Author name: Samuel Wallace

Dynasty Outlook: J.J. Arcega-Whiteside

Sometimes, you really can have it all. It’s a beautiful moment when college production, breakout age, dominator rating, physical ability, draft capital, and landing spot all come together at the same time. Some may even call it a perfect storm. But how will it play out in the NFL? become a member to find out!

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AFC North Factory Divisional Nuggets: Week 4

This series will attempt to bring clarity to the goings-on both on and off the field within each NFL Division so that dynasty owners can make the important roster decisions during the NFL season to help them build toward their championships. Our writers will be grinding the tape and keeping up with the media buzz surrounding players, coaches and front office decision making so that they can keep you equipped with the “nuggets” you need to succeed.

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Dynasty Outlook: James Washington

Okay. We get it. We’ve been hearing about it for the past week. We know. We know James Washington and Mason Rudolph played together for four years in college (2014-2017) and put up some pretty impressive numbers at Oklahoma State. We’ve been waiting all week, ever since Ben Roethlisberger went down with a season-ending elbow injury, to see if this former college connection would translate at all to fantasy success. This weekend, we got our first look at the new tandem on the Pittsburgh Steelers offense.

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Dynasty Outlook: Marquise Brown

Film matters. Analytics matter. College production matters. Draft capital and landing spot matter. The debate about which variable is most important or best at predicting future NFL and fantasy success will rage on. However, at the intersection of every variable we use and every lens through which we look to evaluate a prospect sits an individual, unique player.It doesn’t matter how predictive we think our research is. At the end of the day, a rookie and his coaching staff still have to go out and get the job done.When evaluating the long term dynasty potential of a rookie wide receiver, we have to work with what we have. Anyone who tells you they have all the answers is selling you something. However, certain historical trends, film analysis, and other variables can give us a glimpse into what is possible.As I attempt to breakdown the dynasty outlook of Marquise Brown, keep a few things in mind: we only know what we know. He has extremely limited professional experience and much of what will be covered is speculation that is, however, rooted in research. Will he do enough to provide fantasy relevance this year or in the future?

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AFC North Factory Divisional Nuggets: Week 2

“Not bad for a running back”. That post-game quote from Lamar Jackson summed up the Ravens’ decimation of the Dolphins in Week 1. The new-look Ravens offense hung 59 points on the hapless Fins (42 by halftime) which afforded Lamar Jackson an early exit during the fourth quarter. After winning the division by finishing the 2018 season on a 6-1 record with Jackson at QB, the Ravens essentially rebuilt their offense around their new signal-caller. They drafted two wide receivers and a running back, brought over veteran free agent Mark Ingram, and turned the keys over to Lamar Jackson. The early returns look promising.

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Dynasty Outlook: Corey Davis vs A.J. Brown

As I have progressed through my series of Dynasty Outlooks in recent weeks, one pairing that kept coming up time and time again from the fantasy community was Corey Davis vs. A.J. Brown. This was my first dive into a comparative piece that takes into account an incoming rookie who yet to play a single

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Dynasty Outlook: Michael Gallup

Take a close look at the following information and try to answer this question: does this sound like an offense that can effectively support a second relevant fantasy wide receiver?
-A QB who has failed to eclipse 4,000 passing yards in a season during his career
-A team that has averaged 26th in the league in pass attempts during the last three seasons
-An RB who is averaging 100+ rushing yards and 130+ yards from scrimmage per game in his career
-A team that has averaged fifth in the league in rushing attempts during the last three seasons
-A recent addition at WR that has posted 1,000+ yards in three of his last four seasons

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Dynasty Outlook: Will Fuller vs Keke Coutee

Over the last few weeks, I’ve seen quite a bit of discussion and debate surrounding the Houston Texan’s wide receiving corps. At the top of the depth chart is arguably the best receiver in the league in DeAndre Hopkins. There isn’t much room for discussion as to who will command the majority of targets in that offense.

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The Rise of Ridley the Route Runner

If you’re anything like me, there are fewer things in this world more satisfying than watching a wide receiver dismantle a defensive back with a nasty, precise route on his way to scoring a touchdown. You know exactly what I’m talking about, don’t you? You can picture it in your head – the receiver aggressively comes off the line and forces the cornerback into a frantic back peddle. Next, the receiver breaks hard towards the middle of the field…the defender’s hips turn…and suddenly you can feel the six points coming from your couch. The receiver turns upfield and is immediately so open, you wonder if the defender was ever there. The quarterback hits him in stride as he crosses the goal line while the defender is left behind. Simply beautiful.Now, maybe there are a few things in this world that are more satisfying than what I just described, but you have to appreciate the technical effort that goes into making that play happen in only a matter of seconds. One of the best young route runners in the league, and arguably the most exciting rookie wide receiver last year, is Calvin Ridley, and he is quickly making a name for himself in the league.Coming out of college, his Draft Profile Analysis started with the following statements from NFL Analyst Lance Zierlein, “Ridley has game-changing talent complete with blazing speed and rare route-running ability for a college prospect. He ran the full route tree at Alabama, has experience working in a pro-style attack and is a plug-and-play starter on day one.” Prior to him even stepping onto the field for a professional game, he was already known for his incredible route running abilities.Before I dive into the numbers and analysis, if you haven’t yet seen some of Calvin Ridley’s proficient route running, go do that and then come back and finish reading this. Better yet, check out some of my recent tweets and you’re sure to see some Ridley routes in there. I want you to be able to picture the greatness in your mind as I convince you that he is one of the most dominant young wideouts in the game.

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Future WR Stars

Two statistical measurements are quickly growing in popularity among fantasy football analysts – Dominator Rating and Breakout Age. Essentially, these two variables tell us how productive a player was in college at their peak, and how old they were when that (hopefully) high level of production occurred. As I have become more comfortable working these numbers, I began to draw comparisons between established NFL players and incoming rookies with similar Dominator Ratings and Breakout Ages.According to PlayerProfiler, an incoming player with a Dominator Rating greater than 45% and a Breakout Age less than 19 years old is phenomenal. For the sake of this article, I am using a Dominator Rating of greater than 40% and a Breakout Age of younger than 20 years old for my comparative research on wide receivers. To filter out those rookies who produced immediately upon entering the league, I am using 600 yards receiving as a rookie and draft capital inside of Day 2 (Rounds 1-3) as my final cut off variable.Since 2010, there have been nine players who have met the cutoff of having a Dominator Rating of 40% or greater, a Breakout Age of less than 20 years old, who had at least 600 receiving yards their rookie year and were drafted in Rounds 1-3.

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