Dynasty Football Factory

2018 Early Redraft Mock Draft 4.0

Welcome back everyone! The mock draft specialists at Redraft Football Factory bring you the fourth installment of the PPR Mock Draft series. This month, the draft expanded to six rounds and we added a new member to the panel, Nathan Coleman. Moving forward, the Redraft team will add another round each month to give you a more in-depth mock draft experience. This will lead up to the grand finale in August: a 10 round, 12 team, PPR mock draft full of breakout candidates, sleepers, and must-haves for your team. From this point forward, you’ll notice a plus, minus, or 0 figure after each selection. This represents that player’s movement in draft position from our previous mock draft. The N/R stands for a player that wasn’t selected in the previous mock draft.

This month, Seth (@sethfffellas), Stephen (@TheRealHalupka), Johnny (@JohnnySlokes), Jay (@jaymanDFF), Michael (@DFF_MSte), Jerry (@JerrySinDFF), Nathan (@JhawkChalk89), Kyle (@kyleFFfellas), Jeremy (@DFFVictoryCigar), Matt (@MattJonesTFR), Aaron (@aalarson), and I (@ZaragozaAnthony) went through a six-round PPR mock draft for your fantasy needs.

In this installation, the team focused on rounds 4-6 only with our player write-ups. No need to explain why we drafted Todd Gurley in the first three picks. Instead, we dove into the guys that could be in your starting Flex spot or your RB2 in your starting lineup.

Roster breakdown: 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, Full Flex (RB, WR, TE), TE

Here are the links to the previous mock drafts in the series – January, February, and March.

Mock Draft 4.0 Quick Summary:

Highest Risers: Saquon Barkley (+21 spots), Carlos Hyde (+12), Travis Kelce (+12), Alex Collins (+10) and a three-way tie with Evan Engram, Joe Mixon, and Allen Robinson at +9.

Biggest Drops: Jarvis Landry (-19 spots), Derrick Henry (-17), Pierre Garcon (-17), Kenyan Drake (-13) and Dez Bryant (-12)

– A total of four rookies were selected in this mock draft, all running backs (Barkley, Guice, Michel, and Chubb)

Check back with us next month for version 5.0 of the series, where we expand to seven rounds and all of these rookies will finally have NFL teams. Without further ado, here we go.

First Round  

1. Johnny – Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys (+4)

2. Seth – Todd Gurley, RB, Los Angeles Rams (0)

3. Jay – Le’Veon Bell, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)

4. Nathan – Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (-1)

5. Matt – Odell Beckham Jr, WR, New York Giants (+2)

6. Jerry – David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals (-2)

7. Michael – Deandre Hopkins, WR, Houston Texans (-1)

8. Anthony – Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (0)

9. Jeremy – Keenan Allen, WR, Los Angeles Chargers (+7)

10. Stephen – Melvin Gordon, RB, Los Angeles Chargers (0)

11. Aaron – Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints (-2)

12. Kyle – Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons (+1)

Second Round

1(13). Kyle – Michael Thomas, WR, New Orleans Saints (-1)

2(14). Aaron – Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars (0)

3(15). Stephen – Saquon Barkley, RB, TBD (+21)

4(16). Jeremy – Christian McCaffrey, RB, Carolina Panthers (+5)

5(17). Anthony – Dalvin Cook, RB, Minnesota Vikings (0)

6(18). Michael – Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons (-7)

7(19). Jerry – AJ Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (-4)

8(20). Matt Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)

9(21). Nathan – Mark Ingram, RB, New Orleans Saints (+2)

10(22). Jay – Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers (-2)

11(23). Seth – LeSean McCoy, RB, Buffalo Bills (-5)

12(24). Johnny – Tyreek Hill, WR Kansas City Chiefs (0)

Third Round

1(25). Johnny – Adam Thielen, WR Minnesota Vikings (+2)

2(26). Seth – Allen Robinson, WR, Chicago Bears (+9)

3(27). Jay – Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots (+4)

4(28). Nathan – Alshon Jeffery, WR, Eagles (+4)

5(29). Matt – Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs (+12)

6(30). Jerry – Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears (-8)

7(31). Michael – Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals (+9)

8(32). Anthony – Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders (-7)

9(33). Jeremy – Carlos Hyde, RB, Cleveland Browns (+12)

10(34). Stephen –  Doug Baldwin, WR, Seattle Seahawks (0)

11(35). Aaron – T.Y. Hilton, WR, Indianapolis Colts (+3)

12(36). Kyle – Josh Gordon, WR, Cleveland Browns (-8)

Fourth Round

1(37). Kyle – Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles (+6)

I didn’t like the RBs that were here and would have considered McKinnon at this spot, but felt like Ertz was the way to go. I’ve been finding myself drafting one of these top 4-5 TEs in every mock it seems, but I still like how my squad starts off. Ertz finally showed us last year that he does know where the endzone is, and I look for that to continue in 2018.

2(38). Aaron – Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals (-5)

After taking a bit of a risk on Hilton three picks ago, it’s time to take advantage of the reliable hands of Larry Fitzgerald. The future hall of fame wideout only needs 91 catches to pass Tony Gonzalez for second all time. The Cardinals brought in Sam Bradford, who set the record for highest completion percentage in a season in 2016 before Drew Brees edged him out in 2017. The Cardinals also did not bring in any new receivers via free agency while letting John Brown leave. Add this all up, and you get pretty good odds that Bradford will be hyper-targeting Fitzgerald all season.

3(39). Stephen – Brandin Cooks, WR, Los Angeles Rams (-10)

Things certainly change quickly in the NFL. One minute you have a player catching passes from Tom Brady, and the next minute they are shipped off to LA. Cooks should see a reduction in targets as he heads to the Rams in 2018. He will still provide some WR1 games, but those will be fewer now that he is no longer in New England.

4(40). Jeremy – Jordy Nelson, WR, Oakland Raiders (+8)

Well, well. Jordy Nelson has fallen into my lap in Round 4, and I couldn’t be happier. The ‘hate’ (for lack of a better term) that is being cast in Nelson’s direction based on a down year in addition to his ‘football’ age is absolutely amazing to me. Yeah, he’s another year older, but he’s still got plenty of juice in the tank. He’s a TD beast, which plays into his favor for his move to Oakland, taking over for Michael Crabtree, who spent the last couple years vulturing TDs from Amari Cooper (aka, Sir Drops-alot). Nelson’s poor performance in 2017 is directly related to catching balls (or attempting to do so…not an easy task) from backup QB, Brett Hundley. I anticipate Jordy to have similar chemistry with Derek Carr that he had with Aaron Rodgers. Both have that “gunslinger” style about them, and Nelson will settle in to the Oakland offense just fine. Thank you, gentlemen. I graciously accept your Jordy Nelson gift here in the 4th.

5(41). Anthony – Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions (+6)

For three out of the last four seasons, Golden Tate has caught at least 91 passes and 1,000 yards for the Lions, not to mention the season he didn’t reach those marks, he still had 90 catches and six touchdowns. I will take Tate all day as my WR #3 or Flex option every week of the season.

6(42). Michael – Jerick McKinnon, RB, San Francisco 49ers (N/A)

McKinnon just signed a big contract, and has stepped into an undisputed starting job. While it’s true that McKinnon has never seen more than 150 touches in a season, this just means he is a lot fresher than other backs who will have seen twice as many touches in their first 4 years. Kyle Shanahan has already stated that McKinnon will be the starting back and is ready to use him in all phases. This guaranteed value for what is my RB3 in this draft should set me up at the position.

7(43). Jerry – Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers (+3)

This spot was the exact opposite of how I felt about the available players in Round 3. I don’t really love any of them. I almost took Aaron Rodgers with my last pick, so I’ll take the top fantasy QB at 43 overall and be pretty happy about it. I’m not a huge “take a QB early” guy, but if a stud of his stature is going to fall to the 4th…thank you very much. I need a WR and could’ve used one in this spot, but with none really jumping out at me, I’ll pass. Derrick Henry was another option, but I’ve already got a good RB core, so why not get a player at a different position that can win me a matchup by himself.

8(44). Matt Alex Collins, RB, Baltimore Ravens (+10)

This isn’t a pick I was overly excited about, but it was a necessary evil. I had OBJ, Evans, and Kelce so I felt great about my pass catchers but an RB was necessary at this pick. As I was watching the picks roll in, I was hoping that Jerick McKinnon would fall to me here as I feel strongly about his 2018 campaign, but it wasn’t meant to be. I took a shot at Collins because I think he takes the reins in the backfield in Baltimore and enjoys a productive year despite Kenneth Dixon’s return.

9(45). Nathan – Jarvis Landry, WR, Cleveland Browns (-19)

Landry is a crisp route runner that offers an excess of targets in a offense that will often be playing from behind. Landry is due for some touchdown regression, but I like his chances at leading the team in receptions and yards. Obviously a lot of his production will be tied to who is playing QB but his talent is good enough to always warrant production.

10(46). Jay – Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota Vikings (-2)

I feel the Kirk Cousins signing in Minnesota will positively impact Diggs the most out of the skill position players. Talent usually wins out and Diggs is the most talented pass catcher on the team. His only flaw has been his health and that had an influence as to why Case Keenum showed great rapport with Thielen and Rudolph. Now with someone new flinging the pigskin around, Diggs will get his opportunity to establish something special with Cousin.

11(47). Seth – Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans (-17)

If I had to take Henry as my RB2, I would be concerned. I don’t think Henry does much more than what we have seen from him already, especially since the Titans upgraded their starting RB in Dion Lewis. However, already having Gurley and Shady allows me to take the high-risk, high-reward backup in TEN.

12(48). Johnny – Jay Ajayi, RB, Philadelphia Eagles (-11)

While I see Philadelphia as a team that will use multiple backs, Ajayi is the best one and he was a falling value that I couldn’t pass up, especially since I needed a running back. I was just playing a little cat and mouse game looking for the best values.

Fifth Round

1(49). Johnny – JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (+1)

Juju Smith-Schuster came into the 2017 season as a second round pick, selected behind top prospects Corey Davis and Mike Williams. All Smith-Schuster did was lead all rookie wideouts in yards and touchdown catches last year. The former USC Trojan was the clear cut #2 WR for Pittsburgh and could see some more looks next season, if star running back Le’Veon Bell misses time from a possible holdout. The potential is there for my fifth round pick, and I love it!

2(50). Seth – Evan Engram, TE, New York Giantsants (+9)

I think I’ve taken Engram or Kelce in every one of these mocks so far, and I have never regretted it afterwards. These guys feel like relatively safe harbors in a sea of fantasy mediocrity at the TE position.

3(51). Jay – Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos (+5)

What will probably gain some steam the closer we get to the regular season is that DT can easily finish as a top 12 WR in 2018. Case Keenum is a big upgrade from the atrocious QB play that Thomas has been dealing with since Peyton Manning retired. Even though he’s not the physical freak he was a few years ago, he’s still the lead dog on this offense. He’s deserves more credit for finishing as a mid WR2 the last couple years, and I’ll take that kind of floor and potential upside as my WR3/Flex

4(52). Nathan – Kenyan Drake RB Miami Dolphins (-13)

Drake should see the lion’s share of production in a division that struggled against running backs. He is an all purpose running back that I have looked for in the later rounds due to his target share. Add in the fact that he doesn’t have to compete with Williams or Ajayi for carries, and there’s more reason to love Drake’s upside.

5(53). Matt – Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons (N/A)

This was another pick that I’m not crazy about, but I really felt like I had to get another RB here. The well dries up rather quickly at this point, and I probably would’ve been better served grabbing an RB in the second round. I was holding my breath when Nathan made his pick because I prefer Drake, but I think that Tevin Coleman is useful as an RB2/Flex option in a PPR setup, so I went after it. I didn’t want to get stuck with a 6th-round RB as my RB2 under any circumstance, because I have absolutely no conviction in that range at this point in the Spring.

6(54). Jerry – Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys…maybe (-12)

I am of the belief that Dez Bryant does not stay as anemic as he has been over the past few seasons. That being said, I don’t feel good about this at all as my WR2. I was really banking on the Demaryius Thomas hate going to far and having him fall to me, but Jay snagged him a few picks earlier. I’m hoping someone like Sammy Watkins or Michael Crabtree fall to my next pick so I can gain a little more insurance at the WR position.

7(55). Michael – Marvin Jones, WR, Detroit Lions (+5)

Marvin Jones has improved his production every year he has been in the league, culminating in a 1,100 yard, 9 TD season in 2017, which made him the WR12 in PPR, and the WR5 in standard. Super solid WR2 with WR1 upside.

8(56). Anthony – Dion Lewis, RB, Tennessee Titans (+2)

With three solid wide receivers and Kareem Hunt in my lineup, I still need a RB #2 to finish my core five. Dion Lewis, with new Head Coach Mike Vrabel, is as good as it gets for the fifth round running backs. Lewis will not replicate his rushing stats from last season in New England, 180 rushes for 896 yards and six touchdowns, but has the opportunity and talent to be a force in the passing game.

9(57). Jeremy – Marquise Goodwin, WR, San Francisco 49ers (-5)

I continue to target Marquise Goodwin in this general area of my drafts because I know what I’m getting. I’ve said it before, Goodwin has an established rapport with Jimmy G, and the duo will look to continue capitalizing on this chemistry in 2018. The proof is in the numbers: compare Goodwin’s stats through Week 10 (through SF’s struggling QB woes) to his production when Garoppolo started in Week 12. I like this duo and the production to which it translates for Goodwin.

10(58). Stephen – CJ Anderson, RB, Denver Broncos (N/A)

The end of Round 5 is certainly an awkward part of upcoming drafts. There aren’t a ton of great options at running back left at this point, but CJ Anderson was finally healthy for an entire season in 2017. He was able to run for over 1,000 yards and catch another 28 balls for 224 yards. His four touchdowns were certainly poor, but with Case Keenum at the helm, there should be more running room for Anderson in Denver. However, he may or may not start the 2018 season as a Bronco, but he will be a major contributor wherever he lands.

11(59). Aaron – Corey Davis, WR, Tennessee Titans (N/A)

Davis is my third straight receiver pick, which again speaks to how much I love my first two running back picks. The number five overall pick in the 2017 NFL draft came out hot in week one with six catches on ten targets. He then basically disappeared, in part due to injuries, for the rest of the regular season. He finally broke out in the divisional playoff loss to New England with two impressive touchdown catches. That performance, along with the Titans new offensive coordinator Matt LaFleur, gives me enough confidence to spend a fifth-round pick on him.

12(60). Kyle – Jamaal Williams, RB, Green Bay Packers (N/A)

I had both Drake and Anderson as possible selections to finally fill my RB slots, but neither fell far enough. I like Williams quite a bit and I think he’ll be the lead back in GB and showed some nice prowess in the receiving game last season as well. Once Williams got his shot at legit playing time, he averaged 15.2 fantasy points in PPR formats over the final 9 games of the season.

Sixth Round

1(61). Kyle – Rex Burkhead, RB, New England Patriots (N/A)

I won’t deny it, this is the last player I thought I’d be drafting here. In 2017 when Burkhead signed with the Patriots, I was highly skeptical that he’d have much of an impact. However, at this point in the off-season, in a backfield that includes James White, Jeremy Hill, and Mike Gillislee, I think Burkhead has some pretty decent upside. In 10 games in 2017, Burkhead averaged 13 points per game in PPR, which was good enough for 15th among RBs, and was able to find paydirt 8 times. Like Rex as a solid RB2 in PPR.

2(62). Aaron – Chris Thompson, RB, Washington Redskins (-9)

This was a tough spot in the draft for me. I love my top two running backs and feel comfortable with my three receivers. All the top end tight ends are gone, so at this point, I may as well wait on one. I also hate drafting a quarterback in the top half of the draft. I debated between pass-catching backs Thompson and Duke Johnson but ultimately went with Thompson. I think he has a higher ceiling, and I don’t really trust Johnson with all the overturn the Browns have had this offseason.

3(63). Stephen – Michael Crabtree, WR, Baltimore Ravens (N/A)

I’m looking for as many targets as I can acquire at this stage, and Michael Crabtree should have a massive target share in Baltimore as the number one option for Joe Flacco. Crabtree has been a touchdown maker when healthy over the last three seasons, scoring at least eight touchdowns in every season since 2015. His upside might be capped in an offense that isn’t known for producing the high-end WR1s, but Crabtree should be able to be a top-24 WR by end of season.

4(64). Jeremy – Sammy Watkins, WR, Kansas City Chiefs (N/A)

I feel as though grabbing Sammy Watkins towards the middle of Round 6 is fair value. I considered him at the end of Round 5, but couldn’t pull the trigger, given that Goodwin’s a safer option in SF, while Sammy is an injury risk and the clear #2 in KC. He does however add value to an already solid WR squad behind Keenan, Jordy, and Goodwin. He’ll be a quality deep-threat with Mahomes under center, and has solid TD-upside as well.

5(65). Anthony – Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots (-10)

I really wanted to take an elite tight end in this spot, but the majority of them were off the board. Therefore, I did the next best thing. I went with an elite quarterback and drafted Tom Brady. Rob Gronkowski and Brandin Cooks are still in town for Brady, so replicating another great season should be no issue for the future Hall of Famer.

6(66). Michael – Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams (N/A)

2017 was a very impressive rookie campaign from Kupp, 62 receptions for 869 yards and 5 TDs. He ended the season very strongly, averaging 4.8 receptions and 77 yards per game over the last 5 weeks of the year.  With Sammy Watkins gone, he could see an upgrade in targets, but if the unsettled OBJ lands in LA, this could be a wasted pick.

7(67). Jerry – Derrius Guice, RB, TBD (N/A)

I said I wanted Michael Crabtree or Sammy Watkins to fall to me. They didn’t, and I’m in a bit of trouble at WR with Dez Bryant as my WR2 and an aging A.J. Green. It’s not ideal, but it’s also not bad. I went with Derrius Guice as my flex as I already have RB, WR, and an elite QB drafted, so now it’s just about the highest upside. This says Derrius Guice, but really it’s whichever rookie RB lands in the best situation. He could easily land in a situation that isn’t conducive to fantasy relevance, in which case it would be whichever rookie RB is. Aaron Rodgers, David Johnson, Jordan Howard, AJ Green, Dez Bryant, and Derrius Guice in my flex is a nice way to start out this draft. Rodgers, DJ, and Green should have me poised for a playoff run.

8(68). Matt Pierre Garcon, WR, San Francisco 49ers (-17)

I’m a sucker for targets, what can I say? The fact that Allen Robinson is in Chicago and Sammy Watkins is in KC tells me all I need to know about how the 49ers view Garcon. He’s going to be an integral part of the plans in San Francisco even with Goodwin in the fold. Garcon had 67 targets in just 8 games last season. If I can get that type of production out of my WR3, I’ll take it all day long.

9(69). Nathan – Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers (N/A)

Drafting a TE is always a risky proposition with the position busting around 45% of the time, but a healthy Olsen is the first passing option for Cam Newton. Newton might be a inaccurate QB, but Olsen is among the most consistent TEs in the game.

10(70). Jay – Sony Michel, RB, TBD (N/A)

At this point in the draft, I’m willing to take a shot on one of the young promising RBs entering the league. What’s scary is that this year’s RB class looks to be as impressive as 2017’s group. Whether it was Hunt, Kamara, Fournette or McCaffrey, if you were lucky enough to have one of those guys on your team, odds are you got a tremendous value. In regards to Michel, he may be the most explosive back in the draft outside of Saquon Barkley. He’s eerily similar to Alvin Kamara, and if he winds up in a prime situation (Tampa Bay???), he’ll offer similar fantasy upside.

11(71). Seth – Julian Edelman, WR, New England Patriots (N/A)

It feels like Edelman has been in the league forever and was finally getting the respect he deserved after the 2016 season. Then, disaster struck in the form of a torn ACL. As a result, he and his 24% market share of Tom Brady’s passes remain forgotten by most. I have no problem whatsoever taking Edelman in the sixth as my WR2.

12(72). Johnny – Nick Chubb, RB, TBD (N/A)

I love Nick Chubb, especially if he finds the right home in the draft. With the way some of these early mocks are going, the former Georgia Bulldog could find the perfect situation early in the second round. Between the Browns, Colts, and Giants, whoever misses out on Saquon Barkley in the first round could greatly benefit from Chubb’s skill set in 2018.

azaragoza

Married to my best friend | Father of 2 great kids | @FresnoStateLCOE Alum | Writer for @FPC_Raiders, @LeftCoastTSD & @DFF_Redraft #DFFArmy

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