Author name: Matt Walker

Diehard Eagles fan, World's Okayest Dad and Dynasty / IDP Writer for the Dynasty Football Factory.

Breakout Third-Year Wide Receivers, Part 2

Whether you believe in the third-year breakout theory for wide receivers or not, there is a strong case to be made for a number of players from the 2017 NFL Draft class.  I’m going to briefly discuss the notable third-year wide receivers and determine the likelihood that they break out in 2019. Using an arbitrary 25% increase over their best fantasy season to date using PPR scoring, I’m going to assess a percent chance that each player reaches their breakout score THIS season (suffice to say this is assuming the relative health of each player). Here is part two of this piece.

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Breakout Third-Year Wide Receivers, Part 1

Whether you believe in the third-year breakout theory for wide receivers or not, there is a strong case to be made for a number of players from the 2017 NFL Draft class.  I’m going to briefly discuss the notable third-year wide receivers and determine the likelihood that they break out in 2019. Using an arbitrary 25% increase over their best fantasy season to date using PPR scoring, I’m going to assess a percent chance that each player reaches their breakout score THIS season (suffice to say this is assuming the relative health of each player).

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Oh SNAPS!

The concept is pretty simple: more snaps = more opportunity and more opportunity = more targets which are the mother of all fantasy points for wide receivers. I am going to profile a few players who project to see significant snap and/or target increases in 2019.Albert Wilson (Key Offseason Target Departure: Danny Amendola 5.3/gm)Offensive Snap Share = 25% (limited to seven games)PPR PPG 2018: 12.9There’s nowhere to go but up for Wilson who was only on the field for a quarter of the Dolphins snaps during his abbreviated seven-game season. During that time, he was still able to post the following stat lines:Week Two: 3/37/1 (12.7 pts)Week Three: 2/74/1 (15.4 pts)Week Six: 6/155/2 (33.2 pts)His season was cut short due to a week seven hip injury that ultimately landed him on the IR. If we project out his totals across 16 games (I know), Wilson would have scored 206.4 PPR points which were good enough for a WR22 finish in 2018. Assuming a full return to health, I believe that Wilson carries high-end WR3 upside in 2019. The new coaching staff knows how to maximize a players strengths, and Wilson has mismatch ability in space. With Danny Amendola heading to Detroit, the slot WR role is wide open in Miami and that should come with 100+ target upside. Kenny Stills and Devante Parker are best used as perimeter wide receivers which leaves that coveted slot role to Wilson. This is also assuming that Josh Rosen starts most, if not all, of Miami’s games in 2019 [NOTE: Ryan Fitzpatrick is a gunslinging wildcard at this point who would likely make Devante Parker WR1 overall]Golden Tate (Key Offseason Target Departure: Odell Beckham Jr. 10.3/gm)Offensive Snap Share = New to TeamPPR PPG 2018: 12.1………………………………………….

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Instant Reaction: 1st Round Dynasty Impact

Below are a few spontaneous reactions to some of the picks in the 2019 NFL Draft — and how they may affect dynasty football: Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma Kyler Murray to the Cardinal’s first overall was the worst kept secret since 2010 when the Rams all but officially drafted Sam Bradford at the

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Making the Case for Darrin Hall, RB, University of Pittsburgh

It all started with a simple tweet and now I can’t stop watching Darrin Hall tape trying to figure out what everyone missed. Darrin Hall (5’11, 217) Sr RB PITT welcome to my radar. 4.45ish – 40 Yd Dash 27 reps – bench press 10’2” – broad jump 32” – vertical 6.72 – 3 cone

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Le’Veon Bell – Instant Impact

Le’Veon Bell – Instant Impact Le’Veon Bell, RB: Signing a four-year contract worth $52.5 million, Rapoport reports. What was speculated for the better part of a year now has finally come to fruition: Le’Veon Bell is a New York Jet. While he didn’t land the RB1 overall contract that he hoped for, the contracts $13.125M

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Dynasty Regrets

We’ve all made irrational, biased and short-sighted decisions in Dynasty. That’s what makes this game we play so much fun. But to be successful, we have to learn from those mistakes and capitalize when others continue to make them. This article is intended to shine a light on the Worst Dynasty Mistakes an owner can

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2018 Dynasty Sleepers: RB Edition

Everyone has their own definition of what makes someone a sleeper, breakout, bust, etc., and to each their own. I decided to use Fantasy Football Calculator ADP to identify three players currently being drafted in the 8th round or later who present with immediate and/or long-term value at the running back position. I want players

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Ever the Ageist (2018 Edition): Wide Receivers and Tight Ends

Last season I decided to tackle this same topic in an attempt to forewarn the casual dynasty owner of aging or workload impacted players before it was too late. So let’s recap the players I reviewed last year and their 2017 fantasy finish per FantasyPros (PPR): AARP Wide Receivers Larry Fitzgerald WR4 Anquan Boldin OUT

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Ever the Ageist (2018 edition): Running Backs

Last year I decided to tackle this same topic in an attempt to forewarn the casual dynasty owner of aging or workload impacted players before it was too late. So let’s recap the players I reviewed last year and their 2017 fantasy finish per FantasyPros (PPR): AARP Running Backs Frank Gore RB19 Adrian Peterson (injured)

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Eagles 2018 Fantasy Football NFL Draft Primer

The defending Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles currently have just one pick in the first three rounds, and that pick comes at No. 32 overall. Their remaining picks are 130, 132, 169, 206 and 250. Before I get into what I see as the team’s draft needs from a Fantasy Football perspective, I truly believe that

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Days to Come: Kansas City Chiefs

Days to Come: Kansas City Chiefs Change comes upon you fast. One minute you’re a 12-4 team getting bounced by Pittsburgh in the 1st round of the playoffs and the next you’re making an aggressive draft day trade to bring Brett Favre/Donovan McNabb 2.0 into the building! In Dynasty football it seems we’re always weighing

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Days to Come: Los Angeles Chargers

Days to Come: Los Angeles Chargers Change comes upon you fast. One minute you’re basking in the San Diego sun and the next you’re the Rams little step brothers stuck hosting home games at the STUBHUB CENTER until Kroenke builds his taj mahal in Inglewood! In Dynasty football it seems we’re always weighing today’s value

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Days to Come: Denver Broncos

Days to Come: Denver Broncos Change comes upon you fast. One minute your defense is dragging Peyton Manning kicking and screaming to his second Super Bowl ring, and the next minute you’re deciding between a Trevor Siemian/ Paxton Lynch $#!% sandwich at QB! In Dynasty football it seems we’re always weighing today’s value against tomorrow’s

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Days to Come: Arizona Cardinals

Change comes upon you fast. One minute you’re battling Carolina for the right to play in Super Bowl 50 and the next minute you’re 7-8-1 on the outside looking in! In Dynasty football it seems we’re always weighing today’s value against tomorrow’s promise. So what’s in store for each NFL team moving forward the next

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Days to Come: San Francisco 49ers

Change comes upon you fast. One minute you’re visionaries for hiring Jim Harbaugh to be your Head Coach and the next you’re a laughingstock for turning the keys to the castle over to Jim Tomsula THEN Chip Kelly! In Dynasty football it seems we’re always weighing today’s value against tomorrow’s promise. So what’s in store

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