RB Theorem

RB Theorem: Otis Armstrong Takes Charge in 1974

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The 1973 season saw the NFL’s first 2,000-yard rusher. Orenthal James “O.J.” Simpson whisked his way to history by rolling up 2,003 rushing yards. His Buffalo Bills only needed him to handle the rock 332 times. That was good for an average per attempt of six yards. Those were truly astonishing feats by the man most fans referred to as “The Juice.” 
Enter the Broncos 1973 first-round pick (9th overall) Otis Armstrong.

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RB Theorem: Benny Friedman’s 40

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Author Note: Recently, I received an email from stathead (a mailer from the great sports statistics website sports-reference.com). The email detailed the NFL statistical leaders of the 1920s. I took notice that Benny Friedman threw a league-leading 40 touchdown passes during the decade. From my past research, I knew that was a lot for the

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RB THEOREM: College 2kers vs Rookie Output and Career Gains Part II

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Larry Johnson (Penn State 271 att. 2,087 yards 7.7 YPA) The year was 2002 and Johnson had never seen more than 75 carries or 358 yards in a college season. He had been locked in a timeshare with somebody named Eric McCoo. When the trust was finally put in Johnson as a senior he rumbled

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RB Theorem | The 400 Club | Eddie George

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The running backs that made this series belong to an exclusive club. There were entrusted by their coaches enough to surpass or to see 400 rushing attempts in a season. Can you imagine a team giving an RB that kind of opportunity nowadays? However ludicrous you think that idea is, there is no disputing that

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RB Theorem | the 400 Club | Eric Dickerson

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The running backs that made this series belong to an exclusive club. There were entrusted by their coaches enough to surpass or to see 400 rushing attempts in a season. Can you imagine a team giving an RB that kind of opportunity nowadays? However ludicrous you think that idea is, there is no disputing that

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RB Theorem | the 400 Club | James Wilder Sr.

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The running backs that made this series belong to an exclusive club. They were entrusted by their coaches enough to surpass or to see 400 rushing attempts in a season. Can you imagine a team giving an RB that kind of opportunity nowadays? However ludicrous you think that idea is, there is no disputing that

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RB Theorem | The 400 Club | Jamal Anderson

Dynasty / By /

The running backs that made this series belong to an exclusive club. They were entrusted by their coaches enough to surpass or to see 400 rushing attempts in a season. Can you imagine a team giving an RB that kind of opportunity nowadays? However ludicrous you think that idea is, there is no disputing that

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RB Theorem | The 400 Club | Larry Johnson

Dynasty / By /

The running backs that made this series belong to an exclusive club. They were entrusted by their coaches enough to surpass or to see 400 rushing attempts in a season. Can you imagine a team giving a running back that kind of opportunity nowadays? However ludicrous you think that idea is, there is no disputing

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RB Theorem: Walking But Wounded

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After casting aside some names that neither failed nor statistically stunned as rookies, I was left with these three mediocre myrtles. Their stories literally bleed with unfulfilled potential. Like the rookie stunner series, the players contained within were all first round draft choices. For more RB Theorem, click here. Jahvid Best -Best was one of

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RB Theorem | Rookie Stunner Series: Doug Martin

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In Chapter Two (Mythologies of this Size), I called Doug Martin an ”outlier to my wheelhouse size.” He literally checks all the boxes of what a successful NFL running back should be, according to size research. Yet, his durability does not match my carefully constructed theories. Let us now take a look at what exactly

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RB Theorem | Rookie Stunner Series: Trent Richardson

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This is a real article. I do realize the name Trent Richardson is a punchline nowadays. Before he was missing wide open holes, he had potential. His rookie season wasn’t the best. However, what fosters can also cultivate for fertile growth. No one could predict how brief his NFL venture would eventually be. For more

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RB Theorem: Rookie Stunner Series: Marshawn Lynch

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We call him “Beast Mode” because of his superhuman power between-the-tackles. The epic stories in twelfth man land are as thunderous as they are true. The media be damned! Lynch is a legend, so who cares if he didn’t play by the rules of normalcy. Marshawn Lynch | Rookie Numbers – 280/1,115/7 | 4.0 YPA/85.8

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RB Theorem: Rookie Stunner Series: Knowshon Moreno

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Many different wrenches can slow the gears of an offense. What bucks can also halt. From a guy named Tebow, to a leader called Fox, this is the Moreno chapter of the Rookie Stunner series. For more in this series or more RB Theorem, click here. Knowshon Moreno | Rookie Numbers – 247/947/7 | 3.8

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RB Theorem: Rookie Stunner Series – Jonathan Stewart

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A hammer is an instrument one uses to drive the nail. A nice and proper hammer should have a good, long life. This is often the opposite of what happens to those stout RBs. They are asked drive home the tough yards up the middle. Usually catastrophe strikes their lower extremities and they never bounce

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RB Theorem: Rookie Stunner Series: Reggie Bush

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While the receptions were fertile, Reggie Bush’s limbs were fragile. His fine career was indeed productive to us Fantasy consumers. However, what was supposed to be epically historical turned out rather good, not great. His rookie season was a stunner, but it was very different from most others in the series. For more in this

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RB Theorem: Rookie Stunner Series – Joseph Addai

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Deep within the relevance of a quality offense, a rookie named Addai emerged as the perfect cog to the Peyton Manning machine. This Rookie Stunner Series is based around first round RBs (from 2005-2014) who reached (or clawed) at the 1,200 yards from scrimmage plateau. Also for Dynasty and illustration purposes, I break down how

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RB Theorem: Rookie Stunner Series: Ronnie Brown

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This is the second volume of my Rookie Stunner series. In volume one, I touched on Brown’s college teammate Cadillac Williams. Brown was the higher pick, and he was better pro despite getting out-touched and outgained by Williams as a rookie. Ronnie Brown | Rookie Numbers – 207/907/4 | 4.4 YPA/60.5 YPG/13.8 APG | 32

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RB Theorem: Rookie Stunner Series: Cadillac Williams

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In the last two chapters of this series, I touched on some current running backs as well as some who had a high draft pedigree. All the RBs I talked about in those chapters “Failed” as rookies. In this Rookie Stunner series, I am taking a brief look at some former first rounders who enjoyed

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RB Theorem Chpt. VI: Rookie Failures Versus Career Arc

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In the fifth chapter of this RB Theorem series, I looked at the recent rookie failures of Kenyan Drake and Melvin Gordon. In doing so, I hoped to find a proper gauge on their Fantasy value moving forward. With this chapter, I set out to find slightly older players who “failed” as rookies. Then I

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RB Theorem | Chpt. V: How Recent Rookie Failures Affect Dynasty Value

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We all love investing in youth. No matter what position, youth combined with seemingly limitless potential is a beautiful thing to own. The Running back position is very different. Breakout age and production windows are often quicker than fast. As I pointed out in Chapter One, durability is one of the major keys to a

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