Dynasty Football Factory

Buy, Sell, Hold: Baltimore Ravens

 

 

 

 

BUYS:

Ryan Mallett, QB

Alright, this is a little crazy to start with but if you’re in a super-deep league or a 2QB league, you could do a lot worse when taking a flier on a backup QB. Don’t get me wrong, Joe Flacco has been extraordinarily durable, having only missed 6 games over 9 seasons as the starter in Baltimore. However, Flacco is the exception to the rule. Now entering his age 33 season, you never know when a player’s body might start to betray him. Mallett costs less than nothing and is a decent handcuff for Flacco owners and “a let’s get nuts” flier for risk takers. Mallet has looked, well, pretty terrible when’s he’s been given a chance, so don’t expect much, but he’s worth an add (and a prayer) in very deep leagues.

Kenneth Dixon, RB

I covered Dixon extensively here, so I’ll spare you all the details in this space but his price is currently depressed by his looming 4-game suspension. Buy him now on the cheap while you still can before the breakout begins sometime after week 5. In most recent trades you’re not trading for him at too much of a discount, going for multiple 2nd round picks or young upside wide receivers, so it may be prudent to hold off until the start of the season draws near and owner’s panic knowing they’ll have a dead roster spot for 4 weeks.

Mike Wallace, WR

Wallace was a great bargain months, heck, even a couple of weeks ago. Thanks to Twitter hype his ADP has climbed about 30 spots over the last month- and he’s still a bargain. The Ravens lost 4 of their top 6 receivers from last year. Steve Smith, Dennis Pitta, Kamar Aiken and Kyle Juszczyk accounted for 222 receptions on 321 targets, for 2,122 yards and 8 touchdowns- those passes have to go somewhere this year.

Wallace was the team’s leading receiver last year, but should still see a significant increase in his workload in 2017. Even with the recent signing of Jeremy Maclin, expect Wallace to remain the #1 option in the passing game in 2017 as he already a season of proven chemistry with Joe Flacco under his belt.

SELLS:

Danny Woodhead, RB

Woodhead is a 32-year-old running back who will turn 33 at the end of the season with a less-than-stellar recent injury history. I’ll pass. He was the #3 running back for fantasy 2 years ago, so the potential is still there. But dynasty is a young man’s game and despite his contract running through the 2019 season what can you really expect from Woodhead when he’ll be going on 35 years old? Sell while he still has some value. Maybe wait until a week or two into the season after he looks to be healthy before Dixon returns. All that being said, in redraft as opposed to dynasty, I’d be happy to take Woodhead in PPR leagues.

Breshad Perriman, WR

Odds are that if you’re a Perriman owner, you’ve been holding onto him since his rookie year waiting for him to finally break out. As you can see above in the Mike Wallace write up, the targets are going to be out there for somebody in this offense to step up big time.

The above two sentences were written before the Ravens acquired Jeremy Maclin. I originally had Perriman as a hold, but he’s obviously the biggest loser with the signing of Maclin.

At this point, you have to think that the injuries have really slowed him down or the Ravens just don’t trust him or like what they see on the practice field. If anybody is still willing to pay for him, make the deal, otherwise, you’re just going to be stuck holding him as you’ve already been for 2 years. This might be his last chance to turn his career around. At this point moving Perriman for a more solid, proven, known commodity won’t kill you- but holding him for another year while he disappoints again just might.

HOLDS:

Joe Flacco, QB

The “Is Joe Flacco elite?” question continues. Well, not for fantasy anyway because the answer is a resounding “NO”. Flacco’s average rank in season-end points among quarterbacks is 17th, good enough for a mid-tier QB2 with only 1 season where he finished in the top-12, good enough for QB1 status. So, he’s bad enough that you’ll get nothing for him in a trade, yet he is good enough that you can’t trade him away for anything except complete garbage in return. Quite the conundrum.

If you already have him, the best option is to hold onto him and hopefully pair him up with another similar QB for fantasy and play the streaming game week to week. Obviously, in 2 quarterback leagues, he’s a fine option as your 2nd QB.

Terrance West, RB

I originally had West as a “sell”, but after looking into it a bit more, I cut and pasted this into the “holds” section because he’s just not getting anything of value back in trades. $20 blind bidding dollars? Tyler Higbee? Shane Vereen? No thanks. I was much higher on West coming out of college than I am today. I still like him and think he’s a solid running back, but I suspect this is Kenneth Dixon’s job to lose when he returns from his suspension.

West had a productive 2016 and might be able to duplicate that success again going forward, but the odds aren’t in his favor. He’ll never be a “feature back” in the NFL. He’s a low-end RB2 for fantasy, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing and as such, even as a RB3, he’s worth keeping compared to the trash that most owners are trading him for.

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jdibari

Chicagoan living in Las Vegas. Fantasy Football writer & Director of In-Season Analysis for Dynasty Football Factory, blogger for USFantasy and contributor to TheFakeHockey. Member FSWA.

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