a 2018 Early Redraft Mock Draft - Dynasty Football Factory

Dynasty Football Factory

2018 Early Redraft Mock Draft

What better way to start the new year than a good ol’ mock draft. Guess what? Here it is! Our Redraft specialists bring you the first PPR mock draft of the 2018 season. Seth (@sethfffellas), Stephen (@TheRealHalupka), Johnny (@JohnnySlokes), MadMan (@DFF_Madman), Jay (@jaymanDFF), Michael (@DFF_MSte), Jerry (@JerrySinDFF), Josh (@DFF_JoshB), Kyle (@kyleFFfellas), Jeremy (@DFFVictoryCigar), Clayton (@DFF_Clayton) and I (@ZaragozaAnthony) conducted a 12-team, four-round mock draft to help you get a jump on your 2018 fantasy competition.

Check back with us next month for version two of the Redraft mock, player rankings, and profiles. Without further ado, here we go…

First Round:  

  1. Seth – Todd Gurley, RB, Rams

The Ram’s dynamic offense is a perfect match for Gurley’s elite, 3-down back talent. He was featured heavily in the passing game in 2017 and has the most stable situation of the elite RBs for 2018.

  1. Stephen – Le’Veon Bell, RB, Steelers

Simply the most dynamic player in fantasy football over the past three seasons. If he is back with the Steelers, he has one of the safest floors of any player in any format.

  1. Johnny – Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys

Elliott played in 9 games and finished as a top 10 RB this season. Give him a full season, and he’s likely to finish near the top in any format.

  1. MadMan – David Johnson, RB, Cardinals

Getting DJ at 4 almost feels like stealing. Yes, coming off the injury. Yes, different head coach. Yes, likely different offense in the absence of Carson Palmer. Yes, there are a lot of variables. However, if DJ comes back from injury strong, the one thing that doesn’t vary is the top-shelf fantasy point potential of David Johnson. Buy, Buy Buy!

  1. Jay – Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers

The most consistent player in fantasy football. He’s finished as the top WR the last 4 seasons in PPR leagues. Lock that up again in 2018 if Big Ben comes back.

  1. Michael – Melvin Gordon, RB, Chargers

Back-to-back seasons Melvin has produced the goods. He finished the season as a top 5 RB, after ending up 7th overall in 2016 despite missing the final 3 games. He posted his first 1000-yard season and had double-digit touchdowns for the second year running. Locked-in top 5 back if healthy.

  1. Anthony – Kareem Hunt, RB, Chiefs

Outside of Gurley and Bell, no other running back scored more points than Kareem Hunt. The three-down back will once again be the focal point of the Chiefs offense next season.

  1. Jerry – Odell Beckham Jr, WR, Giants

Every season he’s been in the NFL, he’s got at least 1,300 yards and 10 TDs. Before his injury this year, he was on pace for yet another season of similar numbers. We’ve seen up and down seasons from the other guys in this area, but not OBJ. Eli hasn’t been all that good throughout OBJ’s career, so even if he’s gone, I’m not worried about his immensely high floor. He’s the last of a tier here, and i’ll take him at 8, without a millisecond of thought.

  1. Josh – Alvin Kamara, RB, Saints

I’ve been bullish on Kamara since Week 2 and if you took my advice, plus had a bye in Week 14, the Tennessee rookie likely propelled you to a title run this season. How special has Kamara been in his rookie campaign? He averaged over 1.5 PPR points per touch in 2017; that’s both a solid fantasy floor and ceiling locked in your lineup each and every week. Whether or not Mark Ingram returns to the Saints, Kamara has the potential to be even better in 2018 with a full offseason of preparation and a creative play-caller in Sean Payton who wants to get his playmakers the ball. If he stays healthy, Kamara will be a top-5 fantasy RB again in 2018.

  1. Kyle – DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Texans

The WR1 from 2017, DeAndre Hopkins was able to get back on track after an off year in 2016. Add in that Hopkins was able to put up these numbers while only playing 7 games with Deshaun Watson, and I like his chances to repeat his performance as a high end WR next year.

  1. Jeremy – Keenan Allen, WR, Chargers

3rd in PPR points per game, 5th in targets through Week 16, Allen’s been an absolute beast this year after a disappointing season-ending injury in 2016. Expect his success to continue in 2018.

  1. Clayton – Michael Thomas, WR, Saints

A lot of people were disappointed with Thomas’s 2017 performance. All he did was record double digit fantasy points in 14/16 contests. Thomas is a virtual lock for 100 receptions as Drew Brees’s top red zone threat. With positive TD regression likely coming his way in 2018, he’s the type of consistent, high floor option to target in the back half of the first round.

 

Second Round:

1(13). Clayton – Julio Jones, WR, Falcons

It’s become a widespread sentiment that Julio has been a volatile fantasy option over the past 2 years. He can drop a 40-burger and single handedly win a matchup, or throw up an absolute skunker that leaves you questioning humanity. That’s why it’ll be important to pair him with a high floor option like Thomas above. Regardless, Julio in the 2nd round feels like stealing.

2(14). Jeremy – Dalvin Cook, RB, Vikings

Imagine Cook as the lead back in MN had he not been injured in Week 4. The training wheels were just coming off and his dominance was starting to show. He’s got the chops to be a top-5 back in 2018.

3(15). Kyle – A.J. Green, WR, Bengals

In what many consider a “down year” for Green in 2017, the Bengals wideout was still a top 10 WR in PPR. I think Green will continue to be a target monster in 2018, and depending on how the coaching staff shakes out, could have top 5 potential once again.

4(16). Josh – LeSean McCoy, RB, Bills

McCoy has finished as the RB7 in PPR leagues this past season despite reaching the decrepit age of 29 for NFL running backs. Couple this with his RB4 finish in 2016, and you can see why Shady is a top-10 RB in both real life and fantasy football with top-5 upside. Shady drops to early Round 2 due to a long and complicated injury history (this selection was made before he was carted off the field in Week 17 with an ankle injury), but I’ll make sure to grab his handcuff as Shady brings championship-winning upside to my RB2 slot.

5(17). Jerry – Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons

Every year Freeman gets cast aside like he’s not one of the elite RBs in fantasy. He is. 1,600 total yards and 14 TDs in 2015. 1,500 yards and 13 TDs in 2016. He’s got 1,100 yards while missing 3 games this season. He’s as consistent as any back in the league. He signed the richest contract of any RB in the NFL before the season, so there’s no reason to assume he won’t be a focal point of an elite offense for years to come. With yardage and TD totals like that, he’s a first round talent that I get in the middle of the 2nd round. Sign. Me. Up.

6(18). Anthony – Leonard Fournette, RB, Jaguars

Similar to Hunt’s red hot start this season, Leonard Fournette was on fire as well. The former LSU star had 7 TD’s, 596 yards rushing and 16 receptions through the first six weeks of the season. Injuries once again hampered the rookie, but Fournette was able to finish the season strong. If he’s healthy next season, the sky’s the limit.

7(19). Michael – Mark Ingram, RB, Saints.

Back to back 1000-yard seasons and double-digit touchdowns in 2017. 5.1 YPC on 422 carries since 2016 & 100 receptions in that time. The safer option in the NO backfield for me.

8(20). Jay Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers

Evans had a disappointing 2017 after being drafted as a top-5 WR. Touchdown regression was to be expected but he wasn’t a total bust as he still finished as a top 18 WR. We’re all aware of his monstrous upside we saw during the second half of 2014 and all of 2016. I trust the talent and think this offers major value towards the end of round 2.

9(21). MadMan – Rob Gronkowski, TE, Patriots

I’m not sure you even call this value-based drafting it’s such a no-brainer. These guys are just dropping things on my plate. From my draft position, I can just sit back and cherry-pick. This is about where current ADP has Big Rob being drafted, so it’s not altogether surprising to see him available here. But as far as difference-makers go, I challenge you to find a bigger one than Gronkowski at any position. In redraft, this is just a money pick. Gronk can still smash, so get him in your lineups when he’s able to play.

10(22). Johnny – Alshon Jeffery, WR, Eagles

I like Alshon in this offense. Hopefully Wentz recovers well and picks up where they left off. 9 TDs this season, and I would like to think he can repeat next year.

11(23). Stephen – Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs

His first season as a full-time WR has resulted in over 1100 yards and 7 Tds. The sky is the limit as the Chiefs offense should potentially be more explosive with the big arm of Patrick Mahomes at QB in 2018.

12(24). Seth – Jordan Howard, RB, Bears

With the old-school conservative offense of John Fox finally gone, Howard has a shot at top ten RB performance once again in 2018.

 

Third Round:

1(25). Seth – Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals

To be honest, I thought Marvin Lewis was going to be fired when I made this pick. Mixon is still a decent value in the 3rd round, though.

2(26). Stephen – Davante Adams, WR, Packers

Coming off another stellar year with Brett Hundley at the helm for most of it, Adams is ready to take the leap to an elite fantasy receiver. Even though he has yet to crack 1,000 yards receiving, his touchdown upside in this offense is too great to ignore. Expect Adams to fully supplant Jordy Nelson as Aaron Rodgers favorite target in 2018.

3(27). Johnny – Adam Thielen, WR, Vikings

There are some other WRs you could consider here, or even some RBs, but I’m not going to overthink this very much and just take the dude that catches everything thrown his way. He had over 1,200 yards receiving this year,so I’ll take that in the 3rd round.

4(28). MadMan – JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Steelers

JuJu the linebacker-killer. This is a bit of a reach based on ADP and the opinions of most in fantasy football. However, this kid is legit and I just couldn’t let myself draft Amari Cooper in redraft ahead of a real difference-making WR. Anyone worried about the team prospects after Big Ben goes down, should focus their concerns on Antonio Brown. He’s the one dependent on Big Ben. Not JuJu.

5(29). Jay – Christian McCaffrey, RB, Panthers

CMC had a very successful rookie season finishing as a top 10 PPR RB.  The crazy thing is that he achieved this although his rushing production left much to be desired. With the ability to consistently catch 80 balls a year, he provides a safe floor with upside if he can improve on his 2017 rushing numbers

6(30). Michael – Jarvis Landry, WR, Dolphins

Landry led the lead in receptions in 2017 after finishing 7th in 2016 and 4th in 2015. That’s 320 receptions in 3 season from Ryan Tannehill, Matt Moore and Jay Cutler. Who knows where he will end up, but he is an elite talent who will always be capable of 100 receptions.

7(31). Anthony – Amari Cooper, WR, Raiders

With a new offensive coaching staff coming in and possible departure of teammate Michael Crabtree, Cooper has the recipe for a bounce back season this year.

8(32). Jerry – Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers

I will take the first stab at Quarterback. I’m not usually a fan of taking a QB before the 8th round or so, but I already have an elite option in OBJ at WR and Devonta Freeman as a solid RB1. I’ll take another fantasy superstar that can win a week, by himself, late in the third. I debated taking Saquon Barkley here, but I figured going with a rookie RB, on a bad team, this early, is risky business. There should be a few rookie RBs I could grab later that will have a solid role. Not a huge fan of the WRs in this area. There is one RB in particular that I’m hoping falls to me in the 4th.

9(33). Josh – Doug Baldwin, WR, Seahawks

Baldwin finished as the WR13 in PPR leagues in what was considered a “down” year for both he and the Seattle offense. Expect the Seahawks to enter 2018 with a renewed focus and energy after missing out on the playoffs for the first time in five years. This will help Baldwin get back to producing Top 10 WR numbers as he did in both 2015 and 2016. Grabbing a player like Baldwin to be my WR1 this late in the 3rd round is tremendous value.

10(34). Kyle – Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs

Kelce was the TE1 in PPR in 2017 and has not missed a game due to injury in his four years as the primary TE in Kansas City. Believe me, I love Gronk, but in PPR the gap has clearly been closed. Add in the fact that he might have Pat Mahomes under center to take some deeper shots down field, I like Kelce to put up similar numbers (if not better) in 2018.

11(35). Jeremy – Saquon Barkley, RB, TBD

Just having announced his entry to the 2018 NFL Draft, Barkley will be this year’s Leonard Fournette. His dynamic talent will transform the face of whatever team drafts him, much like Fournette helped transform the Jags from worst to first.

12(36). Clayton – Carlos Hyde, RB, 49ers

Hyde was arguably the most underrated all-terrain weapon at the running back position in 2017. Coming off a career-high 59-catch season, and still in his prime at age 27, Hyde makes for a bargain amongst the other dual threat weapons at the position. If he stays in the Shanahan offense with Jimmy GQ at the controls it’s wheels up, if he leaves in free agency Hyde has proven he deserves a lead role wherever he lands.

 

Fourth Round:

1(37). Clayton – Derrick Henry, RB, Titans

With Demarco Murray looking like a potential cut candidate after limping through 2017, Derrick Henry should finally become the feature back he deserves to be in 2018. The opportunity to take a freak of a runner with a potentially monstrous workload is too good to pass up here. If things break right, Henry could be an early 1st rounder in 2019.

2(38). Jeremy – Marquise Goodwin, WR, 49ers

Goodwin didn’t have a great start in 2017, but those were the pre-Jimmy G days. Once the 49ers put Garoppolo in as their weekly starter, sparks flew from his chemistry with Goodwin, who has emerged as their premier WR.

3(39). Kyle – Jay Ajayi, RB, Eagles

Ajayi was obviously a disappointment in 2017, but having a full season as the primary ball carrier in the Eagles’ high scoring offense should benefit Ajay next year. Ajayi has never been an elite pass catcher with a career-high of 27 receptions in 2016, but I think he’ll find paydirt enough to offset his low catch totals.

4(40). Josh – Brandin Cooks, WR, Patriots

In his first year with the Patriots, Cooks (65/1082/7) posted his lowest reception, yardage, and TD totals since his rookie season but still finished as the WR15 in PPR leagues. Cooks is still available early in Round 4 due to the uncertainty of his situation in 2018. If he stays put in New England, the return of a healthy Julian Edelman will cut into his target share and make him even more of a weekly boom/bust WR2. If Cooks bids adieu to the Patriots, he has top-5, league-winning upside as the unquestioned WR1 in another productive offense.

5(41). Jerry – Allen Robinson, WR, Jaguars

Well, the guy I wanted to fall to me got sniped. I really thought I was going to get Derrick Henry pretty easily with this pick. Give credit to Clayton for grabbing him at the top of this round. This is definitely a risky pick, not only with the injury, but also with his pending free agency. If he ends up in a favorable situation like Dallas, Washington, or maybe as a Jordy replacement in Green Bay, then this would be an easy win for me. I also considered going with Josh Gordon. The thought of ARob in a favorable situation won me over. Rodgers, Devonta, OBJ, and Allen Robinson seems like a good start to this draft. I’d most likely go for a RB in the next round, maybe someone like Lamar Miller, or one of the rookies that gets drafted into a favorable situation.

6(42). Anthony – Golden Tate, WR, Lions

This year marked the fourth-straight season of 90+ receptions for Golden Tate. In the fourth round, I’ll take that as a floor with Tate.

7(43). Michael – Josh Gordon, WR, Browns

Let’s not overthink this, it’s Josh Gordon! In his 5 games since the suspension, he was on pace for 137 targets and over 1000 yards. Whether 2018 is Deshone Kizer’s 2nd year breakout, or the Browns use one of their many draft picks on another roll of the dice at QB, they’re gonna have one of the best receivers in the game to throw to. 1st round talent in the 4th round; this is the stuff dreams are made of.

8(44). Jay – T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts

In 2017, Hilton had his lowest amount of catches and yards since his rookie year and set a new career low (4) in receiving TDs. This sets Hilton up as a prime bounce back player for 2018. In 2014 and 2016, where Hilton played 15+ games with Andrew Luck, Hilton has averaged over 86 catches, nearly 1,400 receiving yards, and 6 TD’s. Over each of the 2016-2017 seasons, those numbers would be on par with Julio Jones. With Luck likely to be healthy before the start of next season, Hilton offers WR1 production you can grab at a discount.

9(45). MadMan – Evan Engram, TE, Giants

It was very tough for me to pass on Larry Fitzgerald who is a veritable god among NFL WRs, but I see Engram as such a great TE or flex player beginning with the 2018 season. The changes going on in New York will certainly mean better times ahead for the G-Men offense, and Engram will be getting plenty of targets, especially in the red zone. Since I expected Engram to be gone before my next pick, I decided to take a risk in drafting him here. It’s only small risk because he’s an absolute beast.

10(46). Johnny – Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Cardinals

I’m still high on old man Fitzdaddy. He finished 4th in PPR for WRs, and that was with Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert throwing to him most of the year. Drafting an older player brings some risk, but the level of week-to-week consistency makes this a very easy and confident pick for me late in the 4th round.

11(47). Stephen – Dion Lewis, RB, Patriots. I think if this season has taught us anything, it’s that you want pieces of good and great offenses on your fantasy rosters. Lewis has shined as the lead back in New England since coming back into the lineup early in 2017. Expect him to build on this season in 2018.

12(48). Seth – Marvin Jones, WR, Lions

Jones is the best of the WRs left at this point. In the pass-happy Detroit offense, Jones has flourished as a fantasy WR in the last few years.

That wraps up our early 2018 4-round redraft mock. If you have any questions for our team, click on our writers’ twitter handles above and give us some feedback. Thanks for checking us out and stay tuned for more 2018 content.

azaragoza

Married to my best friend | Father of 2 great kids | @FresnoStateLCOE Alum | Writer for @FPC_Raiders, @LeftCoastTSD & @DFF_Redraft #DFFArmy

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