Against the Spread: NFL Week 11

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Welcome back to part one of my weekly publications, my weekly picks against the spread! For these articles, I will provide analysis on three bets that I feel have the best chance at netting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing.

I will also make predictions on the rest of the week’s spreads. To keep myself accountable, I’ll be keeping track of my wins and losses on the three bets I provide analysis on. These predictions are more “gut feel,” but you should still feel free to use them to help you place your wagers!

Betting lines were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership but also $10 in extra DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer!

Let’s get started.

A Brief Recap of Week 10

Last week I had the good fortune of making my picks at the Caesars’ Sportsbook in Las Vegas! While my three-team parlay didn’t cash, I did get a nice hit on the Ravens absolutely destroying the Bengals in Ryan Finley’s debut. As for what happened with the Rams…I can’t explain that.

I’m returning this week for one article before going back to Vegas next week to make my picks. So if you’re not already, make sure to follow me at @DFF_Biscuits for all my ATS, player prop, and other bets this season!

In-depth picks: 12-15-15

Overall: 67-78-5

Broncos at Vikings (-10.5)

I’ll fully admit my first line scares me the most. 10.5 points is a lot to lay against a team that has an affinity for close games. However, upon closer inspection, Minnesota may obliterate this line.

Minnesota has beaten opponents by at least 11 points in half of their games so far this season. They’re also 6-4 against the spread. Minnesota is on an absolute roll and is a favorite to make the playoffs after their victory of the Cowboys.

The Broncos, meanwhile, are splitting starter reps between Brandon Allen and Drew Lock. This is despite the fact that the Broncos have already named Allen the starter for this week’s game against the Vikings. What an inspiring show of confidence and a great preparation tool to take practice snaps away from your starter before his first road start against a top-ranked opponent.

10.5 is a lot of points, but this should be a bloodbath.

Cowboys (-4.5) at Lions

Though Dallas looked anemic in their performance on Sunday night against the Vikings, they face a much easier test this week against the Lions who just last week made people believe in Mitchell Trubisky again. Stafford is also missing practices again, which suggests that Jeff Driskel might make his second consecutive start. Spoiler alert, the first one didn’t go so well. This will be a nice bounce-back game for the Cowboys to put them right back into playoff contention.

Jets (+1.5) at Washington

The Jets had nowhere to go but up. After a disastrous game against Miami that had fans calling for Adam Gase’s head, the Jets were able to right the ship against their in-town rivals last week. While that certainly doesn’t make up for a lost season, it does at least give the team some momentum heading into this week’s showdown against the Redskins.

Washington has finally decided to name Dwayne Haskins as the starting quarterback for the rest of the 2019 season. While that is good for Haskins’ development as an NFL player and the future of the franchise, it does not necessarily mean short-term success. Let’s not forget that before the Redskins’ BYE week, Haskins wasn’t exactly lighting the world on fire. It’s admittedly a small sample size, but Haskins’ 40.8 passing grade isn’t going to intimidate anyone.

The Jets aren’t exactly world-beaters, but they do have twice as many victories as their opponent this week. While that’s not saying much, I’ll gladly take the points when two bad teams play.

The Rest…

Right here you can find all the NFL game odds, and my picks in bold below.

Steelers at Browns (-2.5)

Bills (-6) at Dolphins

Texans (+4) at Ravens

Saints (-5.5) at Buccaneers

Jaguars at Colts (-3)

Falcons at Panthers (-5.5)

Cardinals at 49ers (-10.5)

Patriots (-3.5) at Eagles

Bengals (+10.5) at Raiders

Bears (+6.5) at Rams

Chiefs (-4) at Chargers

sbest

Proud dad to a long dog. Staff Writer and Vegas lines specialist for @Dff_Dynasty. You can find me on Twitter @DFF_Biscuits. #DFFArmy #Dynastyfootball #Fantasyfootball #NFLPicks #BassetHound

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