By Joshua Johnson & Nick Wagner
The motivation behind this article is that each writer takes on one side of the argument. The words below are entwined to create a back and forth debate. The For or “Pro” side is in green while the Against or “Con” side in red. Enjoy!
-This is a contract year for Moncrief, he turns just 24 years old in late August, and he is the best/most tenured possession/red zone target in the Colts systems. He led all Colts pass catchers with seven receiving TDs despite only playing in nine games in 2016. With Dwayne Allen gone Moncrief should absorb more red zone looks which will make him a breakout candidate each week. -JJ
-If you were hoping for that always hyped “Year Three” breakout you were left sorely disappointed, as Donte Moncrief put up the worst numbers of his career in 2016. While he did only play in nine games, the pace he was on still would’ve only resulted in around 600 yards had he played all 16 games. -NW
-Moncrief snagged 64 receptions for 733 yards and scored six TDs in 2015 which was his first season as a full-time player. I do not view that as his ceiling. Rather I look at it as his floor when fully healthy. He may never be a 1,200-yard receiver, but that is because the Colts use T.Y. Hilton and Phillip Dorsett, to stretch the field. Moncrief’s function in the Indy scheme is to go over the middle and make you tough catches. -JJ
-Moncrief’s only real value in 2016 came from touchdowns; he did score seven touchdowns in his nine games. But chasing touchdowns can be a risky strategy in Fantasy. Give me a guy getting peppered with targets over a TD-dependent receiver 100% of the time. -NW
-Moncrief’s May DFF ADP was 46th overall. Which lags behind WRs like Davante Adams, Doug Baldwin, Jordy Nelson, Terrelle Pryor, Corey Coleman, Demaryius Thomas, Stefon Diggs and Tyreek Hill. For dynasty startup purposes I would only consider Diggs before Moncrief, but I probably still go Moncrief because of the higher flying offense. -JJ
-Even though Moncrief plays in a very pass-happy offense, over multiple seasons, he has yet to thrive, and two stats could be very telling as to why his numbers have not been elite. His Catch Percentage and his Yards Per Reception. Moncrief caught just 53.6% of his targets last year, which was worst among all Indianapolis pass catchers who had more than one reception. His 10.2 YPC was only 0.3 yards better than TE Jack Doyle and worse than every other Colts’ tight end or receiver. -NW
-At the very least if Moncrief duplicates those 2015 number this season it’s possible he becomes too expensive for the Colts to retain. He has medium size and vertical attributes. If fact his combine results were very similar to the great Andre Johnson. -JJ
-Many fantasy owners target contract year players like Moncrief, figuring they will be motivated, trying to get that big contract. But that strategy sometimes can backfire. It’s not hard to envision a scenario where Moncrief continues to fail to impress early in the season, and the coaching staff determines he is not in their plans. That would increase the likelihood of either the former Raven Kamar Aiken or the youngster Chester Rogers eating into Moncrief’s snap count as the season rolls on.