Week 1 is in the books. Finally, we’ve got real football that counts, not preseason chatter. Now we see who showed up and who just got lucky. This is where smart managers separate themselves, because the overreactions are already flying around your league. Some guys had big box scores that don’t hold up, and others quietly showed they’re ready for more but aren’t being valued that way yet. So before we dive into it, grab your cigar and your bourbon, and let’s break down who to buy low and who to sell high coming out of Week 1.
Buyers
Cedric Tillman is the kind of young receiver you trade for right now. Five catches on eight targets for 52 yards and a touchdown show you the trust is there, but the price hasn’t caught up yet. Eight targets is no accident, and Cleveland is clearly looking his way. He’s not an every-week starter yet, but he’s a bench stash who’s going to be flex-worthy sooner than people realize. This is how you get ahead of the market.
Dylan Sampson is another sneaky buy. The rushing line was nothing special, just 29 yards on 12 carries, but the usage was everything. He out-touched Jerome Ford 20 to seven, caught all eight of his targets, and finished with 93 total yards. That’s a rookie back being trusted in every situation. You don’t wait until he has the blow-up game and his price jumps. You make that move now, tuck him on your bench, and have a flex option ready to roll.
Harold Fannin Jr. doesn’t have a touchdown yet, and that’s why he’s still affordable. Don’t let that fool you. Nine targets for a rookie tight end in his very first NFL game is rare, and he turned them into seven catches for 66 yards. That kind of involvement is gold at tight end. You trade for that usage now, while the points don’t look too scary, because once the touchdowns hit, the price tag doubles.
Dalton Kincaid is another one you can target right now. Four catches, 48 yards, and a touchdown look nice, but four total targets in a 41-point game will have some managers worried about volume. That’s your chance. It looks like Kincaid is clearly a part of Buffalo’s plan, especially in the red zone. He’s not a locked-in weekly starter just yet, but he’s the kind of player you want sitting on your bench ready to slide into the lineup.
Juwan Johnson is the last piece of the buy-low puzzle. Eight catches on 11 targets for 76 yards in Week 1 should have turned heads, but because he didn’t score, people are still sleeping on him. Spencer Rattler leaned on him, and that connection is real. Tight end is usually a headache in fantasy, so when you can trade cheap for one seeing double-digit looks, you do it. He’s not priced like an every-week starter yet, but he’s a perfect plug-in flex.
Sellers
Keon Coleman is the kind of sell-high target you move right now. Eight catches, 112 yards, and a touchdown look like a monster line, but the Bills’ offense isn’t going to feed him 11 targets every week. He’s a talented second-year receiver, no doubt, but defenses are going to adjust, and the ball is still going to spread around in Buffalo. Somebody in your league will see that stat line and believe he’s a locked-in WR1. That’s when you sell high and turn him into something steadier.
Javonte Williams is another easy sell after Week 1. Fifteen carries for 54 yards is nothing special, but two short-yardage touchdowns made the fantasy score pop. That’s the kind of inflated box score you cash out on. Williams is RB1 for now, but once Blue comes back and starts rolling and his role grows, Williams’ value is going to slip fast. Keep an eye on Jaydon Blue as a buy now too, because when that shift happens, the market will move quickly. If somebody thinks they’re buying into a bounce-back RB2, let them overpay while you get ahead of it.
Kenneth Walker is the one you move quickly. Ten carries for 20 yards and three little catches for four more. Meanwhile, Zach Charbonnet logged 12 carries for 47 yards and a touchdown, and he played more snaps. Walker still had the passing work, but it’s clear the tide is shifting. Charbonnet is coming, and you sell Walker now before it turns into a full-blown timeshare.
Quentin Johnston is the classic sell-high. Five catches for 79 yards and two touchdowns will light up the box score, but touchdowns like that don’t keep rolling in every week. He only saw seven targets, and he still hasn’t proven he can consistently win matchups or command volume. Somebody in your league will fall for the two-score game. That’s when you deal him and turn that hype into something real.
Daniel Jones put up 272 yards and three total touchdowns in his Colts debut, including two on the ground. It was about as strong a start as you could ask for, but that’s also the kind of ceiling game you use as trade bait. Jones has always been streaky, and the Colts leaned heavily on his legs near the goal line. That won’t hit every week. If someone in your league wants to buy him as a top-10 quarterback, you sell and laugh all the way to the bank.
Conclusion
Week 1 is where the overreactions live, and that’s where the edge is. You buy into usage and involvement that hasn’t exploded yet. You sell off stat lines built on touchdowns or one-off spikes. That’s how you stay ahead while everyone else is chasing what just happened. I know I gave you three tight ends to buy this week, but after the top five, they’re a rare commodity. If you can grab one or even two of them, especially Fannin, that’s gold. And with Brock Bowers and George Kittle already banged up, the position just got thinner. In TEP leagues, it’s even more valuable. You corner that kind of upside at tight end, you’re sitting on a bed of gold. Now we wait to see who steps up in Week 2, and we’ll be right back here next week to sort out the next wave of buys and sells.
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