Welcome to the Week Nine edition of the DraftKings Sneaky Plays. This weekly article will examine the pricing for the Saturday Main slate of games and try to identify some “sneaky” under the radar plays that could pay big dividends in tournament play. The pricing has softened considerably, so nailing a few lower priced players will be key in constructing a high scoring lineup. Without any further adieu, let’s get into some of the potential Week Nine diamonds.
Brock Purdy Iowa State QB vs. Texas Tech $7000: Purdy has come out of nowhere to average 37.1 DK points per game over the last two games and has locked up the starting job for the Cyclones. He brings some excitement to an otherwise boring Iowa State offense with his dual-threat ability and should make a few big plays this week against Texas Tech. While both defenses are solid, this could quickly turn into an old-fashioned Big 12 shootout. Purdy carries big upside at a discounted price and should be a staple in tournament lineups. Look for this Cyclone to post better numbers than Trace McSorley at a $2400 discount. We are all aboard the Purdy train this week!
Nate Stanley Iowa QB vs. Penn State $5200: Stanley was horrible last week against Maryland with only 86 yards passing and that couldn’t make me happier. Many DFS players will overlook Stanley because of that outing and forget that he threw for 624 yards and 10 passing touchdowns in the two previous games. The matchup with Penn State is not as tough as many might think as the Nittany Lions rank 68th in the nation against the pass this season. The implied tough defensive matchup and low over/under of 52 should keep his ownership percentage very low, which is a great thing in tournament play. Plug this Hawkeye in some tournament lineups to allow for some upgrades at other positions.
Kennedy Brooks Oklahoma RB vs. Kansas State $5000: Brooks exploded last week for 168 rushing yards and a score against Kansas State and looked like the best running back on the Oklahoma roster. His carries were inflated by an injury to Trey Sermon, but I don’t think that actually matters too much. This freshman is way too good to keep off the field and he undoubtedly earned carries going forward regardless of the injury status of Sermon. The Kansas State rush defense is ranked 83rd this season and could find it very difficult to contain this rising star. The Sooners offense is loaded and getting Brooks at 5K allows for a piece of the action at a discounted price. Plugging this Sooner in a lineup or two allows for a ton of roster flexibility and also offers a high ceiling. He should easily be able to hit 3X value against the Wildcats in Week Nine.
Ivory Kelly-Martin Iowa RB vs. Penn State $4700: This sophomore had 24 carries for 98 yards last week against Maryland and appears to have seized control of the Iowa backfield. He is averaging 22 carries in his last two games played and should see a steady diet this week against Penn State. The matchup is not bad at all as the Nittany Lions rank 74th against the run this year and his price is just too low to ignore given the anticipated workload. It’s not often that we see a 20-plus-carry back available for under 5K, so jump all over this Hawkeye. A stat line of 80 yards and a score are extremely possible and would leave savvy players grinning from ear to ear.
Darius Anderson TCU RB vs. Kansas $4000: Oh what could have been for Anderson. He was thought of as a potential breakout fantasy star heading into this season and has completely fallen on his face. The only reason he appears in this article is because he is dirt cheap, gets around 10 carries per game, and is playing Kansas. Anderson does possess a diverse skill set and ability and could have a resurgence against the lowly Jayhawks. He is worth a dart throw this week in tournaments and allows for some nice roster flexibility. If this Horned Frog can’t show out against Kansas, then he likely never will.
Tyre McCants South Florida WR vs. Houston $6000: McCants is one of my favorite plays this week because of opportunity, price, and matchup. He is the leading receiver for the Bulls in receptions and has been playing very well of late. The matchup is sensational as Houston ranks 130 out of 130 teams against the pass in 2018 and hasn’t stopped any opposing passing games this season. The over/under for this game is 74 and the total could easily approach 90 points with these prolific offenses. Rostering McCants is a sneaky way to gain some cheap exposure to this potentially high scoring affair. Plug this senior in and enjoy the return on investment.
Keith Corbin Houston WR vs. South Florida $5900: Corbin has been a touchdown machine this season. He has scored in six straight games and six of seven overall on the year. This Cougar is in play for the same reason as Tyre McCants and actually has a higher upside with his nose for the end zone. Corbin is a good bet to flirt with 100 yards receiving and find pay dirt at least once against the defensively challenged Bulls. Plug Corbin and any other players you can get from this game that could see 1200 total yards and 12-15 touchdowns.
Lynn Bowden Kentucky WR vs. Missouri $5300: Bowden is the leading receiver on a horrible passing offense, so why is he in this article? The rationale behind this pick is simple: The Missouri rush defense is very good and will be focused on stopping Benny Snell. The Tigers pass defense is terrible and could yield some big plays to Bowden and the Kentucky passing game this week. I could easily envision a stat line of 6-8 receptions for 90 yards and a possible score from Bowden this week, which would return 4X value. He will likely be under-owned because he is not a sexy name and plays for Kentucky. I think he is a great tournament option this week that could be a difference maker.
Lee Norris Oklahoma WR vs. Kansas State $4400: All this guy does is catch touchdowns (6 touchdowns on 10 catches on the season) and his price is still dirt cheap. He has scored five receiving touchdowns in the last three games and is developing into a big red zone target for Kyler Murray. His penchant for finding the end zone and depressed price make Norris a terrific tournament option this week. Don’t be surprised if this Sooner finds paydirt for the fourth week in a row and is part of the winning lineup this week.
Week 9 Main Slate