Welcome to the Week Twelve edition of the DraftKings Sneaky Plays. This weekly article will examine the pricing for the Saturday Main slate of games and try to identify some “sneaky,” under the radar plays that could pay big dividends in tournament play. The pricing has tightened up considerably, so nailing a few lower priced players will be key in constructing a high scoring lineup. Without any further adieu, let’s get into some of the potential Week Twelve diamonds.
Jamie Newman Wake Forest QB vs. Pitt $7100: Newman started for the injured Sam Hartman and responded with 341 total yards and three total touchdowns in an upset win over NC State last week. He showed he is more than capable of running the offense and producing solid fantasy numbers in the process. Newman could tear up the Panthers this week with his dual-threat ability. The Pittsburgh pass defense is ranked 83rd in the nation and has yielded 21 passing touchdowns on the year. Newman carries plenty of upside at a discounted price and should be a staple in tournament lineups. Expect this Demon Deacon to throw up a big stat line in this potential ACC shootout with the Panthers.
Bryce Perkins Virginia QB vs. Georgia Tech $6200: The pricing on Perkins doesn’t make any sense this week, and DFS players need to exploit the discrepancy. Cornelius averages 27.1 DK points per game this season and is a dynamic athlete with true dual-threat ability. He has accounted for 12 total touchdowns in the last five games and appears to be way undervalued this week. The Georgia Tech defense is nothing special and could have its hands full with this premier playmaker. Rostering Perkins at this low price will allow DFS players plenty of roster flexibility and upside. This Cavalier could easily post a stat line of 300 total yards and three total scores against the Yellow Jackets.
Connor Heyward Michigan State RB vs. Nebraska $5000: With the news that LJ Scott is shutting it down for the rest of the season, Heyward becomes the lead back for the Spartans. He had an abysmal 1 yard rushing last week against Ohio State and could be overlooked this week because of that performance. I think it is prudent to take a closer look at his numbers from two weeks ago and factor in this week’s opponent. Heyward had 157 yards rushing and two scores two weeks ago against Maryland. Heyward could easily match those numbers this week versus Nebraska. The Huskers rush defense ranks 90th in the country and is flat out terrible. They rank 117th in rushing touchdowns allowed with 27 on the year. The combination of price and matchup make this Spartan a very intriguing tournament play this week. The Spartans should score three or four rushing touchdowns this weekend, and Heyward will likely have a hand in one or two.
Darrin Hall Pitt RB vs. Wake Forest $5900: Hall has been on fire the last two games with 415 rushing yards and four rushing scores. The Pitt rushing attack is rolling right now, and Hall has a terrific matchup this week against Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons rush defense ranks 103rd in the country; they can’t get out of their own way. They rank 117th in rushing touchdowns allowed with 27 on the year and could struggle mightily to stop the Pitt ground game. The combination of price and matchup make the Panther a very intriguing tournament play this week. Even though he shares carries, Hall has proven he can post big numbers and could torch Wake this weekend. This senior should be a plug and play in tournaments this week.
Cody White Michigan State WR vs. Nebraska $5100: White dropped 22.5 DK points last week against Ohio State and could have another productive game this week versus Nebraska. He saw 15 targets last week and should see a continued heavy volume with Felton Davis out for the season. The matchup couldn’t be better with the dreadful Nebraska pass defense on the docket. The Huskers rank 101st in against the pass in 2018. They have not shown the ability to stop anyone from posting big passing totals. This game could be a sneaky high scoring affair with White and the Spartans offense making plenty of plays.
Maurice Ffrench Pitt WR vs. Wake Forest $4200: Ffrench is averaging 17.2 DK points per game over the last three contests and that included a zero in Week 10. This play-making junior has developed into the top target in the Pitt passing attack and has an outstanding matchup this week against Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons pass defense is simply atrocious, ranking 124th out of 130 teams in college football. Ffrench comes in at near minimum price and is a good bet to reach 3X-4X value. The upside and price are there for this Panther this week. He will be in many of my tournament lineups in Week 12.