I don’t expect much from rookie receivers as a rule, so don’t come after me if/when you don’t get much out of Gallup in 2018. But as a dynasty asset? The landing spot makes him a top-4 rookie receiver to me.

Who has the best first 16 starts as an NFL Quarterback? Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Josh Allen, Josh Rosen, or Lamar Jackson?

Kyle FrancisBaker Mayfield. He has the best QB ahead of him on the depth chart, but he is also in a great situation. Cleveland has a playoff roster but based on their staff and history, I think it’s unlikely they make it in 2018. As a result, Mayfield could get some starts late in the 2018 season and be the guy in 2019. Darnold and Rosen could potentially see some extended time in 2018, but the plan is to sit them behind more seasoned starters. I think Allen is more likely to start 16 games at TE than he is to start 16 at QB in the National Football League. The plan is to “redshirt” Jackson in 2018 and allow him to work on his footwork and get coordinated with his offensive staff. I think he should get some work towards the end of 2018 before assuming the starting role in 2019.

Joshua Johnson – From the first time Josh Rosen started at UCLA, I have been convinced he was destined for pro greatness. I will believe as such until the day I die or until he has a Ryan Leaf-like moment/outburst. He just has everything you want besides pretty-boy goofiness. I am currently ranking them like this:

  1. Rosen
  2. Darnold
  3. Allen
  4. Action Jackson
  5. Mayfield
  6. Kyle Lauletta
  7. Mason Rudolph
  8. Logan Woodside
  9. Riley Ferguson
  10.  JT Barrett

Rosen may even convince Larry F’n Legend to play for 3 or 4 more years!

John Hogue – I’m eliminating Josh Allen because his supporting cast is nauseating, and Rosen because I think he wins the starting job in training camp but plays like a rookie early in his rookie season. Darnold could use a little more clipboard time than he will likely get, as he will take over for Josh McCown as soon as the season slips away from the Jets. I think Mayfield will have a great career and finally solve the Browns’ problem at QB, but he could get thrust into action a little sooner than expected, too. So, I’ll take Lamar Jackson, who gets to sit and learn for his entire rookie year and part of his second season. Then he will replace a struggling Joe Flacco and lead Baltimore on an improbable run to the playoffs and never look back. So, we have the longest wait for Jackson, but he will instantly be worth it and have the best start to his career of the group of first-round quarterbacks.

Which day three player(s) tickles your fantasy funny bone the most?

Kyle Francis – I got a long bone that has been tickled aplenty by the results of day three. This may be easiest for me, here is a list of guys taken day three that I have a third round or better rookie-draft-valuation on:

RB: Nyheim Hines, John Kelly, Chase Edmonds, Ito Smith

I think Hines has the clearest road to immediate productivity. The Colts did a brilliant job building their RB room with talented day three picks and spent a bunch of capital building an OL with some maulers on it. Kelly and Edmonds are very talented and an injury away from a potential RB1 or RB2 season. Smith is likely to take over for Tevin Coleman in 2019 in a backfield that will use multiple guys as runners and receivers. The shared trait among this group is outstanding pass-catching abilities.

WR: Cedrick Wilson, Keke Coutee, Daurice Fountain, Jaleel Scott, Richie James, Antonio Callaway (It feels weird not to include Equanimeous St. Brown, but I’m just confused by him right now)

This is just a combination of talent, opportunity, and passing offenses that I’m buying.

TE: Ian Thomas, Chris Herndon

Thomas and Herndon were two of my favorites dating back to last summer. It just so happens they both landed beautifully in New York and Carolina.

Joshua Johnson – Okay I got a few flaming takes here:

QB:

Logan Woodside CIN – Andy Dalton haters know exactly where I am coming from here.

RB:

Jordan Wilkins IND – He is the most north/south RB on the Indy roster.

Justin Jackson LAC – Austin Ekeler just met his match.

WR:

Jordan Lasley BAL– He is exciting, and he has that old-school get-to-sticks mentality. I have heard him get compared to Joe Horn and might I add Derrick Mason to the mix.

Deon Cain IND – If the Colts have “Luck” on their side Cain could be T.Y. Hilton Jr.

Ray-Ray McCloud BUF – The Bills have searched for a slot technician forever. From Roscoe Parrish to the twilight of Percy Harvin their search has been expansive.

Javon Wims CHI – This kid is ridiculously competitive! His college teammates call him “Mr. Jump Ball.” Us Kevin White owners owe it to ourselves to grab Wims late.

DT:

Maurice Hurst OAK – The penetrating power of a player like this is never available on day three.

ILB:

Kenny Young BAL – This dude is rocked up and he is not going to be under pressure to start right away. Overall, he could a top 20 LB.

Ja’Whaun Bentley NE – I had not watched this kid prior to the draft but he is an animal! Color me impressed and the Belichick endorsement is gravy with bacon fat!

Shaun Dion Hamilton WAS – Can you say hybrid/sub-package dynamo! Give it a year and Hamilton will be a wanted commodity.

S:

Jordan Whitehead TB – This is a magnificent fit. Seriously I could not love this pick anymore. I am “coo-coo for coco-puffs” tickled by what he can be for the Bucs. He can and will play all over the secondary.

Dane Cruikshank TEN – The future is now for this converted CB who can do it all. Look out Jonathan Cyprien my dude Dane is here to take your job! He is fast, and he can tackle enough said.

DeShon Elliott BAL – His tape is so fun. The Ravens will love his tenacity. They got great value and he is likely going to be cheap for a while.

John Hogue – Equanimeous St. Brown would be the guy after he fell all the way to the 6th round, but I talked him up on the last Hot Routes, so this time I’ll say Kalen Ballage. He made it to Day 3 but was scooped up in the fourth round by the Dolphins, which is early enough to lead me to believe that he’ll get an opportunity to play. Kenyan Drake doesn’t seem to be the answer at running back, and Miami would prefer to bring him in on passing downs. Ballage has the frame and the skill set to be the workhorse on early downs, short yardage, and goal-line situations. He’s still being drafted in rookie drafts long after similar players in similar situations, like Royce Freeman and Kerryon Johnson. Like, a full round later. THAT excites me the most, the chance to land a potential workhorse back in the middle of the second round in a rookie draft.

jjohnson

I am searching for the meaning of every bump on the pigskin. From leather helmets to a league with no point after attempts, I am researching with a wide shovel. -married/father/music fan/Raider Nation baby/deli meat enthusiast/three-cone extremist

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